Electoral projections for the next federal elections Projections électorales pour la prochaine élection fédérale

www.tooclosetocall.ca www.silatendancesemaintient.ca

05/06/2015 % Atlantic Quebec Ontario Prairies Alberta BC Canada*

CPC 22.0 16.0 31.0 37.0 53.0 27.0 29.2

LPC 37.0 17.0 28.0 26.0 18.0 20.0 23.9

NDP 25.0 38.0 31.0 25.5 23.0 35.0 31.3

Green 13.0 6.0 6.0 9.5 1.0 15.0 7.4

Bloc 20.0 4.8

Seats/Sièges Atlantic Quebec Ontario Prairies Alberta BC Territories

7 7 49 15 31 11 1

19 11 38 5 1 8 1

6 56 34 8 2 22 1

0 0 0 0 0 1 0

4 -

Canada

121

83

129

1

4

CPC 22% 15% 15% 22% 10% 5% 9% 20% 17%

LPC 42% 64% 64% 50% 65% 16% 37% 61% 49%

NDP 25% 10% 9% 16% 14% 68% 43% 6% 21%

Green 11% 11% 11% 12% 11% 11% 11% 13% 13%

Bloc

PEI

NFL

Riding/Circonscription Avalon Bonavista-Burin-Trinity Coast of Bays-Central-Notre Dame Labrador Long Range Mountains St. John’s East St. John’s South—Mount Pearl Cardigan Charlottetown

Probability of winning most seats (with majority) Probabilités de gagner le plus de sièges (avec majorité) CPC 23.9% 0%

LPC 0.0% 0%

NDP 76.1% 0%

Green 0.0% 0%

Bloc 0.0% 0%

Probability of winning the riding Probabilité de remporter la circonscription

CPC 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

LPC NDP 99.6% 0.4% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 20.8% 79.2% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0%

Green 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Bloc

PEI NS NB

Egmont Malpeque Cape Breton—Canso Central Nova Cumberland—Colchester Dartmouth—Cole Harbour Halifax Halifax West Kings—Hants Sackville—Preston—Chezzetcook South Shore—St. Margarets Sydney—Victoria West Nova Acadie—Bathurst Beauséjour Fredericton Fundy Royal Madawaska—Restigouche Miramichi—Grand Lake Moncton—Riverview—Dieppe New Brunswick Southwest Saint John—Rothesay Tobique—Mactaquac Abitibi—Baie-James—Nunavik—Eeyou Abitibi—Témiscamingue Ahuntsic-Cartierville Alfred-Pellan Argenteuil—La Petite-Nation Avignon—La Mitis—Matane—Matapédia Beauce Beauport—Limoilou Bécancour—Nicolet—Saurel Bellechasse—Les Etchemins—Lévis Beloeil—Chambly

36% 21% 17% 37% 35% 9% 2% 15% 21% 15% 24% 23% 28% 1% 16% 29% 39% 23% 34% 21% 38% 31% 43% 22% 10% 8% 11% 15% 13% 51% 25% 13% 44% 9%

43% 53% 53% 24% 29% 44% 34% 46% 49% 20% 28% 49% 48% 23% 50% 34% 20% 47% 32% 39% 24% 26% 27% 14% 9% 34% 26% 17% 26% 14% 10% 13% 9% 13%

9% 11% 16% 24% 20% 33% 49% 25% 16% 51% 34% 15% 9% 66% 19% 22% 25% 16% 20% 25% 21% 29% 16% 41% 47% 26% 38% 41% 23% 26% 43% 31% 30% 44%

13% 15% 14% 15% 17% 14% 15% 14% 14% 15% 15% 14% 15% 10% 15% 15% 16% 13% 14% 15% 17% 14% 14% 8% 6% 6% 6% 7% 6% 5% 5% 7% 5% 6%

15% 28% 26% 20% 20% 32% 4% 17% 36% 12% 28%

48.1% 0.0% 0.0% 99.4% 96.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 14.7% 0.0% 2.6% 0.0% 0.0% 46.0% 99.9% 0.2% 90.2% 0.2% 99.9% 85.8% 100.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.6% 0.0% 98.3% 0.0%

51.9% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 3.8% 0.1% 94.4% 5.6% 2.6% 97.4% 99.9% 0.1% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 13.2% 72.1% 100.0% 0.0% 97.4% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 53.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.1% 99.8% 0.0% 9.7% 0.0% 98.8% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 3.7% 10.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 99.6% 0.0% 99.8% 84.5% 8.8% 2.1% 97.8% 0.0% 100.0% 14.2% 3.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 99.4% 0.0% 24.2% 0.0% 1.7% 0.0% 99.5%

0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

0.0% 0.2% 6.7% 0.0% 0.0% 82.4% 0.0% 0.0% 75.8% 0.0% 0.5%

QC

Berthier—Maskinongé Blainville Boucher—Les Patriotes—Verchères Bourassa Brome—Missisquoi Brossard—Saint-Lambert Centre-du-Bas-Saint-Laurent Charlesbourg—Haute-Saint-Charles Charlevoix—Montmorency Châteauguay—Lacolle Chicoutimi Compton—Stanstead Dorval—Lachine Drummond Gaspésie—Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine Gatineau Hochelaga Honoré-Mercier Hull—Aylmer Joliette Jonquière La Pointe-de-l'Île La Prairie Lac-Saint-Jean Lac-Saint-Louis LaSalle—Verdun Laurentides—Labelle Laurier—Sainte-Marie Laval—Les Îles LeMoyne Lévis—Lotbinière Longueuil Louis-Hébert Louis-Saint-Laurent

12% 9% 8% 8% 12% 13% 14% 30% 23% 12% 26% 12% 14% 16% 19% 8% 7% 13% 10% 9% 34% 7% 9% 43% 29% 9% 9% 4% 16% 10% 40% 8% 22% 38%

15% 13% 13% 41% 25% 36% 12% 10% 8% 13% 9% 15% 32% 11% 20% 17% 14% 36% 24% 9% 6% 13% 16% 6% 37% 21% 16% 13% 24% 16% 8% 13% 17% 10%

38% 46% 41% 28% 39% 33% 40% 42% 35% 45% 34% 43% 37% 48% 25% 58% 45% 32% 54% 43% 39% 44% 46% 28% 25% 41% 40% 44% 44% 42% 35% 46% 35% 37%

6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 6% 5% 6% 8% 6% 5% 6% 6% 6% 7% 8% 5% 6% 6% 5% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 7% 5% 6% 5% 5%

28% 25% 31% 17% 19% 13% 28% 13% 29% 24% 26% 24% 9% 19% 31% 12% 28% 13% 5% 30% 16% 30% 23% 18% 0% 21% 28% 32% 10% 25% 12% 26% 21% 11%

0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 4.8% 0.8% 0.0% 8.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 26.0% 0.0% 0.0% 99.1% 6.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 79.7% 0.0% 1.3% 57.3%

0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 97.9% 1.3% 68.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.4% 0.0% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% 76.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 90.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%

93.6% 100.0% 93.6% 2.1% 98.7% 31.5% 97.1% 95.2% 83.2% 100.0% 82.3% 99.9% 83.6% 100.0% 15.4% 100.0% 99.7% 23.8% 100.0% 97.7% 74.0% 99.0% 100.0% 0.9% 3.6% 100.0% 96.4% 96.1% 99.9% 99.4% 20.3% 100.0% 97.6% 42.7%

0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

6.4% 0.0% 6.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.9% 0.0% 16.0% 0.0% 9.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 82.4% 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 2.3% 0.0% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3.6% 3.9% 0.0% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 1.0% 0.0%

Manicouagan 11% Mégantic—L'Érable 50% Mirabel 9% Montarville 9% Montcalm 8% Montmagny—L'Islet—Kamouraska—Rivière-du-Loup 36% Mont-Royal 36% Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount 18% Outremont 8% Papineau 5% Pierrefonds—Dollard 27% Pontiac 26% Portneuf—Jacques-Cartier 0% Québec 17% Repentigny 7% Richmond—Arthabaska 25% Rivière-des-Mille-Îles 10% Rivière-du-Nord 8% Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie 4% Sainte-Rose 10% Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot 15% Saint-Jean 10% Saint-Laurent 19% Saint-Léonard—Saint-Michel 14% Saint-Maurice—Champlain 17% Salaberry—Suroît 12% Shefford 14% Sherbrooke 9% Soulanges—Vaudreuil 17% Terrebonne 8% Trois-Rivières 13% Ville-Marie 12% Vimy 13% Ajax 28%

9% 9% 11% 16% 8% 8% 44% 41% 24% 41% 33% 18% 14% 12% 11% 10% 14% 9% 12% 17% 8% 12% 46% 45% 14% 11% 12% 13% 15% 10% 13% 30% 24% 44%

44% 22% 46% 41% 48% 33% 13% 31% 52% 26% 30% 43% 54% 40% 48% 28% 45% 51% 48% 45% 49% 44% 24% 28% 37% 40% 47% 40% 40% 48% 46% 37% 39% 22%

6% 5% 6% 7% 8% 5% 7% 10% 7% 6% 9% 6% 8% 6% 6% 6% 7% 6% 6% 7% 6% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 7% 7% 6% 8% 6% 6%

30% 14% 28% 27% 28% 18% 0% 1% 9% 23% 2% 6% 24% 25% 28% 31% 24% 25% 30% 21% 22% 28% 3% 7% 26% 31% 21% 33% 21% 28% 22% 13% 19%

0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 67.4% 9.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 5.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 7.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.5%

0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 90.6% 93.2% 0.0% 99.2% 59.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 99.9% 99.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 9.6% 0.7% 98.4%

97.9% 0.0% 99.7% 99.3% 99.8% 32.6% 0.0% 6.8% 100.0% 0.8% 34.7% 99.6% 100.0% 99.0% 99.9% 28.4% 100.0% 100.0% 99.8% 100.0% 100.0% 99.3% 0.1% 0.5% 97.0% 91.2% 100.0% 86.8% 99.9% 99.9% 100.0% 90.4% 99.2% 0.1%

0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2.1% 0.0% 0.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.0% 0.1% 64.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 3.0% 8.8% 0.0% 13.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%

Algoma—Manitoulin—Kapuskasing Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill Barrie—Innisfil Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte Bay of Quinte Beaches—East York Brampton Centre Brampton East Brampton North Brampton South Brampton West Brant Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound Burlington Cambridge Chatham-Kent—Leamington Davenport Don Valley East Don Valley North Don Valley West Dufferin—Caledon Durham Eglinton—Lawrence Elgin—Middlesex—London Essex Etobicoke Centre Etobicoke—Lakeshore Etobicoke North Flamborough—Glanbrook Glengarry—Prescott—Russell Guelph Haldimand—Norfolk Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock Hamilton Centre

18% 36% 46% 40% 41% 9% 31% 16% 34% 30% 27% 35% 41% 41% 39% 39% 2% 23% 25% 28% 44% 44% 32% 45% 34% 27% 26% 20% 43% 37% 21% 37% 49% 12%

18% 34% 17% 22% 24% 34% 31% 35% 34% 42% 42% 23% 21% 28% 20% 20% 31% 43% 43% 47% 18% 19% 44% 17% 18% 46% 40% 47% 21% 35% 48% 30% 16% 16%

58% 24% 28% 28% 29% 50% 31% 45% 26% 24% 27% 36% 25% 25% 35% 35% 61% 29% 29% 18% 20% 30% 18% 32% 43% 22% 28% 31% 29% 22% 22% 28% 28% 68%

5% 6% 8% 9% 6% 7% 7% 4% 6% 5% 4% 6% 13% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 4% 6% 18% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 6% 2% 7% 6% 9% 6% 7% 3%

0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 58.1% 40.7% 1.3% 99.1% 0.0% 0.9% 94.0% 0.7% 5.4% 95.1% 0.3% 4.6% 0.0% 2.0% 98.0% 33.8% 35.0% 31.2% 0.0% 8.5% 91.5% 46.3% 49.1% 4.6% 6.4% 93.5% 0.2% 1.5% 97.2% 1.3% 46.8% 0.7% 52.5% 98.2% 0.3% 1.5% 96.2% 3.2% 0.6% 73.2% 0.0% 26.8% 71.5% 0.1% 28.4% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.1% 96.9% 3.1% 0.4% 97.0% 2.6% 0.5% 99.5% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 98.3% 0.0% 1.7% 5.9% 94.1% 0.0% 95.2% 0.0% 4.8% 10.4% 0.0% 89.6% 0.5% 99.5% 0.0% 1.1% 96.0% 2.9% 0.0% 99.2% 0.8% 97.8% 0.0% 2.2% 65.2% 34.5% 0.2% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 79.7% 13.3% 7.0% 99.9% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0%

0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Ont.

Hamilton East—Stoney Creek Hamilton Mountain Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas Hastings—Lennox and Addington Huron—Bruce Kanata—Carleton Kenora King—Vaughan Kingston and the Islands Kitchener Centre Kitchener—Conestoga Kitchener South—Hespeler Lambton—Kent—Middlesex Lanark—Frontenac Leeds—Grenville London—Fanshawe London North Centre London West Markham—Stouffville Markham—Thornhill Markham—Unionville Milton Mississauga Centre Mississauga—Cooksville Mississauga—Erin Mills Mississauga—Lakeshore Mississauga—Malton Mississauga—Streetsville Nepean Newmarket—Aurora Niagara Centre Niagara Falls Niagara West Nickel Belt

26% 21% 29% 44% 40% 42% 32% 42% 24% 26% 41% 37% 44% 49% 50% 21% 23% 31% 35% 22% 30% 42% 26% 28% 31% 31% 22% 31% 39% 39% 27% 41% 48% 14%

17% 19% 29% 20% 21% 30% 27% 33% 43% 38% 28% 23% 18% 20% 19% 15% 39% 31% 35% 42% 40% 29% 43% 42% 40% 43% 43% 41% 31% 30% 18% 23% 19% 18%

52% 55% 35% 30% 33% 22% 37% 19% 27% 29% 25% 33% 32% 24% 24% 58% 32% 33% 25% 31% 24% 23% 26% 25% 23% 20% 31% 22% 24% 24% 50% 30% 26% 63%

5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 7% 5% 5% 6% 7% 6% 7% 6% 7% 7% 5% 6% 5% 6% 5% 6% 7% 5% 5% 5% 6% 5% 6% 6% 7% 5% 6% 7% 5%

0.0% 0.0% 14.9% 97.6% 78.0% 96.2% 22.1% 86.9% 0.0% 3.9% 95.4% 74.9% 95.2% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.3% 24.5% 46.6% 0.1% 8.6% 95.7% 1.3% 2.9% 11.2% 6.7% 0.1% 8.8% 88.7% 86.2% 0.1% 93.5% 99.9% 0.0%

0.0% 0.0% 15.2% 0.0% 0.2% 3.6% 6.2% 13.1% 99.5% 88.2% 4.1% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 86.2% 29.4% 51.3% 94.7% 90.4% 4.1% 98.0% 96.4% 88.3% 93.2% 95.3% 91.1% 10.4% 12.7% 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%

100.0% 100.0% 70.0% 2.4% 21.8% 0.1% 71.8% 0.0% 0.5% 7.9% 0.5% 24.2% 4.8% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 13.4% 46.1% 2.1% 5.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.0% 4.6% 0.1% 0.9% 1.0% 99.9% 6.1% 0.1% 100.0%

0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Nipissing—Timiskaming Northumberland—Pine Ridge Oakville Oakville North—Burlington Oshawa Ottawa Centre Ottawa—Orléans Ottawa South Ottawa—Vanier Ottawa West—Nepean Oxford Parkdale—High Park Parry Sound—Muskoka Perth—Wellington Peterborough Pickering—Uxbridge Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke Richmond Hill Rideau—Carleton St. Catharines St. Paul's Sarnia—Lambton Sault Ste. Marie Scarborough—Agincourt Scarborough Centre Scarborough—Guildwood Scarborough North Scarborough—Rouge Park Scarborough Southwest Simcoe—Grey Simcoe North Spadina—Fort York Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry Sudbury

22% 42% 38% 41% 35% 11% 33% 23% 17% 32% 46% 3% 41% 40% 38% 30% 52% 27% 50% 38% 20% 39% 25% 20% 19% 21% 19% 18% 18% 39% 38% 8% 51% 14%

41% 25% 36% 32% 12% 23% 42% 48% 41% 35% 13% 36% 16% 23% 25% 40% 20% 42% 24% 25% 44% 18% 25% 50% 37% 40% 33% 39% 33% 21% 24% 28% 21% 22%

28% 26% 20% 22% 46% 59% 20% 24% 35% 26% 34% 55% 33% 30% 31% 23% 23% 25% 20% 31% 29% 38% 46% 25% 39% 34% 44% 39% 43% 30% 28% 57% 23% 59%

8% 7% 6% 6% 6% 7% 5% 5% 7% 6% 7% 5% 11% 8% 6% 7% 5% 7% 6% 6% 7% 5% 4% 5% 5% 5% 4% 5% 6% 10% 9% 6% 4% 5%

0.3% 96.4% 3.3% 98.8% 0.3% 1.0% 61.8% 38.2% 0.0% 88.2% 11.8% 0.1% 7.7% 0.0% 92.3% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 6.8% 93.2% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 83.8% 16.2% 28.4% 67.5% 4.1% 95.2% 0.0% 4.8% 0.0% 0.6% 99.4% 85.1% 0.0% 14.9% 91.2% 1.2% 7.6% 84.5% 0.9% 14.7% 9.6% 89.7% 0.7% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.4% 97.0% 0.7% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 84.6% 1.8% 13.6% 0.0% 98.2% 1.8% 54.6% 0.0% 45.4% 0.1% 0.1% 99.8% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 37.5% 62.5% 0.0% 76.7% 23.3% 0.0% 6.5% 93.5% 0.0% 50.0% 50.0% 0.0% 8.2% 91.8% 86.5% 0.9% 12.6% 89.8% 2.5% 7.6% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0%

0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Man.

Thornhill 49% Thunder Bay—Rainy River 13% Thunder Bay—Superior North 16% Timmins—James Bay 18% Toronto Centre 4% Toronto—Danforth 2% University—Rosedale 8% Vaughan—Woodbridge 42% Waterloo 27% Wellington—Halton Hills 51% Whitby 43% Willowdale 26% Windsor—Tecumseh 21% Windsor West 19% York Centre 34% York—Simcoe 49% York South—Weston 12% York West 10% Brandon—Souris 47% Charleswood—St. James—Assiniboia—Headingley 37% Churchill—Keewatinook Aski 8% Dauphin—Swan River—Neepawa 48% Elmwood—Transcona 27% Kildonan—St. Paul 42% Portage—Lisgar 60% Provencher 54% Saint Boniface—Saint Vital 30% Selkirk—Interlake—Eastman 50% Winnipeg Centre 6% Winnipeg North 6% Winnipeg South 32% Winnipeg South Centre 21% Battlefords—Lloydminster 46% Cypress Hills—Grasslands 51%

28% 26% 20% 20% 44% 21% 34% 36% 44% 21% 19% 45% 16% 14% 38% 16% 36% 52% 20% 36% 35% 21% 22% 23% 21% 22% 48% 19% 29% 54% 49% 54% 19% 22%

18% 57% 59% 58% 45% 69% 51% 17% 21% 19% 29% 27% 58% 62% 23% 26% 47% 35% 21% 16% 48% 21% 41% 27% 7% 15% 12% 22% 51% 32% 10% 15% 25% 18%

5% 5% 5% 4% 8% 9% 7% 5% 8% 9% 8% 3% 5% 5% 5% 8% 5% 4% 12% 11% 9% 10% 10% 9% 12% 9% 10% 10% 14% 9% 9% 10% 9% 9%

99.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 46.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.2% 73.8% 26.2% 1.1% 98.9% 100.0% 0.0% 96.6% 0.1% 0.2% 99.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 28.2% 71.5% 99.9% 0.0% 0.0% 6.5% 0.0% 98.7% 100.0% 0.0% 60.0% 40.0% 0.0% 3.8% 100.0% 0.0% 2.0% 0.2% 98.5% 0.2% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.7% 99.3% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 99.8% 1.0% 99.0% 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0%

0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 53.3% 100.0% 98.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3.3% 0.6% 100.0% 100.0% 0.4% 0.1% 93.5% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 96.2% 0.0% 97.8% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 99.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Sask. Alb.

Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River 27% Humboldt—Warman—Martensville—Rosetown 49% Moose Jaw—Lake Centre—Lanigan 41% Prince Albert 43% Regina—Lewvan 26% Regina—Qu'Appelle 36% Regina—Wascana 18% Saskatoon—Grasswood 33% Saskatoon—University 32% Saskatoon West 25% Souris—Moose Mountain 53% Yorkton—Melville 49% Banff—Airdrie 63% Battle River—Crowfoot 75% Bow River 75% Calgary Centre 47% Calgary Confederation 46% Calgary Forest Lawn 54% Calgary Heritage 65% Calgary Midnapore 67% Calgary Nose Hill 60% Calgary Rocky Ridge 60% Calgary Shepard 66% Calgary Signal Hill 57% Calgary Skyview 47% Edmonton Centre 33% Edmonton Griesbach 39% Edmonton Manning 44% Edmonton Mill Woods 45% Edmonton Riverbend 46% Edmonton Strathcona 25% Edmonton West 50% Edmonton—Wetaskiwin 67% Foothills 72%

21% 20% 20% 19% 24% 20% 58% 22% 25% 19% 22% 23% 16% 10% 11% 28% 27% 26% 16% 15% 19% 21% 16% 24% 37% 34% 17% 20% 22% 25% 12% 22% 13% 11%

43% 22% 30% 29% 41% 34% 15% 35% 34% 47% 16% 19% 19% 15% 14% 22% 23% 19% 18% 17% 19% 18% 17% 17% 16% 34% 45% 36% 33% 29% 62% 27% 19% 16%

9% 9% 9% 9% 10% 10% 9% 9% 10% 9% 10% 9% 2% 0% 0% 3% 4% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1%

87.0% 0.0% 13.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.3% 1.0% 96.6% 59.9% 0.2% 39.9% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 37.5% 0.8% 61.7% 36.1% 4.3% 59.6% 0.2% 0.0% 99.8% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 99.9% 0.1% 0.0% 99.7% 0.3% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 92.9% 7.1% 0.0% 31.4% 34.2% 34.5% 22.6% 0.0% 77.4% 83.5% 0.0% 16.5% 94.1% 0.0% 5.9% 98.2% 0.1% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 99.8% 0.0% 0.2% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0%

0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

BC

Fort McMurray—Cold Lake Grande Prairie Lakeland Lethbridge Medicine Hat Peace River—Westlock Red Deer—Mountain View Red Deer—Wolf Creek St. Albert—Edmonton Sherwood Park—Fort Saskatchewan Sturgeon River Yellowhead Abbotsford Burnaby North—Seymour Burnaby South Cariboo—Prince George Central Okanagan—Similkameen—Nicola Chilliwack—Hope Cloverdale—Langley City Coquitlam—Port Coquitlam Courtenay—Alberni Cowichan—Malahat—Langford Delta Fleetwood—Port Kells Kamloops—Thompson—Cariboo Kelowna—Lake Country Kootenay—Columbia Langley—Aldergrove Mission—Matsqui—Fraser Canyon Nanaimo—Ladysmith New Westminster—Burnaby North Okanagan—Shuswap North Vancouver Pitt Meadows—Maple Ridge

64% 68% 70% 46% 60% 70% 71% 69% 51% 57% 69% 70% 48% 20% 19% 39% 37% 41% 34% 32% 24% 26% 24% 24% 34% 40% 32% 41% 36% 23% 13% 37% 23% 31%

18% 11% 13% 17% 19% 11% 11% 11% 21% 19% 13% 11% 16% 26% 21% 12% 17% 18% 22% 18% 15% 13% 29% 25% 12% 19% 10% 19% 15% 14% 17% 14% 41% 14%

18% 21% 16% 36% 20% 18% 17% 19% 28% 23% 18% 18% 24% 41% 48% 36% 31% 28% 30% 37% 47% 47% 33% 39% 42% 26% 44% 25% 37% 49% 56% 31% 21% 41%

0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% 1% 0% 1% 12% 13% 13% 14% 15% 12% 14% 14% 14% 14% 14% 12% 12% 16% 14% 15% 12% 14% 13% 18% 15% 14%

100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 92.3% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 99.8% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 0.2% 0.0% 72.8% 84.5% 98.5% 68.7% 25.6% 0.1% 0.0% 6.6% 1.9% 16.1% 99.0% 5.1% 99.5% 51.5% 0.0% 0.0% 84.6% 0.9% 10.3%

0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 21.9% 2.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 98.7% 0.0%

0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 7.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 98.7% 100.0% 27.2% 15.5% 1.5% 29.9% 74.3% 99.9% 100.0% 71.6% 95.8% 83.9% 1.0% 94.9% 0.5% 48.5% 100.0% 100.0% 15.4% 0.3% 89.7%

0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

BC Terr.

Port Moody—Coquitlam 22% 18% Prince George—Peace River—Northern Rockies 43% 12% Richmond Centre 34% 29% Saanich—Esquimalt—Juan de Fuca 20% 17% Saanich—Gulf Islands 19% 13% Skeena—Bulkley Valley 20% 10% South Okanagan—West Kootenay 27% 14% South Surrey—White Rock 30% 30% Steveston—Richmond East 30% 29% Surrey Centre 15% 27% Surrey—Newton 6% 44% Vancouver Centre 7% 39% Vancouver East 0% 18% Vancouver Granville 13% 40% Vancouver Island North—Comox—Powell River 26% 14% Vancouver Kingsway 9% 24% Vancouver Quadra 18% 51% Vancouver South 21% 44% Victoria 4% 18% West Vancouver—Sunshine Coast—Sea to Sky 22% Country 34% Yukon 24% 38% Western Artic 22% 24% Nunavut 40% 34%

47% 31% 23% 43% 14% 60% 45% 24% 28% 45% 39% 30% 67% 29% 48% 55% 17% 25% 46% 26% 15% 47% 20%

14% 14% 15% 20% 54% 10% 15% 16% 14% 13% 12% 23% 15% 18% 12% 11% 13% 10% 32% 17% 23% 7% 6%

*due to a general lack of polls, the projections for the three territories use the federal vote intentions. ** winning=getting the most seats

0.0% 98.5% 76.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.4% 44.7% 44.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.3%

0.0% 0.0% 20.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 44.3% 30.2% 0.5% 76.4% 90.5% 0.0% 94.7% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 99.6% 0.0% 84.9%

99.9% 0.0% 1.5% 0.0% 3.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 99.6% 0.0% 10.9% 0.1% 25.4% 0.0% 99.5% 0.0% 23.6% 0.0% 9.3% 0.2% 100.0% 0.0% 5.3% 0.0% 99.8% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 98.9% 1.1% 12.7% 0.1%

proj Canada 5.06.2015.pdf

Page 1 of 4. www.silatendancesemaintient.ca. % CPC LPC NDP Green Bloc. Atlantic 22.0 37.0 25.0 13.0 -. Quebec 16.0 17.0 38.0 6.0 20.0. Ontario 31.0 28.0 ...

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