PLS 445-545 Political Violence Nazarbayev University Spring 2016 Charles J. Sullivan Assistant Professor of Political Science and International Relations School of Humanities and Social Sciences [email protected] Office #8.507A; Telephone: 4728 Office Hours: Mondays and Fridays, 1:00 pm – 3:00 pm and By Appointment

Course Description: This course seeks to acquaint students with the academic literature on political violence. This course examines topics such as state failure, civil war, terrorism, insurgency, counterterrorism, counterinsurgency, ethnic conflict, nationalism, secessionism, interventions, mass protests and revolutions, crackdowns, unresolved conflicts, state collapse, state reconstitution, and chaos. This is an advanced writing-intensive course offered at the graduate and undergraduate level. Course requirements for the class differ according to the level at which it is offered. The course is designed to enhance students’ knowledge of political violence from a comparative perspective.

Course Readings: The following textbooks are available at the Nazarbayev University Library. All other assigned readings are available to students via Moodle, hyperlink, NU Library, or NU online databases. o David D. Laitin, Nations, States, and Violence (Oxford University Press, 2007). o Robert H. Bates, When Things Fell Apart: State Failure in Late-Century Africa (Cambridge University Press, 2008).

Course Requirements: PLS 445 – Undergraduate Level 1. Three take-home quizzes will be assigned over the semester. The class days on which takehome quizzes are assigned will be chosen by the professor. Students will be tasked with responding to a question related to the assigned readings for the next upcoming class. Students should incorporate all of the assigned readings for the next upcoming class into their written responses. Quizzes are to be submitted by 4:00 PM via Moodle on the day of the next class 1

session and should consist of 1,000 words (approximately 4 pages). Students who do not submit their take-home quizzes by the start of class will automatically lose 25 points. Students who do not submit their quizzes 24 hours after the deadline will receive a score of 0. Students must use footnotes for citations (any style), 1-inch margins, double-spaced pages, and any legible 12-point size font. Take-home quizzes are worth 50 points and graded according to the following rubric:

Grading 45-50

40-44

35-39

30-34

0-29

Assessments Student’s understanding of the assigned readings is very extensive and clear; written response is cogent and creative; usage of proper citation format; question posed by the professor is answered by student in its entirety. Student’s understanding of the assigned readings is commendable yet also somewhat incomplete; written response is intelligible but lacks creativity; citation format is evident but not fully consistent either; question posed by the professor is largely answered by student. Student’s understanding of the assigned readings is intelligible but is evidently lacking; written response demonstrates that the student possesses a cursory grasp of the assigned readings; citation format is inconsistent and rather unprofessional; question posed by the professor is answered in a satisfactory manner. Student’s understanding of the assigned readings is poor and lacking; written response is largely unintelligible; question posed by the professor is largely unanswered by student. Student’s understanding of the assigned readings is very poor or nonexistent; written response is virtually unintelligible; question posed by the professor is not answered.

2. Students will be tasked with watching two videos relating to certain aspects of political violence and composing two short policy briefs of 750 words each (approximately 3 pages) based on the videos, assigned articles, and a question posed by the professor. Students must use footnotes for citations (any style), 1-inch margins, double-spaced pages, and any legible 12-point size font. Policy briefs are to be submitted via Moodle by 4:00 PM on the following Wednesday after the viewing of the video. Policy briefs submitted after the deadline will receive a score of 0. 3. Students will be tasked with writing a short essay of 2,000 words (approximately 8 pages) in the form of a critical reaction memo focusing on all of the assigned readings for a given week. Students must sign-up for the week on which they intend to write their memos starting on 2

January 14, 2016. No more than TWO students may write their reaction memos on a given week and no one is permitted to write on Weeks 6, 7, 8 or 12. Students must use footnotes for citations (any style), 1-inch margins, double-spaced pages, and any legible 12-point size font. Students only need to analyze and synthesize ALL of the assigned readings for a week. It is not necessary to conduct a review of other scholarly works outside of the syllabus. Reaction memos are to be submitted by the start of class (4:00 PM) via Moodle on the Wednesday of the week in which students have signed up for to write their memos. Students who do not submit their work on time will lose 50 points. Students who do not submit their work 24 hours after the deadline will receive a score of 0. Students must include a bibliography of scholarly references. 4. Students will be tasked with writing a long essay of 3,000 words (approximately 12 pages) on a topic concerning some aspect of political violence. Students will select a single country for analysis, formulate a research question which relates to some aspect of political violence, and conduct single-case study research. All essays require an introduction, research question, literature review, hypotheses, research findings, and a conclusion. Students are required to correspond with the professor to discuss topic ideas and must receive topic approval by March 23, 2016. Students are required to include scholarly references not listed on the syllabus in their essays. Students must use footnotes for citations (any style), 1-inch margins, double-spaced pages, and any legible 12-point size font. Essays are to be submitted by the start of class (4:00 PM) on April 27, 2016 via Moodle. Students who do not submit their work by the start of class will automatically lose 50 points. Students who do not submit their work 24 hours after the deadline will receive a score of 0. Students must include a bibliography of scholarly references. Both the reaction memo and the research essay will be graded according to the following rubric: Grading 135-150

120-134

105-119

Assessment Student writes in a very coherent and creative manner; usage of proper citation format; paper has a full introduction and a conclusion; few or no grammatical and/or spelling errors in student’s work; student references scholarly articles/texts outside of syllabus readings and critically analyzes the works of other scholars. Student writes in an intelligible manner but his/her work is also lacking in creativity; citation format is evident but not fully consistent either; cursory introduction and conclusion; noticeable grammatical/spelling errors; student references some scholarly articles/texts outside of syllabus in the form of a literature review to supplement his/her work; critical analysis of scholarly works is adequate. Student barely writes in a satisfactory manner; paper is largely lacking in terms of an introduction and conclusion; citation format is inconsistent; grammatical/spelling errors are 3

90-104

0-89

prevalent; references to scholarly articles/texts outside of syllabus are quite lacking; critical analysis of other scholarly works is inadequate. Student writes in a largely unintelligible manner; citation format suffers from serious flaws; brief/no introduction and/or conclusion; many grammatical/spelling errors; virtually no references to articles/texts outside of syllabus or critical analysis of other scholarly works. Student writes in an unintelligible manner; citation format is nearly nonexistent; multiple grammatical/spelling errors; few/no references to scholarly articles/texts outside of syllabus; critical analysis is wholly inadequate in scope.

Grading: 3 Take-Home Quizzes 2 Policy Briefs Critical Reaction Memo Research Essay Total

150 (50 Points Each) 50 (25 Points Each) 150 150 500 Points

Scale:

B+: 425-449 C+: 350-374 D+: 275-299

A: 475-500 B: 400-424 C: 325-349 D: 250-274

A-: 450-474 B-: 375-399 C-: 300-324 F: 249 and below

PLS 545 – Graduate Level 1. Active participation is essential for students at the graduate level. As such, graduate students will be tasked with writing TWO discussion questions each for a total of 10 weeks over the course of the semester. Students may choose the weeks on which they intend to write their discussion questions. Questions should demonstrate that a student has read the assigned readings for a given week and possesses the ability to engage in a thoughtful discussion about the assigned readings. This exercise is designed to enhance students’ critical analytical skills. Students are to submit their questions via EMAIL by 4:00 PM the day BEFORE class meets. 2. Students will write a book review for one of the assigned books for this course. Students are to respond to a question posed by the professor about the book for which they have signed up as well as provide a critical analysis of its main argument. Students must sign-up for the week that 4

they wish to write their book reviews starting on January 14, 2016. No more than 8 graduate students may write their book reviews on a given week. Book reviews will consist of 1,000 words (approximately 4 pages). Students must use footnotes for citations (any style), 1-inch margins, double-spaced pages, and any legible 12-point size font. It is required to incorporate other reviews of the assigned books into your own book review for this assignment. Book reviews are to be submitted via Moodle by 4:00 PM on the Wednesday that the class meets to discuss the book on which students have selected to write. Book reviews submitted after the due date will receive a grade of 0. Book reviews will be graded according to the following rubric.

Grading 45-50

40-44

35-39

30-34

0-29

Assessment Student’s understanding of the text’s main argument is very extensive and clear; written response is cogent and creative; usage of proper citation format; question posed by the professor is answered by student in its entirety; critical analysis of the text is exemplary. Student’s understanding of the text’s main argument is commendable yet also somewhat incomplete; written response is intelligible but lacks creativity; citation format is evident but not fully consistent either; question posed by the professor is largely answered by student; critical analysis of the text is adequate. Student’s understanding of the text’s main argument is intelligible but is evidently lacking; written response demonstrates that the student possesses a cursory grasp of the text’s main argument; citation format is inconsistent and rather unprofessional; question posed by the professor is answered in a satisfactory manner; critical analysis of the text is lacking. Student’s understanding of the text’s main argument is poor and lacking; written response is largely unintelligible; question posed by the professor is largely unanswered by student; critical analysis of the text is not satisfactory. Student’s understanding of the text’s main argument is very poor or nonexistent; written response is virtually unintelligible; question posed by the professor is not answered at all; student does not critically analyze the text.

3. Students will be tasked with watching two videos relating to certain aspects of political violence and composing two short policy briefs of 750 words each (approximately 3 pages) based on the videos, assigned articles, and a question posed by the professor. Students must use 5

footnotes for citations (any style), 1-inch margins, double-spaced pages, and any legible 12-point size font. Policy briefs are to be submitted via Moodle by 4:00 PM on the following Wednesday after the viewing of the video. Policy briefs submitted after the deadline will receive a score of 0. 4. Students will be tasked with writing a short essay of 2,000 words (approximately 8 pages) in the form of a critical reaction memo focusing on all of the assigned readings for a given week. Students must sign-up for the week on which they intend to write their memos starting on January 14, 2016. No more than TWO students may write their reaction memos on a given week and no one is permitted to write on Weeks 6, 7, 8 or 12. Students must use footnotes for citations (any style), 1-inch margins, double-spaced pages, and any legible 12-point size font. Students only need to analyze and synthesize ALL of the assigned readings for a week. It is not necessary to conduct a review of other scholarly works outside of the syllabus. Reaction memos are to be submitted by the start of class (4:00 PM) via Moodle on the Wednesday of the week in which students have signed up for to write their memos. Students who do not submit their work on time will lose 50 points. Students who do not submit their work 24 hours after the deadline will receive a score of 0. Students must include a bibliography of scholarly references. 5. Students will be tasked with writing a long essay of 3,000 words (approximately 12 pages) on a topic concerning some aspect of political violence. Students will select a single country for analysis, formulate a research question which relates to some aspect of political violence, and conduct single-case study research. All essays require an introduction, research question, literature review, hypotheses, research findings, and a conclusion. Students are required to correspond with the professor to discuss topic ideas and must receive topic approval by March 23, 2016. Students are required to include scholarly references not listed on the syllabus in their essays. Students must use footnotes for citations (any style), 1-inch margins, double-spaced pages, and any legible 12-point size font. Essays are to be submitted by the start of class (4:00 PM) on April 27, 2016 via Moodle. Students who do not submit their work by the start of class will automatically lose 50 points. Students who do not submit their work 24 hours after the deadline will receive a score of 0. Students must include a bibliography of scholarly references. The critical reaction memo and research essay will be graded according to the following rubric: Grading 135-150

120-134

Assessment Student writes in a very coherent and creative manner; usage of proper citation format; paper has a full introduction and a conclusion; few or no grammatical and/or spelling errors in student’s work; student references scholarly articles/texts outside of syllabus readings and critically analyzes the works of other scholars. Student writes in an intelligible manner but his/her work is also lacking in creativity; citation format is evident but not fully consistent either; cursory introduction and conclusion; noticeable grammatical/spelling errors; student references some scholarly 6

articles/texts outside of syllabus in the form of a literature review to supplement his/her work; critical analysis of scholarly works is adequate. Student barely writes in a satisfactory manner; paper is largely lacking in terms of an introduction and conclusion; citation format is inconsistent; grammatical/spelling errors are prevalent; references to scholarly articles/texts outside of syllabus are quite lacking; critical analysis of other scholarly works is inadequate. Student writes in a largely unintelligible manner; citation format suffers from serious flaws; brief/no introduction and/or conclusion; many grammatical/spelling errors; virtually no references to articles/texts outside of syllabus or critical analysis of other scholarly works. Student writes in an unintelligible manner; citation format is nearly nonexistent; multiple grammatical/spelling errors; few/no references to scholarly articles/texts outside of syllabus; critical analysis is wholly inadequate in scope.

105-119

90-104

0-89

Grading: 20 Discussion Questions in 10 Weeks Book Review 2 Policy Briefs Critical Reaction Memo Research Essay Total

100 (Each Question is Worth 5 Points) 50 50 (25 Points Each) 150 150 500 points

Scale:

B+: 425-449 C+: 350-374 D+: 275-299

A: 475-500 B: 400-424 C: 325-349 D: 250-274

A-: 450-474 B-: 375-399 C-: 300-324 F: 249 and below

Graduate Student Attendance Notice: Graduate students need to attend seminar meetings. Any graduate student who misses more than 1 seminar without a valid medical excuse will receive a grade of F for the course. Graduate students need to submit a medical note to SHSS within 1 week of missing any seminar. 7

Additional Policies Students who fall ill on/near the due dates of assignments need to contact the professor. Extensions can only be given with proper medical documentation. Students who fall ill for an extended period need to submit a medical note within 3 business days of notifying the professor.

Academic Integrity: Students are required to ensure that the work which they submit for grading in this class is their own. Students must provide citations in the form of footnotes when referencing the works of other scholars in all of their assignments. Instances of cheating and/or plagiarism will not be tolerated and will result in the student receiving a score of 0 for an assignment. All instances in which plagiarism is suspected will be referred to SHSS for disciplinary review. Copying, rephrasing of text without citations, as well as submitting unoriginal work constitutes plagiarism.

Class Schedule:

Week 1: Introduction Wednesday (January 13)  

Mark Bowden, Black Hawk Down: A Story of Modern War (Grove Press, 1999), pp. 331-346 Richard Pollak, “When Pirates Attack: The Cost of Doing Business,” The Nation (May 11, 2009): 22-23.

Week 2: State Failure Wednesday (January 20)     

Robert D. Kaplan, “The Coming Anarchy,” The Atlantic (February 1994). Charles Tilly, “War Making and State Making as Organized Crime,” in Peter Evans, Dietrich Rueschemeyer and Theda Skocpol, eds. Bringing the State Back In (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1985): 169-191. Jack Goldstone, “Pathways to State Failure,” Conflict Management and Peace Science 25 (2008): 285-296. Jeffrey Herbst, “Let Them Fail: State Failure in Theory and Practice,” in When States Fail: Causes and Consequences, Robert I. Rotberg, ed. (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 2004): 302-318. Michael J. Mazarr, “The Rise and Fall of the Failed State Paradigm,” Foreign Affairs 93.1 (January/February 2014): 113-121. 8

Week 3: Civil Wars Wednesday (January 27)     

Stathis Kalyvas, “The Ontology of “Political Violence”: Action and Identity in Civil Wars,” Perspectives on Politics 1.3 (2003): 475-494. Carles Boix, “Economic Roots of Civil Wars and Revolutions in the Contemporary World,” World Politics 60.3 (2008): 390-437. David E. Cunningham, “Blocking Resolution: How External States Can Prolong Civil Wars,” Journal of Peace Research 47.2 (2010): 115-127. Barbara F. Walter, “Why Bad Governance Leads to Repeat Civil War,” Journal of Conflict Research (2014): 1-31. Ted Galen Carpenter, “Tangled Web: The Syrian Civil War and Its Implications,” Mediterranean Quarterly 24.1 (2013): 1-11.

Week 4: Terrorism and Insurgency Wednesday (February 3)      

Andrew H. Kydd and Barbara F. Walter, “The Strategies of Terrorism,” International Security 31.1 (2006): 49-80. Robert A. Pape, “The Strategic Logic of Suicide Terrorism,” American Political Science Review 97.3 (2003): 343-361. Max Abrahms, “Why Terrorism Does Not Work,” International Security 31.2 (2006): 42-78. Assaf Moghadam, “Motives for Martyrdom: Al-Qaida, Salafi Jihad, and the Spread of Suicide Attacks,” International Security 33.3 (2008-2009): 46-78. James D. Fearon and David Laitin, “Ethnicity, Insurgency, and Civil War,” American Political Science Review 97.1 (2003): 75-90. Ivan Arreguin-Toft, “How the Weak Win Wars: A Theory of Asymmetric Conflict,” International Security 26.1 (2001): 93-128.

Week 5: Counterterrorism and Counterinsurgency Wednesday (February 10)   

Matthew Kroenig and Barry Pavel, “How to Deter Terrorism,” The Washington Quarterly 35.2 (2012): 21-36. Mahmood Ahmad, “The Use of Drones in Pakistan: An Inquiry Into the Ethical and Legal Issues,” Political Quarterly 85.1 (January/March 2014): 65-74. Andrew F. Krepinevich, “How to Win in Iraq,” Foreign Affairs 84.5 (September/October 2005): 87-104. 9

 

Karl W. Eikenberry, “The Limits of Counterinsurgency Doctrine in Afghanistan,” Foreign Affairs 92.5 (September/October 2013): 59-74. Daniel Byman, “Friends Like These: Counterinsurgency and the War on Terrorism,” International Security 31.2 (2006): 79-115.

Week 6: Intractable Conflicts in the Global War on Terror Wednesday (February 17)  

VIDEO: “Obama at War,” PBS Frontline (May 26, 2015). Charles J. Sullivan, “Rise of the Radicals: America’s New Foreign Policy Challenge in the Global War on Terror,” Working Paper (2015-2016).

Week 7: Ethnicity and Conflict Wednesday (February 24)  

VIDEO: “Ghosts of Rwanda,” PBS Frontline (April 1, 2004). Lars-Erik Cederman, Andreas Wimmer, and Brian Min, “Why Do Ethnic Groups Rebel? New Data and Analysis,” World Politics 62.1 (2010): 87-119.

Week 8: Nationalism and Secessionism Wednesday (March 2)  

David D. Laitin, Nations, States, and Violence (2007) Carter Johnson, “Partitioning to Peace: Sovereignty, Demography, and Ethnic Civil Wars,” International Security 32.4 (2008): 140-170.

Week 9: Military Intervention Wednesday (March 9)     

Larry Diamond, “What Went Wrong in Iraq,” Foreign Affairs 83.5 (September/October 2004): 34-56. Benjamin A. Valentino, “The True Costs of Humanitarian Intervention,” Foreign Affairs 90.6 (November/December 2011): 60-73. Edward N. Luttwak, “Give War A Chance,” Foreign Affairs 78.4 (July/August 1999): 36-44. Alexander B. Downes and Jonathan Monten, “Forced to Be Free? Why Foreign-Imposed Regime Change Rarely Leads to Democratization,” International Security 37.4 (2013): 90-131. Alan J. Kuperman, “A Model Humanitarian Intervention? Reassessing NATO’s Libya Campaign,” International Security 38.1 (2013): 105-136. 10

Week 10: Protests and Uprisings Wednesday (March 16)     

Eva Bellin, “The Robustness of Authoritarianism in the Middle East: Exceptionalism in Comparative Perspective,” Comparative Politics 36.2 (January 2004): 139-157. Larry Diamond, “Why Are There No Arab Democracies?” Journal of Democracy 21.1 (January 2010): 93-104. Dina Shehata, “The Fall of the Pharaoh,” Foreign Affairs 90.3 (May/June 2011): 26-32. Filipe R. Campante and Davin Chor, “Why Was the Arab World Poised for Revolution? Schooling, Economic Opportunities, and the Arab Spring,” The Journal of Economic Perspectives 26.2 (Spring 2012): 167-187. Erica Chenoweth and Maria J. Stephan, “Drop Your Weapons,” Foreign Affairs 93.4 (July/August 2014): 94-106.

Week 11: Crackdowns and Mass Killings Wednesday (March 30)     

Charles J. Sullivan, “Civil Society in Chains: The Dynamics of Socio-Political Relations in Turkmenistan,” in Civil Society and Politics in Central Asia, ed. Charles E. Ziegler (2015): 249275. Eric McGlinchey, “The Making of Militants: The State and Islam in Central Asia,” Comparative Studies of South Asia, Africa, and the Middle East 25.3 (2006): 554-566. Robert M. Press, “Candles in the Wind: Resisting Repression in Liberia (1979-2003),” Africa Today 55.3 (Spring 2009): 3-22. Michael Colaresi and Sabine C. Carey, “To Kill or to Protect: Security Forces, Domestic Institutions, and Genocide,” Journal of Conflict Research 52.1 (2008): 39-67. Alan J. Kuperman, “Rwanda in Retrospect,” Foreign Affairs 79.1 (January/February 2000): 94118.

Week 12: Collapse Wednesday (April 6)  

Robert H. Bates, When Things Fell Apart: State Failure in Late-Century Africa (2008). Henry E. Hale, “Divided We Stand: Institutional Sources of Ethnofederal State Survival and Collapse,” World Politics 56.2 (2004): 165-193.

Week 13: Rebuilding 11

Wednesday (April 13)     

Nat J. Coletta, Markus Kostner, and Ingo Wiederhofer, “Disarmament, Demobilization, and Reintegration: Lessons and Liabilities in Reconstruction,” in When States Fail: Causes and Consequences, Robert I. Rotberg, ed. (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 2004): 170-181. Jennifer A. Widner, “Building Effective Trust in the Aftermath of Severe Conflict,” in When States Fail: Causes and Consequences, Robert I. Rotberg, ed. (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 2004): 222-236. Vanda Felbab-Brown, “Afghanistan: When Counternarcotics Undermines Counterterrorism,” The Washington Quarterly 28.4 (2005): 55-72. Eva Bellin, “The Iraqi Intervention and Democracy in Comparative Historical Perspective,” Political Science Quarterly 119.4 (Winter 2004-2005): 595-608. John G. Fox, “Approaching Humanitarian Intervention Strategically: The Case of Somalia,” SAIS Review 21.1 (2001): 147-158.

Week 14: Critical Threats Wednesday (April 20)     

Zaryab Iqbal and Christopher Zorn, “The Political Consequences of Assassination,” Journal of Conflict Resolution 52 (2008): 385-400. Jason Brownlee, “Hereditary Succession in Modern Autocracies,” World Politics 59.4 (2007): 595-628. Hanne Fjelde, “Generals, Dictators, and Kings: Authoritarian Regimes and Civil Conflict, 19732004,” Journal of Conflict Resolution 27 (2010): 195-218. Larry Diamond, “The Democratic Rollback,” Foreign Affairs 87.2 (March/April 2008): 36-48. Svante E. Cornell and Niklas L.P. Swanström, “The Eurasian Drug Trade: A Challenge to Regional Security,” Problems of Post-Communism 53.4 (2006): 10-28.

Week 15: Chaos Wednesday (April 27)     

Charles J. Sullivan, “The Coming Fall of Kabul,” PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo 386, George Washington University (September 2015). Nassim Nicholas Taleb and Gregory F. Treverton, “The Calm Before the Storm,” Foreign Affairs 94.1 (January/February 2015): 86-95. Craig Whiteside, “A Case for Terrorism as Genocide in an Era of Weakened States,” Dynamics of Asymmetric Conflict 8.3 (2015): 232-250. Kenneth John Menkhaus, “Governance without Government in Somalia,” International Security 31.3 (2006-2007): 74-106. Michael Chege, “Sierra Leone: The State that Came Back from the Dead,” The Washington Quarterly 25.3 (Summer 2002): 147-160. 12

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