proj Canada 29.08.2015.pdf

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Electoral projections for the next federal elections Projections électorales pour la prochaine élection fédérale

www.tooclosetocall.ca www.silatendancesemaintient.ca

29/08/2015 % Atlantic Quebec Ontario Prairies Alberta BC Canada*

CPC 23.2 14.9 33.0 41.3 50.2 31.8 30.7

LPC 40.4 20.4 31.0 27.4 18.4 25.3 26.6

NDP 32.2 44.0 31.7 26.6 25.5 35.5 34.2

Green 3.6 2.7 3.9 4.2 3.3 7.5 4.1

Seats/Sièges Atlantic Quebec Ontario Prairies Alberta BC Territories

6 4 49 17 31 13 1

19 10 42 5 0 9 1

7 64 30 6 3 19 1

0 0 0 0 0 1 0

0 -

Canada

121

86

130

1

0

CPC 23% 16% 16% 23% 11% 6% 10% 22% 18%

LPC 45% 66% 66% 52% 67% 19% 40% 63% 51%

NDP 31% 17% 16% 23% 21% 74% 49% 13% 28%

Green 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 2% 3%

Bloc

PEI

NFL

Riding/Circonscription Avalon Bonavista--Burin--Trinity Coast of Bays--Central--Notre Dame Labrador Long Range Mountains St. John's East St. John's South--Mount Pearl Cardigan Charlottetown

Bloc 16.9

3.5

Probability of winning most seats (with majority below) Probabilités de gagner le plus de sièges (et d'une majorité en-dessous) CPC 16.3% 0.0%

LPC 0.0% 0.0%

NDP 83.7% 0.0%

Green 0.0% 0.0%

Bloc 0.0% 0.0%

Probability of winning the riding Probabilité de remporter la circonscription

CPC 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

LPC NDP 96.8% 3.1% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 8.6% 91.4% 100.0% 0.0% 99.9% 0.1%

Green 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Bloc

PEI NS NB

Egmont 37% Malpeque 22% Cape Breton--Canso 18% Central Nova 38% Cumberland--Colchester 36% Dartmouth--Cole Harbour 10% Halifax 3% Halifax West 16% Kings--Hants 22% Sackville--Preston--Chezzetcook 16% South Shore--St. Margarets 25% Sydney--Victoria 23% West Nova 30% Acadie--Bathurst 2% Beauséjour 17% Fredericton 30% Fundy Royal 41% Madawaska--Restigouche 25% Miramichi--Grand Lake 36% Moncton--Riverview--Dieppe 22% New Brunswick Southwest 40% Saint John--Rothesay 33% Tobique--Mactaquac 45% Abitibi--Baie-James--Nunavik--Eeyou 20% Abitibi--Témiscamingue 8% Ahuntsic-Cartierville 8% Alfred-Pellan 10% Argenteuil--La Petite-Nation 13% Avignon--La Mitis--Matane--Matapédia 12% Beauce 49% Beauport-Côte-de-Beaupré-Île d'Orléans-Charlevoix 22% Beauport--Limoilou 23% Bécancour--Nicolet--Saurel 12% Bellechasse--Les Etchemins--Lévis 42%

44% 55% 55% 26% 31% 46% 37% 49% 51% 22% 30% 51% 49% 25% 52% 37% 23% 49% 34% 42% 26% 28% 29% 17% 12% 36% 28% 20% 29% 18% 11% 14% 16% 13%

16% 18% 23% 31% 27% 39% 55% 31% 23% 57% 40% 22% 16% 72% 26% 28% 31% 24% 27% 31% 28% 35% 23% 46% 53% 41% 44% 46% 28% 31% 40% 47% 38% 35%

2% 5% 4% 5% 6% 4% 5% 5% 4% 5% 5% 4% 4% 1% 5% 5% 6% 3% 3% 5% 6% 4% 3% 4% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 4% 2%

12% 24% 14% 16% 17% 28% 0% 25% 14% 31% 8%

37.3% 0.0% 0.0% 94.6% 90.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.3% 0.0% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 30.6% 98.4% 0.2% 81.4% 0.0% 99.2% 56.5% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 99.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 86.2%

62.7% 100.0% 100.0% 0.8% 7.9% 82.7% 0.8% 99.4% 100.0% 0.0% 6.9% 100.0% 98.7% 0.0% 100.0% 63.5% 0.0% 99.8% 17.5% 93.3% 0.2% 4.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 26.6% 1.0% 0.0% 38.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 4.6% 1.5% 17.3% 99.2% 0.6% 0.0% 100.0% 90.8% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 5.8% 1.6% 0.0% 1.1% 6.7% 0.6% 38.8% 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 73.4% 99.0% 100.0% 23.3% 0.6% 98.5% 100.0% 73.1% 13.8%

0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 38.3% 0.0% 1.5% 0.0% 26.9% 0.0%

QC

Beloeil--Chambly Berthier--Maskinongé Bourassa Brome--Missisquoi Brossard--Saint-Lambert Charlesbourg--Haute-Saint-Charles Châteauguay--Lacolle Chicoutimi--Le Fjord Compton--Stanstead Dorval--Lachine--LaSalle Drummond Gaspésie--Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine Gatineau Hochelaga Honoré-Mercier Hull--Aylmer Joliette Jonquière La Pointe-de-l'Île La Prairie Lac-Saint-Jean Lac-Saint-Louis LaSalle--Émard--Verdun Laurentides--Labelle Laurier--Sainte-Marie Laval--Les Îles Lévis--Lotbinière Longueuil--Charles-LeMoyne Longueuil--Saint-Hubert Louis-Hébert Louis-Saint-Laurent Manicouagan Marc-Aurèle-Fortin Mégantic--L'Érable

7% 11% 8% 10% 11% 28% 11% 24% 10% 13% 14% 18% 6% 6% 12% 8% 8% 32% 7% 8% 40% 27% 9% 8% 3% 15% 38% 9% 7% 20% 35% 10% 9% 47%

17% 18% 39% 28% 38% 14% 16% 13% 18% 34% 14% 23% 20% 17% 38% 26% 12% 10% 15% 19% 10% 38% 23% 19% 16% 27% 12% 19% 16% 21% 14% 13% 20% 13%

50% 43% 42% 44% 38% 46% 50% 40% 49% 42% 53% 30% 63% 50% 36% 60% 49% 44% 50% 51% 33% 30% 46% 46% 49% 49% 40% 47% 52% 40% 41% 50% 50% 27%

2% 3% 1% 3% 2% 2% 3% 2% 3% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 3% 5% 2% 3% 2% 2% 5% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2%

24% 24% 11% 16% 10% 10% 21% 21% 20% 7% 16% 26% 9% 25% 11% 3% 26% 13% 26% 20% 14% 0% 19% 24% 29% 7% 8% 22% 22% 18% 8% 25% 18% 10%

0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 4.5% 0.0% 0.0% 86.7% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 41.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 20.8% 0.0% 0.0% 99.9%

0.0% 0.0% 39.9% 1.1% 57.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 23.6% 0.0% 6.0% 0.0% 0.0% 68.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 91.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

100.0% 99.7% 60.1% 98.9% 43.0% 99.5% 100.0% 99.2% 100.0% 76.4% 100.0% 58.2% 100.0% 100.0% 32.0% 100.0% 100.0% 95.5% 100.0% 100.0% 13.3% 7.8% 99.9% 99.8% 99.8% 100.0% 58.8% 100.0% 100.0% 99.9% 79.2% 100.0% 100.0% 0.1%

0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 35.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Mirabel 8% Montarville 8% Montcalm 7% Montmagny--L'Islet--Kamouraska--Rivière-du-Loup 35% Mount Royal 34% Notre-Dame-de-Grâce--Westmount 17% Outremont 7% Papineau 4% Pierre-Boucher--Les Patriotes--Verchères 7% Pierrefonds--Dollard 26% Pontiac 25% Portneuf--Jacques-Cartier 0% Québec 16% Repentigny 6% Richmond--Arthabaska 23% Rimouski-Neigette--Témiscouata--Les Basques 13% Rivière-des-Mille-Îles 9% Rivière-du-Nord 7% Rosemont--La Petite-Patrie 3% Saint-Hyacinthe--Bagot 14% Saint-Jean 9% Saint-Laurent 18% Saint-Léonard--Saint-Michel 13% Saint-Maurice--Champlain 16% Salaberry--Suroît 11% Shefford 13% Sherbrooke 8% Terrebonne 7% Thérèse-De Blainville 8% Trois-Rivières 12% Vaudreuil--Soulanges 16% Ville-Marie--Le Sud-Ouest--Île-des-Soeurs 11% Vimy 11% Ajax 29%

14% 19% 11% 11% 45% 42% 26% 43% 16% 35% 21% 19% 16% 14% 13% 15% 17% 12% 14% 11% 15% 47% 46% 17% 14% 15% 16% 13% 16% 16% 18% 32% 26% 46%

52% 47% 54% 37% 18% 36% 57% 31% 47% 35% 48% 59% 44% 54% 34% 45% 51% 57% 54% 54% 49% 30% 34% 43% 46% 52% 46% 54% 52% 51% 45% 42% 44% 23%

3% 3% 4% 2% 2% 5% 3% 3% 3% 4% 2% 4% 3% 2% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% 3% 4% 3% 3%

24% 23% 24% 15% 0% 0% 7% 20% 27% 1% 3% 19% 21% 24% 27% 24% 20% 21% 27% 19% 24% 2% 5% 22% 27% 18% 28% 24% 21% 19% 18% 12% 16%

0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 32.3% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.2%

0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 98.3% 89.1% 0.0% 97.3% 0.0% 67.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 99.8% 98.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 14.6% 0.3% 98.8%

100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 67.7% 0.0% 10.9% 100.0% 2.7% 99.9% 32.3% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 79.1% 99.9% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 0.2% 1.9% 100.0% 99.6% 100.0% 99.2% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 85.4% 99.7% 0.0%

0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 18.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Algoma--Manitoulin--Kapuskasing Aurora--Oak Ridges--Richmond Hill Barrie--Innisfil Barrie--Springwater--Oro-Medonte Bay of Quinte Beaches--East York Brampton Centre Brampton East Brampton North Brampton South Brampton West Brantford--Brant Bruce--Grey--Owen Sound Burlington Cambridge Carleton Chatham-Kent--Leamington Davenport Don Valley East Don Valley North Don Valley West Dufferin--Caledon Durham Eglinton--Lawrence Elgin--Middlesex--London Essex Etobicoke Centre Etobicoke North Etobicoke--Lakeshore Flamborough--Glanbrook Glengarry--Prescott--Russell Guelph Haldimand--Norfolk Haliburton--Kawartha Lakes--Brock

18% 36% 47% 40% 41% 9% 32% 16% 34% 30% 27% 36% 41% 41% 40% 50% 40% 2% 23% 26% 29% 44% 45% 33% 45% 35% 28% 20% 26% 43% 38% 22% 38% 49%

21% 36% 20% 25% 26% 36% 33% 38% 36% 43% 44% 25% 24% 30% 22% 25% 23% 34% 44% 44% 48% 20% 21% 45% 20% 21% 47% 49% 42% 23% 36% 49% 32% 18%

57% 24% 28% 28% 29% 50% 30% 45% 26% 24% 27% 35% 25% 25% 34% 20% 34% 61% 30% 29% 19% 21% 30% 19% 32% 42% 22% 31% 28% 29% 23% 23% 27% 28%

3% 4% 6% 6% 4% 5% 5% 2% 4% 2% 2% 3% 10% 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 1% 4% 15% 5% 3% 3% 3% 3% 0% 4% 4% 4% 6% 3% 5%

0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 50.4% 48.8% 0.8% 99.6% 0.0% 0.4% 94.7% 1.6% 3.7% 97.1% 0.4% 2.5% 0.0% 4.2% 95.8% 32.1% 48.2% 19.7% 0.0% 17.5% 82.5% 39.7% 58.2% 2.0% 5.3% 94.6% 0.1% 1.2% 98.2% 0.6% 55.0% 1.6% 43.4% 98.2% 0.8% 1.0% 94.4% 5.1% 0.5% 80.1% 0.2% 19.6% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 77.2% 0.2% 22.6% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.1% 98.1% 1.8% 0.3% 98.1% 1.6% 0.3% 99.7% 0.0% 99.9% 0.1% 0.1% 98.8% 0.0% 1.2% 5.3% 94.7% 0.0% 96.9% 0.0% 3.1% 15.7% 0.0% 84.3% 0.2% 99.8% 0.0% 0.0% 99.4% 0.6% 1.3% 97.2% 1.5% 98.3% 0.2% 1.5% 63.5% 36.5% 0.1% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 78.8% 17.1% 4.1% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0%

0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Ont.

Hamilton Centre 13% Hamilton East--Stoney Creek 26% Hamilton Mountain 21% Hamilton West--Ancaster--Dundas 30% Hastings--Lennox and Addington 44% Humber River--Black Creek 10% Huron--Bruce 40% Kanata--Carleton 42% Kenora 32% Kingston and the Islands 25% King--Vaughan 42% Kitchener Centre 27% Kitchener South--Hespeler 38% Kitchener--Conestoga 41% Lambton--Kent--Middlesex 45% Lanark--Frontenac--Kingston 50% Leeds-Grenville-Thousand Islands and Rideau50% Lakes London North Centre 23% London West 31% London--Fanshawe 22% Markham--Stouffville 35% Markham--Thornhill 22% Markham--Unionville 30% Milton 42% Mississauga Centre 27% Mississauga East--Cooksville 29% Mississauga--Erin Mills 31% Mississauga--Lakeshore 32% Mississauga--Malton 22% Mississauga--Streetsville 31% Nepean 40% Newmarket--Aurora 39% Niagara Centre 28% Niagara Falls 41%

19% 20% 21% 31% 22% 53% 24% 31% 30% 44% 35% 39% 26% 30% 21% 21% 21% 41% 33% 18% 37% 44% 42% 31% 45% 44% 42% 45% 45% 43% 32% 32% 20% 25%

68% 51% 55% 35% 30% 35% 33% 22% 36% 27% 20% 28% 32% 25% 31% 24% 24% 31% 32% 57% 25% 31% 24% 23% 26% 25% 23% 20% 31% 22% 24% 24% 50% 30%

1% 3% 3% 4% 4% 2% 3% 5% 3% 4% 3% 5% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% 4% 4% 5% 3% 4%

0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 17.7% 98.7% 0.0% 83.4% 95.6% 25.2% 0.1% 81.1% 4.0% 80.9% 94.5% 96.7% 100.0% 100.0% 0.3% 26.9% 0.0% 39.6% 0.1% 6.9% 94.3% 1.0% 2.2% 8.1% 4.7% 0.1% 6.5% 88.6% 82.5% 0.1% 95.2%

0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 26.3% 0.0% 99.4% 0.9% 4.4% 13.9% 99.7% 18.9% 92.4% 2.2% 5.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 91.3% 39.9% 0.0% 59.4% 97.3% 92.7% 5.7% 98.8% 97.6% 91.8% 95.3% 97.8% 93.5% 10.9% 16.8% 0.0% 0.8%

100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 56.0% 1.3% 0.6% 15.7% 0.1% 60.9% 0.3% 0.0% 3.5% 16.9% 0.2% 3.3% 0.0% 0.0% 8.5% 33.2% 100.0% 1.0% 2.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 2.1% 0.0% 0.5% 0.7% 99.9% 4.0%

0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Niagara West Nickel Belt Nipissing--Timiskaming Northumberland--Peterborough South Oakville Oakville North--Burlington Orléans Oshawa Ottawa Centre Ottawa South Ottawa West--Nepean Ottawa--Vanier Oxford Parkdale--High Park Parry Sound--Muskoka Perth--Wellington Peterborough--Kawartha Pickering--Uxbridge Renfrew--Nipissing--Pembroke Richmond Hill Sarnia--Lambton Sault Ste. Marie Scarborough Centre Scarborough North Scarborough Southwest Scarborough--Agincourt Scarborough--Guildwood Scarborough--Rouge Park Simcoe North Simcoe--Grey Spadina--Fort York St. Catharines Stormont--Dundas--South Glengarry Sudbury

48% 14% 22% 43% 39% 41% 34% 36% 12% 24% 33% 18% 46% 3% 41% 40% 39% 30% 52% 28% 39% 25% 20% 20% 18% 21% 22% 18% 39% 40% 9% 39% 51% 14%

21% 21% 43% 26% 37% 34% 43% 15% 24% 48% 36% 42% 16% 39% 19% 26% 26% 42% 22% 44% 20% 27% 39% 35% 35% 51% 42% 41% 27% 24% 39% 27% 23% 25%

26% 62% 28% 26% 20% 22% 21% 45% 59% 25% 26% 35% 33% 55% 32% 29% 31% 23% 24% 25% 37% 45% 39% 44% 43% 26% 34% 38% 28% 30% 49% 30% 23% 58%

5% 3% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 4% 5% 3% 4% 5% 5% 3% 8% 5% 4% 5% 2% 4% 3% 2% 3% 2% 4% 2% 2% 3% 6% 7% 4% 4% 2% 3%

99.9% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.1% 98.1% 1.8% 99.3% 0.4% 0.3% 57.2% 42.8% 0.0% 85.6% 14.4% 0.0% 8.1% 91.9% 0.0% 12.6% 0.0% 87.4% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 31.3% 66.2% 2.5% 0.0% 87.8% 12.2% 96.5% 0.0% 3.5% 0.0% 2.2% 97.8% 88.1% 0.1% 11.8% 91.3% 2.4% 6.4% 89.0% 1.4% 9.6% 7.6% 92.0% 0.4% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.2% 97.3% 0.5% 61.8% 0.0% 38.2% 0.3% 0.6% 99.1% 0.0% 50.7% 49.3% 0.0% 11.8% 88.2% 0.0% 14.0% 85.9% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.1% 84.6% 15.3% 0.0% 62.0% 38.0% 91.2% 4.6% 4.2% 89.6% 1.9% 8.5% 0.0% 9.4% 90.6% 87.1% 3.8% 9.1% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0%

0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Man.

Thornhill 48% Thunder Bay--Rainy River 13% Thunder Bay--Superior North 16% Timmins--James Bay 18% Toronto Centre 9% Toronto--Danforth 1% Toronto--St. Paul's 20% University--Rosedale 8% Vaughan--Woodbridge 41% Waterloo 28% Wellington--Halton Hills 51% Whitby 43% Willowdale 27% Windsor West 19% Windsor--Tecumseh 21% York Centre 35% York South--Weston 12% York--Simcoe 49% Brandon--Souris 50% Charleswood--St. James--Assiniboia--Headingley 41% Churchill--Keewatinook Aski 12% Dauphin--Swan River--Neepawa 51% Elmwood--Transcona 30% Kildonan--St. Paul 45% Portage--Lisgar 63% Provencher 57% Saint Boniface--Saint Vital 34% Selkirk--Interlake--Eastman 53% Winnipeg Centre 11% Winnipeg North 10% Winnipeg South 35% Winnipeg South Centre 25% Battlefords--Lloydminster 50% Cypress Hills--Grasslands 54%

30% 28% 23% 23% 45% 24% 46% 36% 38% 45% 23% 32% 46% 17% 19% 40% 38% 19% 22% 37% 36% 22% 24% 24% 22% 23% 50% 21% 30% 54% 50% 55% 21% 23%

19% 56% 58% 57% 43% 69% 29% 51% 18% 21% 19% 24% 27% 61% 57% 23% 47% 26% 22% 17% 49% 22% 42% 28% 8% 16% 13% 22% 51% 32% 11% 16% 26% 19%

3% 2% 3% 2% 4% 7% 5% 5% 2% 5% 7% 2% 1% 3% 3% 2% 3% 6% 7% 5% 3% 5% 4% 4% 7% 4% 4% 4% 8% 3% 3% 4% 4% 4%

99.0% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 63.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 98.9% 0.0% 2.7% 66.4% 33.6% 1.0% 99.0% 100.0% 0.0% 91.5% 8.3% 0.4% 99.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 23.7% 76.1% 0.0% 12.0% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 72.7% 27.3% 0.0% 4.3% 100.0% 0.0% 6.5% 0.4% 99.4% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 2.1% 97.9% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 99.8% 2.9% 97.1% 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0%

0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 36.7% 100.0% 1.1% 97.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 100.0% 100.0% 0.2% 88.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 95.7% 0.0% 93.1% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 99.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Sask. Alb.

Desnethé--Missinippi--Churchill River Carlton Trail--Eagle Creek Moose Jaw--Lake Centre--Lanigan Prince Albert Regina--Lewvan Regina--Qu'Appelle Regina--Wascana Saskatoon--Grasswood Saskatoon--University Saskatoon West Souris--Moose Mountain Yorkton--Melville Banff--Airdrie Battle River--Crowfoot Bow River Calgary Centre Calgary Confederation Calgary Forest Lawn Calgary Heritage Calgary Midnapore Calgary Nose Hill Calgary Rocky Ridge Calgary Shepard Calgary Signal Hill Calgary Skyview Edmonton Centre Edmonton Griesbach Edmonton Manning Edmonton Mill Woods Edmonton Riverbend Edmonton Strathcona Edmonton West Edmonton--Wetaskiwin Foothills

31% 52% 45% 46% 30% 40% 21% 37% 35% 28% 57% 53% 58% 70% 71% 42% 40% 50% 60% 62% 55% 55% 62% 51% 43% 29% 35% 40% 41% 41% 21% 46% 63% 67%

23% 21% 21% 21% 25% 21% 58% 24% 26% 20% 23% 24% 16% 10% 11% 27% 26% 25% 16% 15% 19% 21% 16% 23% 36% 34% 17% 21% 22% 25% 13% 23% 13% 12%

43% 22% 30% 29% 42% 35% 17% 36% 35% 48% 16% 20% 20% 17% 16% 23% 23% 21% 20% 19% 21% 19% 19% 19% 18% 37% 47% 39% 36% 32% 66% 30% 21% 18%

3% 4% 4% 3% 4% 4% 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 3% 6% 2% 2% 8% 11% 3% 3% 4% 5% 5% 4% 7% 3% 1% 1% 0% 0% 2% 0% 1% 2% 3%

3.9% 0.0% 96.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 98.3% 0.0% 1.7% 99.3% 0.0% 0.7% 6.6% 0.9% 92.6% 72.2% 0.0% 27.8% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 51.9% 0.7% 47.4% 51.5% 3.0% 45.5% 0.6% 0.0% 99.3% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 98.9% 0.9% 0.2% 98.6% 1.1% 0.3% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 85.2% 14.8% 0.0% 7.7% 32.2% 60.1% 5.1% 0.0% 94.9% 53.4% 0.0% 46.6% 74.3% 0.0% 25.6% 89.5% 0.3% 10.2% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 97.7% 0.0% 2.3% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0%

0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

BC

Fort McMurray--Cold Lake Grande Prairie--Mackenzie Lakeland Lethbridge Medicine Hat--Cardston--Warner Peace River--Westlock Red Deer--Lacombe Red Deer--Mountain View Sherwood Park--Fort Saskatchewan St. Albert--Edmonton Sturgeon River--Parkland Yellowhead Abbotsford Burnaby North--Seymour Burnaby South Cariboo--Prince George Central Okanagan--Similkameen--Nicola Chilliwack--Hope Cloverdale--Langley City Coquitlam--Port Coquitlam Courtenay--Alberni Cowichan--Malahat--Langford Delta Esquimalt--Saanich--Sooke Fleetwood--Port Kells Kamloops--Thompson--Cariboo Kelowna--Lake Country Kootenay--Columbia Langley--Aldergrove Mission--Matsqui--Fraser Canyon Nanaimo--Ladysmith New Westminster--Burnaby North Island--Powell River North Okanagan--Shuswap

60% 64% 66% 43% 57% 66% 65% 66% 52% 46% 65% 66% 53% 25% 23% 43% 41% 46% 39% 37% 28% 29% 29% 23% 29% 38% 44% 36% 47% 41% 26% 18% 29% 41%

18% 11% 13% 17% 19% 12% 11% 11% 19% 21% 13% 11% 19% 31% 26% 16% 21% 22% 27% 23% 20% 18% 34% 22% 31% 16% 22% 14% 24% 19% 19% 23% 19% 18%

20% 23% 18% 37% 22% 20% 21% 19% 25% 31% 20% 20% 23% 40% 47% 35% 30% 27% 29% 35% 45% 46% 32% 42% 38% 41% 25% 43% 24% 36% 48% 54% 46% 30%

2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 2% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 4% 5% 4% 3% 6% 8% 5% 5% 4% 7% 7% 5% 13% 2% 5% 9% 6% 5% 5% 7% 4% 5% 11%

100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 78.2% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 97.7% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 2.0% 0.0% 90.4% 94.8% 99.8% 88.3% 57.6% 1.4% 0.5% 16.7% 0.2% 10.4% 37.0% 99.9% 17.5% 99.9% 75.8% 0.0% 0.0% 1.3% 95.1%

0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 9.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 47.2% 0.1% 13.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 21.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 88.5% 99.9% 9.6% 5.1% 0.2% 8.2% 42.0% 98.6% 99.5% 36.1% 99.7% 76.2% 63.0% 0.1% 82.5% 0.0% 24.2% 100.0% 100.0% 98.7% 4.9%

0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

BC Terr.

North Vancouver 29% Pitt Meadows--Maple Ridge 36% Port Moody--Coquitlam 28% Prince George--Peace River--Northern Rockies 48% Richmond Centre 39% Saanich--Gulf Islands 22% Skeena--Bulkley Valley 24% South Okanagan--West Kootenay 31% South Surrey--White Rock 35% Steveston--Richmond East 35% Surrey Centre 20% Surrey--Newton 11% Vancouver Centre 12% Vancouver East 4% Vancouver Granville 18% Vancouver Kingsway 13% Vancouver Quadra 22% Vancouver South 25% Victoria 8% West Vancouver--Sunshine Coast--Sea to Sky27% Country Yukon 24% Northwest Territories 23% Nunavut 40%

45% 20% 23% 16% 34% 18% 14% 18% 35% 34% 33% 49% 43% 23% 44% 29% 55% 48% 23% 39% 39% 26% 35%

21% 39% 45% 30% 22% 14% 59% 43% 24% 27% 44% 38% 30% 65% 28% 54% 18% 25% 45% 26% 18% 48% 23%

5% 5% 4% 6% 5% 46% 3% 8% 6% 4% 4% 2% 15% 7% 9% 3% 5% 2% 24% 8% 19% 3% 2%

*due to a general lack of polls, the projections for the three territories use the federal vote intentions. ** winning=getting the most seats

1.6% 35.2% 1.1% 99.8% 77.5% 0.0% 0.0% 3.3% 49.7% 54.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 4.8%

98.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 64.7% 0.0% 0.1% 98.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 22.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 96.7% 0.0% 48.9% 1.4% 0.0% 39.5% 5.7% 0.0% 5.3% 94.7% 0.0% 93.5% 6.5% 0.0% 97.6% 2.4% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 98.8% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 99.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 99.9% 0.0% 93.2% 2.0% 0.0%