proj Canada Abacus poll 23.10.2013.pdf

Viewer
Transcript

www.tooclosetocall.ca

Electoral projections for the next federal elections Based on the Abacus poll, oct. 23rd 2013 % Atlantic Quebec Ontario Prairies Alberta BC Canada*

CPC 23 15 38 41 57 27 32

LPC 56 34 32 31 24 30 32

NDP 18 26 22 22 12 31 23

Green 2 6 7 2 6 12 7

Bloc 19 5

Seats Atlantic Quebec Ontario Prairies Alberta BC Territories

0 8 51 20 26 9 1

29 33 37 5 1 12 1

3 28 18 3 1 14 1

0 0 0 0 0 1 0

6 -

115 45.7%

118 54.3%

68 0.0%

1 0.0%

6 0.0%

NDP 3% 2% 4% 9% 6% 58% 37% 0%

Green 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1%

Bloc

PEI

NFL

Canada Probability of winning**

Riding CPC LPC Avalon 24% 74% Bonavista--Gander--Grand Falls--Windsor 13% 85% Humber--St. Barbe--Baie Verte 10% 85% Labrador 23% 68% Random--Burin--St. George's 17% 77% St. John's East/St. John's-Est 6% 36% St. John's South--Mount Pearl/St. John's-Sud--Mount 8% Pearl 56% Cardigan 21% 78%

Probability of winning the riding CPC 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

LPC NDP 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 99.8% 0.2% 100.0% 0.0%

Green 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Bloc

PEI NS NB

Charlottetown 18% 67% Egmont 37% 61% Malpeque 22% 72% Cape Breton--Canso 16% 74% Central Nova/Nova-Centre 38% 45% Dartmouth--Cole Harbour 10% 62% Halifax 3% 53% Halifax West/Halifax-Ouest 16% 63% Kings--Hants 22% 67% Cumberland--Colchester--Musquodoboit Valley 35% 49% Sackville--Eastern Shore 15% 40% South Shore--St. Margaret's 25% 47% Sydney--Victoria 23% 67% West Nova/Nova-Ouest 30% 66% Acadie--Bathurst 1% 42% Beauséjour 19% 66% Fredericton 31% 53% Fundy Royal 39% 41% Madawaska--Restigouche 25% 67% Miramichi 34% 52% Moncton--Riverview--Dieppe 21% 58% New Brunswick Southwest/Nouveau-Brunswick-Sud-Ouest 38% 45% Saint John 32% 47% Tobique--Mactaquac 44% 47% Abitibi--Témiscamingue 8% 29% Ahuntsic 7% 47% Alfred-Pellan 10% 41% Argenteuil--Papineau--Mirabel 10% 35% Beauce 48% 29% Beauharnois--Salaberry 12% 26% Beauport--Limoilou 24% 24% Berthier--Maskinongé 12% 33% Bourassa 8% 60% Brome--Missisquoi 10% 41%

14% 1% 3% 8% 14% 25% 40% 18% 9% 12% 41% 25% 8% 2% 56% 12% 13% 16% 8% 12% 17% 12% 20% 8% 31% 13% 25% 24% 16% 29% 32% 24% 15% 27%

1% 1% 3% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 3% 3% 2% 3% 0% 3% 3% 4% 1% 1% 3% 4% 2% 2% 5% 5% 5% 7% 5% 6% 6% 6% 5% 6%

26% 27% 19% 24% 2% 28% 15% 24% 12% 17%

0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 53.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 14.1% 0.0% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.7% 83.2% 0.0% 4.8% 0.0% 58.5% 11.0% 76.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 99.7% 0.0% 6.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

100.0% 99.6% 100.0% 100.0% 46.8% 100.0% 96.4% 100.0% 100.0% 85.9% 23.7% 99.2% 100.0% 100.0% 0.8% 100.0% 99.3% 16.8% 100.0% 95.2% 100.0% 41.5% 89.0% 23.2% 30.1% 99.9% 99.7% 92.0% 0.3% 19.6% 7.1% 89.1% 100.0% 99.0%

0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 76.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 99.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 53.1% 0.0% 0.3% 4.2% 0.0% 37.1% 86.6% 3.6% 0.0% 1.0%

0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

16.7% 0.1% 0.0% 3.8% 0.0% 43.3% 0.1% 7.3% 0.0% 0.0%

QC

Brossard--La Prairie 11% Chambly--Borduas 7% Charlesbourg--Haute-Saint-Charles 28% Montmorency--Charlevoix--Haute-Côte-Nord19% Châteauguay--Saint-Constant 9% Chicoutimi--Le Fjord 23% Compton--Stanstead 10% Drummond 14% Gaspésie--Îles-de-la-Madeleine 16% Gatineau 6% Hochelaga 6% Honoré-Mercier 12% Hull--Aylmer 9% Jeanne-Le Ber 8% Joliette 8% Jonquière--Alma 33% Lac-Saint-Louis 27% La Pointe-de-l'Île 7% LaSalle--Émard 12% Laurentides--Labelle 8% Laurier--Sainte-Marie 3% Laval 11% Laval--Les Îles 15% Lévis--Bellechasse 41% Longueuil--Pierre-Boucher 7% Lotbinière--Chutes-de-la-Chaudière 37% Louis-Hébert 19% Louis-Saint-Laurent 35% Manicouagan 9% Marc-Aurèle-Fortin 9% Haute-Gaspésie--La Mitis--Matane--Matapédia 14% Mégantic--L'Érable 46% Montcalm 7% Mount Royal/Mont-Royal 33%

45% 30% 25% 26% 27% 22% 31% 27% 35% 37% 30% 49% 43% 42% 29% 18% 56% 28% 50% 32% 29% 38% 40% 24% 28% 23% 31% 24% 22% 31% 46% 24% 25% 61%

26% 31% 31% 20% 37% 26% 32% 35% 17% 41% 32% 19% 39% 23% 27% 31% 8% 31% 21% 27% 30% 26% 30% 19% 37% 24% 24% 25% 37% 32% 4% 12% 36% 0%

5% 6% 5% 6% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 5% 6% 6% 6% 7% 8% 5% 8% 6% 6% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 6% 6% 5% 5% 7% 6% 6% 5% 8% 5%

13% 26% 12% 30% 22% 24% 21% 17% 27% 11% 26% 14% 4% 20% 28% 14% 0% 27% 10% 27% 31% 19% 9% 10% 22% 10% 19% 10% 26% 22% 31% 12% 25% 0%

0.0% 0.0% 24.1% 0.5% 0.0% 21.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 65.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 99.4% 0.0% 96.2% 1.7% 88.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0%

99.9% 42.0% 9.2% 18.3% 4.9% 10.3% 45.7% 7.8% 90.5% 25.9% 34.1% 100.0% 72.2% 99.2% 42.5% 0.2% 100.0% 20.1% 100.0% 71.4% 21.0% 98.2% 95.1% 0.6% 8.3% 1.8% 86.1% 5.3% 0.3% 46.4% 98.6% 0.0% 3.4% 100.0%

0.1% 46.3% 66.7% 2.3% 94.7% 39.9% 53.5% 92.2% 0.1% 74.1% 55.1% 0.0% 27.8% 0.7% 22.4% 34.7% 0.0% 59.5% 0.0% 10.6% 30.3% 1.8% 4.9% 0.0% 91.3% 1.9% 11.2% 5.8% 95.4% 52.7% 0.0% 0.0% 90.7% 0.0%

0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

0.0% 11.8% 0.0% 79.0% 0.5% 28.5% 0.8% 0.0% 9.4% 0.0% 10.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 35.1% 0.0% 0.0% 20.3% 0.0% 18.1% 48.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.5% 0.0% 1.0% 0.0% 4.3% 0.9% 1.4% 0.0% 5.9% 0.0%

Notre-Dame-de-Grâce--Lachine 14% Abitibi--Baie-James--Nunavik--Eeyou 20% Outremont 8% Papineau 4% Pierrefonds--Dollard 26% Pontiac 28% Portneuf--Jacques-Cartier 23% Québec 15% Repentigny 6% Bas-Richelieu--Nicolet--Bécancour 12% Richmond--Arthabaska 23% Rimouski-Neigette--Témiscouata--Les Basques 13% Rivière-des-Mille-Îles 9% Montmagny--L'Islet--Kamouraska--Rivière-du-Loup 35% Rivière-du-Nord 7% Roberval--Lac-Saint-Jean 43% Rosemont--La Petite-Patrie 4% Saint-Bruno--Saint-Hubert 9% Saint-Hyacinthe--Bagot 14% Saint-Jean 9% Saint-Lambert 9% Saint-Laurent--Cartierville 17% Saint-Léonard--Saint-Michel 13% Saint-Maurice--Champlain 16% Shefford 13% Sherbrooke 8% Terrebonne--Blainville 8% Trois-Rivières 11% Vaudreuil-Soulanges 15% Verchères--Les Patriotes 7% Westmount--Ville-Marie 17% Ajax--Pickering 35% Algoma--Manitoulin--Kapuskasing 26% Ancaster--Dundas--Flamborough--Westdale 44%

55% 26% 47% 58% 53% 35% 25% 27% 27% 29% 26% 29% 29% 25% 25% 20% 28% 31% 23% 27% 37% 67% 61% 31% 28% 29% 28% 26% 29% 28% 60% 47% 23% 32%

18% 32% 35% 11% 12% 25% 29% 28% 35% 20% 17% 26% 32% 19% 38% 15% 34% 29% 37% 32% 27% 8% 15% 23% 35% 27% 32% 38% 28% 28% 14% 11% 46% 16%

8% 8% 6% 6% 8% 6% 6% 6% 6% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 6% 5% 6% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 7% 6% 8% 6% 5% 8%

4% 14% 4% 21% 1% 6% 16% 23% 26% 33% 28% 26% 24% 16% 24% 17% 28% 23% 20% 25% 21% 3% 5% 24% 19% 30% 26% 19% 21% 31% 1%

0.0% 2.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 9.2% 9.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 7.8% 0.0% 0.0% 93.5% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 6.5% 0.0% 96.4%

100.0% 15.0% 91.2% 100.0% 100.0% 86.1% 21.1% 36.4% 10.6% 20.2% 24.8% 56.7% 36.7% 6.3% 2.7% 0.0% 12.0% 64.4% 0.9% 14.6% 94.9% 100.0% 100.0% 80.5% 11.8% 27.0% 22.9% 2.5% 58.4% 16.5% 100.0% 93.5% 0.0% 3.6%

0.0% 82.2% 8.8% 0.0% 0.0% 4.7% 69.5% 56.0% 80.6% 0.1% 0.1% 22.2% 58.3% 0.2% 96.3% 0.0% 75.3% 31.5% 99.0% 73.9% 4.7% 0.0% 0.0% 6.4% 88.1% 14.5% 61.4% 97.5% 39.7% 17.8% 0.0% 0.0% 99.9% 0.0%

0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 7.4% 8.8% 79.7% 67.4% 21.1% 5.0% 0.0% 1.0% 0.0% 12.8% 4.1% 0.1% 11.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 12.9% 0.1% 58.5% 15.7% 0.0% 1.9% 65.7% 0.0%

Barrie 48% 25% Beaches--East York 20% 38% Bramalea--Gore--Malton 27% 37% Brampton--Springdale 39% 37% Brampton West/Brampton-Ouest 36% 44% Brant 42% 26% Burlington 46% 31% Cambridge 45% 22% Carleton--Mississippi Mills 53% 30% Chatham-Kent--Essex 47% 23% Durham 50% 24% Davenport 13% 34% Don Valley East/Don Valley-Est 31% 43% Don Valley West/Don Valley-Ouest 37% 50% Dufferin--Caledon 50% 22% Eglinton--Lawrence 40% 46% Elgin--Middlesex--London 52% 21% Essex 42% 21% Etobicoke Centre/Etobicoke-Centre 35% 49% Etobicoke--Lakeshore 34% 43% Etobicoke North/Etobicoke-Nord 28% 49% Glengarry--Prescott--Russell 43% 37% Bruce--Grey--Owen Sound 48% 25% Guelph 27% 49% Haldimand--Norfolk 45% 32% Haliburton--Kawartha Lakes--Brock 54% 19% Halton 46% 33% Hamilton Centre/Hamilton-Centre 23% 21% Hamilton East--Stoney Creek/Hamilton-Est--Stoney 32% Creek 20% Hamilton Mountain 28% 23% Huron--Bruce 46% 25% Kenora 40% 31% Kingston and the Islands/Kingston et les Îles 31% 44% Kitchener Centre/Kitchener-Centre 34% 39%

18% 35% 30% 17% 15% 26% 16% 25% 11% 23% 18% 47% 20% 7% 10% 7% 21% 32% 11% 16% 19% 13% 14% 14% 17% 19% 14% 53% 42% 43% 22% 24% 18% 19%

9% 7% 6% 7% 5% 6% 7% 7% 7% 6% 8% 6% 6% 6% 18% 6% 6% 5% 6% 7% 3% 6% 13% 10% 6% 8% 7% 3% 6% 5% 6% 4% 7% 8%

99.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 66.2% 33.8% 4.1% 84.7% 11.1% 59.0% 41.0% 0.0% 15.5% 84.5% 0.0% 98.6% 1.1% 0.3% 97.6% 2.4% 0.0% 99.9% 0.1% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3.1% 96.9% 3.8% 96.2% 0.0% 3.0% 97.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 18.9% 81.1% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 92.9% 0.0% 7.1% 2.1% 97.9% 0.0% 8.9% 91.1% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 82.6% 17.4% 0.0% 99.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 96.2% 3.8% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 95.6% 4.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 2.8% 0.0% 97.2% 0.3% 0.0% 99.7% 99.8% 0.2% 0.0% 89.2% 10.5% 0.3% 0.9% 99.1% 0.0% 25.1% 74.9% 0.0%

0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Ont.

Kitchener--Conestoga 45% 27% Kitchener--Waterloo 33% 45% Lanark--Frontenac--Lennox and Addington 52% 23% Leeds--Grenville 55% 22% London--Fanshawe 29% 18% London North Centre/London-Centre-Nord 31% 41% London West/London-Ouest 38% 34% Markham--Unionville 29% 47% Lambton--Kent--Middlesex 52% 21% Mississauga--Brampton South/Mississauga--Brampton-Sud 36% 44% Mississauga East--Cooksville/Mississauga-Est--Cooksville 32% 47% Mississauga--Erindale 38% 43% Mississauga South/Mississauga-Sud 37% 46% Mississauga--Streetsville 35% 46% Nepean--Carleton 50% 31% Newmarket--Aurora 46% 34% Niagara Falls 46% 26% Niagara West--Glanbrook/Niagara-Ouest--Glanbrook 51% 22% Nickel Belt 24% 22% Nipissing--Timiskaming 31% 45% Northumberland--Quinte West 48% 27% Oak Ridges--Markham 42% 38% Oakville 43% 38% Oshawa 42% 16% Ottawa Centre/Ottawa-Centre 20% 25% Ottawa--Orléans 40% 44% Ottawa South/Ottawa-Sud 31% 49% Ottawa--Vanier 25% 42% Ottawa West--Nepean/Ottawa-Ouest--Nepean 40% 38% Oxford 54% 17% Parkdale--High Park 14% 39% Parry Sound--Muskoka 49% 20% Perth--Wellington 46% 27% Peterborough 44% 28%

19% 13% 17% 15% 47% 21% 22% 18% 21% 15% 16% 13% 10% 13% 13% 12% 21% 19% 49% 17% 17% 14% 11% 35% 48% 11% 15% 25% 16% 22% 41% 20% 18% 22%

8% 9% 7% 8% 6% 7% 6% 7% 6% 5% 5% 6% 6% 7% 6% 8% 7% 7% 4% 8% 7% 6% 8% 7% 7% 5% 5% 7% 6% 7% 6% 10% 8% 6%

99.3% 0.7% 0.0% 4.6% 95.4% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 99.9% 5.9% 94.1% 0.0% 70.9% 28.9% 0.1% 0.3% 99.7% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 14.6% 85.4% 0.0% 2.1% 97.9% 0.0% 27.1% 72.9% 0.0% 13.8% 86.3% 0.0% 8.7% 91.3% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 92.0% 8.0% 0.0% 99.9% 0.1% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 1.5% 98.5% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 70.2% 29.8% 0.0% 72.9% 27.1% 0.0% 85.7% 0.0% 14.3% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 22.3% 77.7% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 99.7% 0.3% 66.8% 33.2% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 40.9% 59.1% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 99.5% 0.5% 0.0% 99.8% 0.2% 0.0%

0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pickering--Scarborough East/Pickering--Scarborough-Est 34% 46% Prince Edward--Hastings 48% 25% Renfrew--Nipissing--Pembroke 59% 23% Richmond Hill 35% 44% St. Catharines 44% 28% St. Paul's 28% 47% Sarnia--Lambton 47% 21% Sault Ste. Marie 35% 28% Scarborough--Agincourt 30% 52% Scarborough Centre/Scarborough-Centre 30% 40% Scarborough--Guildwood 30% 44% Scarborough--Rouge River 26% 35% Scarborough Southwest/Scarborough-Sud-Ouest 28% 37% Simcoe--Grey 48% 25% Simcoe North/Simcoe-Nord 46% 28% Stormont--Dundas--South Glengarry 57% 24% Sudbury 24% 26% Thornhill 52% 33% Thunder Bay--Rainy River 23% 30% Thunder Bay--Superior North/Thunder Bay--Superior-Nord 26% 25% Timmins--James Bay/Timmins--Baie James 27% 24% Toronto Centre/Toronto-Centre 20% 48% Toronto--Danforth 13% 25% Trinity--Spadina 15% 30% Vaughan 47% 39% Welland 35% 21% Wellington--Halton Hills 55% 24% Whitby--Oshawa 49% 23% Willowdale 36% 48% Windsor--Tecumseh 29% 19% Windsor West/Windsor-Ouest 27% 17% York Centre/York-Centre 42% 41% York--Simcoe 56% 20% York South--Weston/York-Sud--Weston 21% 39%

13% 20% 12% 14% 21% 18% 27% 33% 13% 25% 21% 34% 29% 17% 17% 14% 45% 9% 43% 45% 45% 25% 53% 48% 9% 39% 11% 19% 13% 46% 50% 12% 16% 34%

6% 6% 5% 7% 7% 7% 6% 4% 5% 5% 5% 4% 7% 10% 9% 5% 5% 6% 4% 5% 4% 8% 9% 7% 5% 5% 10% 8% 3% 6% 6% 5% 9% 6%

4.1% 95.9% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 12.3% 87.7% 0.0% 99.1% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 99.9% 0.0% 0.1% 50.9% 9.1% 40.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 5.3% 93.9% 0.8% 1.3% 98.7% 0.0% 0.9% 52.0% 47.1% 2.7% 84.0% 13.2% 99.8% 0.2% 0.0% 99.1% 0.9% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.4% 99.6% 99.0% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.9% 97.1% 0.0% 0.2% 99.8% 0.1% 0.1% 99.8% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.3% 99.7% 82.6% 17.4% 0.0% 22.5% 0.1% 77.4% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3.5% 96.5% 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 99.6% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 52.8% 47.2% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 78.1% 21.9%

0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Man. Sask.

York West/York-Ouest 19% 53% 23% 5% Brandon--Souris 56% 20% 19% 5% Charleswood--St. James--Assiniboia 46% 45% 6% 3% Churchill 17% 35% 45% 2% Dauphin--Swan River--Marquette 55% 21% 20% 4% Elmwood--Transcona 35% 31% 32% 2% Kildonan--St. Paul 47% 35% 17% 2% Portage--Lisgar 70% 21% 3% 5% Provencher 64% 22% 12% 3% Saint Boniface/Saint-Boniface 42% 46% 9% 2% Selkirk--Interlake 58% 19% 20% 3% Winnipeg Centre/Winnipeg-Centre 16% 37% 41% 6% Winnipeg North/Winnipeg-Nord 14% 63% 22% 1% Winnipeg South/Winnipeg-Sud 40% 59% 0% 1% Winnipeg South Centre/Winnipeg-Centre-Sud27% 64% 6% 3% Battlefords--Lloydminster 55% 21% 22% 2% Blackstrap 44% 31% 24% 2% Desnethé--Missinippi--Churchill River/Desnethé--Missinippi--Rivière 34% 23% 41% Churchill2% Cypress Hills--Grasslands 58% 24% 16% 2% Palliser 36% 30% 32% 2% Prince Albert 50% 21% 27% 1% Regina--Lumsden--Lake Centre 42% 32% 24% 2% Regina--Qu'Appelle 43% 29% 26% 2% Saskatoon--Humboldt 43% 33% 23% 2% Saskatoon--Rosetown--Biggar 38% 26% 35% 1% Saskatoon--Wanuskewin 48% 31% 18% 3% Souris--Moose Mountain 63% 22% 13% 2% Wascana 25% 67% 6% 2% Yorkton--Melville 57% 25% 16% 2% Fort McMurray--Athabasca 64% 21% 10% 5% Calgary East/Calgary-Est 60% 24% 10% 6% Calgary Centre-North/Calgary-Centre-Nord 49% 26% 12% 13% Calgary Northeast/Calgary-Nord-Est 49% 39% 6% 5% Calgary--Nose Hill 62% 24% 8% 6%

0.0% 100.0% 57.3% 0.0% 100.0% 47.3% 95.8% 100.0% 100.0% 27.6% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.5% 0.0% 100.0% 96.8% 18.2% 100.0% 59.6% 99.9% 93.7% 96.5% 91.4% 64.0% 99.2% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 92.2% 100.0%

100.0% 0.0% 42.7% 6.0% 0.0% 22.1% 4.2% 0.0% 0.0% 72.4% 0.0% 36.9% 100.0% 99.5% 100.0% 0.0% 2.8% 0.1% 0.0% 12.0% 0.0% 5.6% 2.3% 8.1% 3.0% 0.7% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 7.8% 0.0%

0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 94.0% 0.0% 30.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 63.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.4% 81.6% 0.0% 28.4% 0.1% 0.7% 1.2% 0.5% 33.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Alb.

Calgary Centre/Calgary-Centre Calgary Southeast/Calgary-Sud-Est Calgary Southwest/Calgary-Sud-Ouest Calgary West/Calgary-Ouest Crowfoot Edmonton--Mill Woods--Beaumont Edmonton Centre/Edmonton-Centre Edmonton East/Edmonton-Est Edmonton--Leduc Edmonton--St. Albert Edmonton--Sherwood Park Edmonton--Spruce Grove Edmonton--Strathcona Lethbridge Macleod Medicine Hat Peace River Red Deer Vegreville--Wainwright Westlock--St. Paul Wetaskiwin Wild Rose Yellowhead Abbotsford Burnaby--Douglas Burnaby--New Westminster Cariboo--Prince George Chilliwack--Fraser Canyon Delta--Richmond East/Delta--Richmond-Est Pitt Meadows--Maple Ridge--Mission Esquimalt--Juan de Fuca Fleetwood--Port Kells Kamloops--Thompson--Cariboo Kelowna--Lake Country

50% 68% 67% 54% 77% 52% 40% 44% 54% 54% 50% 61% 33% 51% 72% 64% 69% 68% 72% 70% 73% 67% 70% 44% 23% 18% 36% 37% 29% 29% 28% 22% 32% 37%

30% 19% 20% 30% 13% 31% 41% 26% 31% 30% 37% 29% 23% 19% 15% 21% 14% 14% 14% 17% 13% 17% 14% 29% 27% 26% 24% 29% 39% 27% 21% 38% 23% 30%

10% 6% 8% 6% 6% 14% 15% 27% 10% 12% 7% 6% 42% 25% 8% 10% 13% 12% 8% 9% 8% 8% 10% 19% 42% 48% 29% 24% 23% 35% 38% 32% 35% 21%

10% 7% 6% 10% 4% 3% 4% 3% 5% 5% 5% 4% 3% 5% 5% 5% 4% 6% 6% 4% 5% 7% 6% 9% 8% 8% 11% 10% 9% 9% 12% 7% 9% 13%

99.9% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 99.9% 38.3% 98.8% 99.8% 100.0% 92.8% 100.0% 17.7% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 99.7% 0.0% 0.0% 93.0% 94.1% 9.4% 17.5% 4.5% 0.8% 41.1% 93.3%

0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 61.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 7.2% 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.7% 5.3% 90.4% 7.2% 0.2% 81.0% 0.6% 6.6%

0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 81.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 99.5% 100.0% 6.3% 0.6% 0.1% 75.4% 95.3% 18.2% 58.3% 0.1%

0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

BC Terr.

Kootenay--Columbia 36% 22% 32% Langley 38% 32% 20% Nanaimo--Alberni 31% 20% 38% Nanaimo--Cowichan 27% 16% 46% Newton--North Delta/Newton--Delta-Nord 10% 51% 31% New Westminster--Coquitlam 23% 24% 44% Okanagan--Shuswap 35% 26% 25% North Vancouver 23% 52% 15% Okanagan--Coquihalla 34% 29% 23% Port Moody--Westwood--Port Coquitlam 31% 31% 30% Prince George--Peace River 41% 24% 25% Richmond 32% 41% 18% Saanich--Gulf Islands 24% 17% 10% Skeena--Bulkley Valley 21% 21% 51% British Columbia Southern Interior/Colombie-Britannique-Southern 24% 21% 46% Interior South Surrey--White Rock--Cloverdale/Surrey-Sud--White 30% 40% Rock--Cloverdale 20% Surrey North/Surrey-Nord 15% 39% 38% Vancouver Centre/Vancouver-Centre 8% 47% 25% Vancouver East/Vancouver-Est 1% 26% 61% Vancouver Island North/Île de Vancouver-Nord 30% 18% 42% Vancouver Kingsway 10% 33% 49% Vancouver Quadra 20% 57% 13% Vancouver South/Vancouver-Sud 21% 53% 19% Victoria 13% 25% 47% West Vancouver--Sunshine Coast--Sea to Sky 20% Country 45% 23% Yukon 26% 46% 7% Western Artic 24% 31% 38% Nunavut 42% 41% 12%

10% 10% 11% 12% 7% 8% 15% 10% 14% 9% 10% 9% 48% 7% 10% 10% 8% 20% 12% 10% 8% 10% 7% 15% 12% 22% 6% 5%

*due to a general lack of polls, the projections for the three territories use the federal vote intentions. ** winning=getting the most seats

83.9% 87.9% 15.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 95.2% 0.0% 84.5% 41.9% 99.9% 16.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 10.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%

0.2% 12.1% 0.1% 0.0% 99.9% 0.0% 3.1% 100.0% 15.0% 34.5% 0.1% 83.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 89.6% 56.8% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.4% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 99.9%

15.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 84.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 99.9% 0.0% 1.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.6% 0.0% 23.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 43.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 96.8% 0.0% 99.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%