On the Upper Tail of Counts of Strictly Balanced Subgraphs ˇ Matas Sileikis Adam Mickiewicz University, Pozna´ n

Berlin-Pozna´ n Seminar on Discrete Mathematics June 24-25, 2011

Notation

Erd˝os-R´enyi binomial random graph G(n, p)

Notation

Erd˝os-R´enyi binomial random graph G(n, p) fixed “small” graph G: vG vertices, eG edges

Notation

Erd˝os-R´enyi binomial random graph G(n, p) fixed “small” graph G: vG vertices, eG edges XG - number of copies of G in G(n, p)

G = C4

XC4 = 2

Notation

density eG /vG maximum density mG = maxH⊆G eH /vH

Notation

density eG /vG maximum density mG = maxH⊆G eH /vH G balanced, if mG = eG /vG G strictly balanced, if mG = eG /vG > eH /vH for all H ( G

Notation

density eG /vG maximum density mG = maxH⊆G eH /vH G balanced, if mG = eG /vG G strictly balanced, if mG = eG /vG > eH /vH for all H ( G p = n−1/mG threshold for existence of G; further for simplicity p ≥ n−1/mG .

Large deviations of XG

Problem: fixed t > 1, good upper bound for P {XG ≥ tE XG }

Large deviations of XG

Problem: fixed t > 1, good upper bound for P {XG ≥ tE XG } Asymptotics of − ln P {XG ≥ tE XG }, n → ∞.

Large deviations of XG

Problem: fixed t > 1, good upper bound for P {XG ≥ tE XG } Asymptotics of − ln P {XG ≥ tE XG }, n → ∞. Works on the upper tail: Spencer, Kim, Vu, Janson, Ruci´ nski, Panchenko. . .

Upper tail sharp up to logarithmic factor

Theorem (Janson, Oleszkiewicz and Ruci´ nski ’04) With a certain function MG = MG (n, p) 1 exp −Ct MG ln p 



≤ P {XG ≥ tE XG } ≤ exp {−ct MG }

E.g., for k-regular G MG  n2 p k . for star G = K1,r (

MG 

n1+1/r p, n2 p r ,

if p ≤ n−1/r , if p > n−1/r .

Filling the gap of ln 1/p

1 exp −Ct MG ln p 



≤ P {XG ≥ tE XG } ≤ exp {−ct MG }

Rather trivially for G - matching P {XG ≥ tE XG } ≥ exp {−Ct MG }

Filling the gap of ln 1/p

1 exp −Ct MG ln p 



≤ P {XG ≥ tE XG } ≤ exp {−ct MG }

Rather trivially for G - matching P {XG ≥ tE XG } ≥ exp {−Ct MG } No other examples where upper bound is sharp Is otherwise lower bound sharp?

G = K3 = 4, threshold p = 1/n

G = K3 = 4, threshold p = 1/n Theorem (Chatterjee ’11) For p = Ω(ln n/n) 

P {X4 ≥ tE X4 } ≤ exp −ct M4 ln

1 p



G = K3 = 4, threshold p = 1/n Theorem (Chatterjee ’11) For p = Ω(ln n/n) 

P {X4 ≥ tE X4 } ≤ exp −ct M4 ln

1 p



Theorem (DeMarco and Kahn ’11) For any p 

P {X4 ≥ tE X4 } = exp −Θt



1 min{E X4 , M4 ln } p



Note: for p  ln n/n E X4  M4 ln

1 p

Lower bound for the upper tail Janson, Oleszkiewicz, Ruci´ nski ’04: 2 2 C M t 4 P {X4 ≥ tE X4 } ≥ p = p Θ(n p )

Lower bound for the upper tail Janson, Oleszkiewicz, Ruci´ nski ’04: 2 2 C M t 4 P {X4 ≥ tE X4 } ≥ p = p Θ(n p ) M4 = min # of edges enough to create E X4 copies of 4 Ct M4 edges enough to create tE X4 copies of 4

Lower bound for the upper tail Janson, Oleszkiewicz, Ruci´ nski ’04: 2 2 C M t 4 P {X4 ≥ tE X4 } ≥ p = p Θ(n p ) M4 = min # of edges enough to create E X4 copies of 4 Ct M4 edges enough to create tE X4 copies of 4 np

G = K3

np

np

Lower bound for the upper tail Janson, Oleszkiewicz, Ruci´ nski ’04: 2 2 C M t 4 P {X4 ≥ tE X4 } ≥ p = p Θ(n p ) M4 = min # of edges enough to create E X4 copies of 4 Ct M4 edges enough to create tE X4 copies of 4 np

G = K3

np

np

DeMarco, Kahn ’11: P {X4 ≥ tE X4 } ≥ P {dtE X4 e disjoint triangles } ≥ exp {−Ct E X4 }

Lower bound for the upper tail Janson, Oleszkiewicz, Ruci´ nski ’04: 2 2 C M t 4 P {X4 ≥ tE X4 } ≥ p = p Θ(n p ) M4 = min # of edges enough to create E X4 copies of 4 Ct M4 edges enough to create tE X4 copies of 4 np

G = K3

np

np

DeMarco, Kahn ’11: P {X4 ≥ tE X4 } ≥ P {dtE X4 e disjoint triangles } ≥ exp {−Ct E X4 } n

Combined: P {X4 ≥ tE X4 } ≥ exp −Ct min{E X4 , M4 ln p1 }

o

Lower bound for the upper tail ˇ ’11+) Theorem (S. For strictly balanced G 1 P {XG ≥ tE XG } ≥ exp −Ct min{E XG , MG ln } p 



Lower bound for the upper tail ˇ ’11+) Theorem (S. For strictly balanced G 1 P {XG ≥ tE XG } ≥ exp −Ct min{E XG , MG ln } p 



Conjecture (DeMarco and Kahn, RSA’11) For every G 1 P {XG ≥ tE XG } = exp −Θt min{E XG˜ , MG ln } p 





,

˜ is a strictly balanced subgraph of G with minimal # of where G vertices.

Lower bound for the upper tail ˇ ’11+) Theorem (S. For strictly balanced G 1 P {XG ≥ tE XG } ≥ exp −Ct min{E XG , MG ln } p 



Conjecture (DeMarco and Kahn, RSA’11) For every G 1 P {XG ≥ tE XG } = exp −Θt min{E XG˜ , MG ln } p 





,

˜ is a strictly balanced subgraph of G with minimal # of where G vertices. Janson (private communication): conjectured lower bound follows from strictly balanced case

Sharp upper bound

DeMarco and Kahn ’11+: sharp bound for cliques G = Kr for all p

Sharp upper bound

DeMarco and Kahn ’11+: sharp bound for cliques G = Kr for all p ˇ 11+: if G is strictly balanced, E XG ≤ ln n, then S. P {XG ≥ tE XG } ≤ exp {−ct E XG } .

Sharp upper bound

DeMarco and Kahn ’11+: sharp bound for cliques G = Kr for all p ˇ 11+: if G is strictly balanced, E XG ≤ ln n, then S. P {XG ≥ tE XG } ≤ exp {−ct E XG } .

DGe = max # of edge-disjoint copies

Sharp upper bound

DeMarco and Kahn ’11+: sharp bound for cliques G = Kr for all p ˇ 11+: if G is strictly balanced, E XG ≤ ln n, then S. P {XG ≥ tE XG } ≤ exp {−ct E XG } .

DGe = max # of edge-disjoint copies Janson ’90: P {DGe ≥ tE XG } ≤ exp {−ct E XG }

Upper bound for K4 , C4 Janson and Ruci´ nski ’04: deletion method G = C4

Upper bound for K4 , C4 Janson and Ruci´ nski ’04: deletion method G = C4 order of − ln P {XC4 ≥ tE XC4 }: MC4 n−1

MC4 ln1/2 n n−2/3−ε

Cn−1 ln1/4 n MC4 ln n

p

Upper bound for K4 , C4 Janson and Ruci´ nski ’04: deletion method G = C4 order of − ln P {XC4 ≥ tE XC4 }: MC4 ln1/2 n

MC4 n−1

n−2/3−ε

Cn−1 ln1/4 n

p

MC4 ln n ˇ ’11+: S. E XC4 n−1

MC4 ln n n−4/5−ε

n−1 ln1/2 n E XC4

MC4 ln n

p

Upper bound for stars

star G = K1,r ˇ ’11+: S. E XK1,r

MK1,r ln n

n−1−1/r n−1−1/r ln1/(r −1) n E XK1,r MK1,r ln n

n−c(r )−ε

p

ˇ ’11+: G - strictly balanced, E XG ≤ ln n. S. P {XG ≥ tE XG } ≤ exp {−ct E XG } Sketch of proof for G = 4.

ˇ ’11+: G - strictly balanced, E XG ≤ ln n. S. P {XG ≥ tE XG } ≤ exp {−ct E XG } Sketch of proof for G = 4.

d4 = 1, d♦ = 5/4 G =4

F =♦

ˇ ’11+: G - strictly balanced, E XG ≤ ln n. S. P {XG ≥ tE XG } ≤ exp {−ct E XG } Sketch of proof for G = 4.

d4 = 1, d♦ = 5/4 G =4

F =♦

e = max # of edge-disjoint triangles D4

ˇ ’11+: G - strictly balanced, E XG ≤ ln n. S. P {XG ≥ tE XG } ≤ exp {−ct E XG } Sketch of proof for G = 4.

d4 = 1, d♦ = 5/4 G =4

F =♦

e = max # of edge-disjoint triangles D4 e ≥ tE X } + P {X ≥ 1} P {X4 ≥ tE X4 } ≤ P {D4 4 F

ˇ ’11+: G - strictly balanced, E XG ≤ ln n. S. P {XG ≥ tE XG } ≤ exp {−ct E XG } Sketch of proof for G = 4.

d4 = 1, d♦ = 5/4 G =4

F =♦

e = max # of edge-disjoint triangles D4 e ≥ tE X } + P {X ≥ 1} P {X4 ≥ tE X4 } ≤ P {D4 4 F e ≥ tE X } ≤ exp {−c E X } Janson ’90: P {D4 t 4 4

ˇ ’11+: G - strictly balanced, E XG ≤ ln n. S. P {XG ≥ tE XG } ≤ exp {−ct E XG } Sketch of proof for G = 4.

d4 = 1, d♦ = 5/4 G =4

F =♦

e = max # of edge-disjoint triangles D4 e ≥ tE X } + P {X ≥ 1} P {X4 ≥ tE X4 } ≤ P {D4 4 F e ≥ tE X } ≤ exp {−c E X } Janson ’90: P {D4 t 4 4

E XF = O(n−c ).

ˇ ’11+: G - strictly balanced, E XG ≤ ln n. S. P {XG ≥ tE XG } ≤ exp {−ct E XG } Sketch of proof for G = 4.

d4 = 1, d♦ = 5/4 G =4

F =♦

e = max # of edge-disjoint triangles D4 e ≥ tE X } + P {X ≥ 1} P {X4 ≥ tE X4 } ≤ P {D4 4 F e ≥ tE X } ≤ exp {−c E X } Janson ’90: P {D4 t 4 4

E XF = O(n−c ). P {XF ≥ 1} ≤ E XF ≤ exp {−c ln n}

Upper bound for C4 , K4 , stars: proof

Upper bound for C4 , K4 , stars: proof

intersection graph L

Upper bound for C4 , K4 , stars: proof

intersection graph L

Upper bound for C4 , K4 , stars: proof

intersection graph L maximum induced matching

Upper bound for C4 , K4 , stars: proof

intersection graph L maximum induced matching

Upper bound for C4 , K4 , stars: proof

intersection graph L maximum induced matching isolated vertices ⇒ independent set

Upper bound for C4 , K4 , stars: proof

intersection graph L maximum induced matching isolated vertices ⇒ independent set Spencer ’90: vL ≤ αL + 2βL (4L + 1)

Upper bound for C4 , K4 , stars: proof

intersection graph L maximum induced matching isolated vertices ⇒ independent set Spencer ’90: vL ≤ αL + 2βL (4L + 1) e + 2D e (4 + 1) X4 ≤ D4 L 

Upper bound for C4 , K4 , stars: proof

intersection graph L maximum induced matching isolated vertices ⇒ independent set Spencer ’90: vL ≤ αL + 2βL (4L + 1) e + 2D e (4 + 1) X4 ≤ D4 L 

Janson ’90: P {DGe ≥ x } ≤ exp {−x ln(x /eE XG )}

Upper bound for C4 , K4 , stars: proof

intersection graph L maximum induced matching isolated vertices ⇒ independent set Spencer ’90: vL ≤ αL + 2βL (4L + 1) e + 2D e (4 + 1) X4 ≤ D4 L 

Janson ’90: P {DGe ≥ x } ≤ exp {−x ln(x /eE XG )} P {∆t ≥ y } for C4 , K4 , stars: Chernoff’s bound

Danke sch¨on

On the Upper Tail of Counts of Strictly Balanced ...

With a certain function MG = MG(n,p) exp. {. −CtMG ln. 1 p. } ≤ P{XG ≥ tEXG} ≤ exp{−ctMG}. E.g., for k-regular G. MG n2pk. for star G = K1,r. MG. {n1+1/r p,.

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