Prof. Dr. Bozidar Stojadinovic, ETH Dr. Simona Esposito, Dr. Marco Broccardo, Dr. Panos Galanis, Mr. Max Didier, Mr. Li Sun Institute of Structural Engineering Structural Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering Group
Community: Natural Hazard Environment
Institute of Structural Engineering Structural Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering Group
www.weirdhut.com
Community: Growing Value at Risk
theflag-zuerich.ch Institute of Structural Engineering Structural Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering Group
Community Resilience ! Not giving up ! Continuity of community existence thorough the survival of its inhabitants and the continuity of its social and economic functions ! Hypothesis: community resilience depends on the resilience of its built infrastructure Institute of Structural Engineering Structural Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering Group
Energy Water Communication Transportation Waste Built Environment
! Health and Economy ! Social: ! Culture and heritage ! Education Raking of Important community functions (SERRI and CARRI, 2009) Institute of Structural Engineering Structural Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering Group
Physical Infrastructure ! Built environment: ! Housing
Institute of Structural Engineering Structural Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering Group
Compositional Approach: Community Resilience Measures M=7.5
24h after the event Institute of Structural Engineering Structural Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering Group
! Estimate the probability of loss exceeding an acceptable threshold ! Confidence in resilience loss estimates
Institute of Structural Engineering Structural Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering Group
Event
! Consider the uncertainty in demand and supply
Infrastructure System Functionality
Community Resilience: Reliability Formulation
Time (not to scale)
Modeling Community Resilience ! Supply-Demand model for the built infrastructure systems ! Component: ! Vulnerability functions ! Recovery functions
! Compositional approach ! System function model ! Interdependence among different infrastructure systems
Institute of Structural Engineering Structural Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering Group
Stress Tests for Critical Non-Nuclear Civil Infrastructure ! FP7 STREST project: ! Professor Domenico Giardini and many others ! Dr. Simona Esposito ! Define a stress test methodology
! FP7 INFRARISK project: ! Professor Brian Adey
Institute of Structural Engineering Structural Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering Group
Engineering Community Resilience: Structural and Financial ! Optimizing use of community financial resources:
Cost-efficient Engineering Risk Reduction
! Prof. Dr. Wanda Mimra ! Dr. Panos Galanis
Residual Risk covered by: • Insurance • CAT bonds
! ETH Risk Center: ! Future Resilient Systems Lab (ETH-Singapore) ! ESREL 2015
Institute of Structural Engineering Structural Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering Group
Bearable Loss After SwissRe Sigma 1/2014
Risk Governance for Resilient Energy Production ! SCCER Sources of Energy + NFP 70: ! Prof. Dr. Domenico Giardini Prof. Dr. Stefan Wiemer and many others ! Dr. Marco Broccardo ! Mr. Max Didier ! Mr. Li Sun
! Enable rational governance of risk added by induced seismicity Institute of Structural Engineering Structural Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering Group
Institute of Structural Engineering Structural Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering Group
Institute of Structural Engineering Structural Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering Group
Prof. Dr. Bozidar Stojadinovic, ETH. Dr. Simona Esposito, Dr. Marco Broccardo, Dr. ... http://euanmearns.com/brave-green-world-and-the-cost-of-electricity/ ...
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