Manchester Police Department

2016 Crime Statistics and Crime Reduction Initiatives Chief Nick Willard February 1, 2017 Manchester Police Commission

Part 1 Crimes The FBI breaks statistics into 8 categories called Part 1 Crimes*: Homicide Forcible Rape

Violent Crimes

Robbery Aggravated Assault Burglary Larceny/Theft Motor Vehicle Theft

Property Crimes

Arson *“These are serious crimes by nature and/or volume, and they are the crimes most likely to be reported and most likely to occur with sufficient frequency to provide an adequate basis for comparison” http://www.fbi.gov

Part I Crimes Are: Violent Crime: Homicide, Forcible Rape, Robbery, Aggravated Assault *Aggravated Assaults include Reckless Conduct with a Weapon, Criminal Threatening with a Weapon and Felony Assaults (to include domestic violence and child abuse) **Shootings when no one is injured are often classified as Reckless Conduct (Felony)

Property Crime: Burglary, Theft, Motor Vehicle Theft, Arson

• • • •

• • • •

Burglary Theft Motor Vehicle Theft Arson

Homicide Forcible Rape Robbery Aggravated Assault • Aggravated Assault includes most gun crimes

Crime Reduction:

AREAS OF SUCCESS

Strategy • Evidence Based Practices • Data Driven Policing – Place Based Crime Strategy – Predictive Policing Using Predictive Analytics • Putting Officers in Location Crime is Most Likely to Occur

– More Officers on Street – Targeting Worst Offenders

Place Based Crime Strategy Example of a predictive policing map used by street patrol officers

-Predictive Policing Using Predictive Analytics

Areas of Success:

Success in Reducing Robbery

A focus to continue to bring robbery numbers down is a priority focus for 2017

Crime Problems:

AREAS OF CONCERN

Area of Concern

Analysis of Violent Crime

Analysis of Violent Crime

Identifying the Problems Data Shows rise in Violent Crime is mainly attributed to rise in Aggravated Assault

Aggravated Assaults - 2016 434 Aggravated Assaults •

DV Related: 175 (40%)



Strangers: 79 (18%)



Acquaintances: 70 (16%)



Shootings/Shots Fired: 49 (11%) 21 of these shootings attributed to one group of individuals



Child Abuse: 24 (6%)



Stabbings: 16 (4%)



Neighbors: 15 (4%)



Roommates: 6 (1%)

Problems Identifying Gun Crimes make up for a significant number of aggravated assaults. (Domestic Violence is the other major contributor)

Identifying the Problems

In 2016 there were 173 crimes committed with guns, and 49 confirmed shootings

Data to Identify the Problem:

• Violent Crime is Up • Aggravated Assaults • Gun Crime

Overdose Rates / Drug Arrests

OPIOID EPIDEMIC

Identifying the Problems Contributing Factors: Opiate Drug Crisis

90 Fatal Opioid Overdoses in 2016 Preliminary numbers. NH Medical Examiner still has pending cases

Identifying the Problems As overdoses have increased, so have the Gun Crimes

CRIME MAPPING: DRUG CRIMES

Drug Crimes 2016

Drug Crimes 2016 Colored hot spots represent areas in which drug crimes were committed. Red signifies the largest numbers of such crimes

Drug Crimes W/ Guns 2016 Circled colored hot spots represent areas in which drug crimes involved or were committed with firearms.

OVERDOSE CALLS FOR SERVICE 2016

Overdose Calls For Service 2016

Overdose Hot Spots

Overdose Calls For Service 2016

Overdose Hot Spots 2016

Overdose Hot Spots W/ Gun Involved 2016

DRUG ARRESTS 2016

Drug Arrest Hot Spots

Drug Arrests 2016

Drug Arrests

Drug and Gun Arrests

Special Enforcement Division These numbers represent only arrests and seizures made by SED and not the entire department. SED is one of Six divisions with the primary focus being drug investigations.

2015 • • • • •

Search Warrants Executed: 85 Drug Related Arrests: 348 Fentanyl Seized: 268 grams Heroin Seized: 28,676 grams Firearms Seized: 24

This number does not include the arrests and seizures in which MPD has a Task Force Officer with our Federal Law Enforcement Partners.

2016 • • • • •

Search Warrants Executed: 71 Drug Related Arrests: 409 Fentanly Seized: 6,795 grams Heroin Seized: 5,471 grams Firearms Seized: 47

THE NEIGHBORHOODS

Most Affected Neighborhoods

PARTNERSHIPS TO REDUCE VIOLENT CRIME

Routine Activities Theory

• Suitable Targets (Victims) • Motivated Offenders • Lack of Capable Guardians

Deterrence

• Certainty of Arrest • Risk too High for Criminals • Reduced Crime

Cohen and Felson (1979)

Pulling Levers

Part 1 Crimes 2015-2016 *Preliminary Only*

Part 1 Crimes 2015 vs 2016

Crime Type

2015

2016

% Change

9

5

-44%

89

80

-10%

Robbery

222

210

-5%

Aggravated Assault

397

434

9%

717

729

2%

Burglary

676

463

-32%

Larceny

3252

2464

-24%

211

150

-29%

29

29

0%

4168

3106

-25%

4885

3835

-21%

Homicide Forcible Rape

Total Violent Crime

Auto Theft Arson Total Property Crime Total Part 1 Crime *All numbers are preliminary and subject to change

Part 1 Crime Totals by Year Over the 5 year period from 2011-2016 the percent change in Part 1 Crimes is -22%

Strategies/Initiatives • •

Predictive Policing Model / Hot Spot Patrols Increased Patrols – – –

• • • • • • • • •

Two officer trouble cars Park & Walks Trick or Treat Patrols

ACERT – Adverse Childhood Experience Response Team Added a child advocate Community Outreach Safety Seminars / Security Surveys Task Forces – OCDETF / FBI Safe Streets / ATF Urban Violence Working Group Downtown Initiative Bar Car Patrols Agency Partnerships – – – –

Granite Hammer Operation Cyan Operation Trident DWI Patrols and check points



Mayor’s Opioid Partnership Plan –

• • • • • • • • • • • • •

MFD, Health Department, School Department, OYS and MPD

Special Committee on Alcohol, Other Drugs and Youth Services (Aldermen Committee) G.H.O.S.T – Gangs High Risk Offenders Strike Team Cop ‘N Kids Holiday Safety & Crime Prevention Initiative Patrol Officer Fingerprint Recovery Initiative Neighborhood Watch Groups Crimeline MPAL Renovation & increased programming ALERT Training NET Inspections Mobile Crisis Response Team (MCRT) Active Shooter Training for Businesses CIT Officers (critical incident team)

Questions?

Crime Stats - Police Cimmission.pdf

Page 2 of 47. Part 1 Crimes. The FBI breaks statistics into 8 categories. called Part 1 Crimes*:. Homicide. Forcible Rape. Robbery. Aggravated Assault. Burglary. Larceny/Theft. Motor Vehicle Theft. Arson. *“These are serious crimes by nature and/or volume, and they are the crimes most likely to be. reported and most likely ...

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