Tim Malloy, Assistant Director, Quinnipiac University Poll (203) 645-8043 Rubenstein Contact: Pat Smith (212) 843-8026
FOR RELEASE: AUGUST 25, 2016
CLINTON TOPS 50 PERCENT, LEADS TRUMP BY 10 POINTS, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY NATIONAL POLL FINDS; VOTERS LIKE CLINTON MORE THAN TRUMP – BUT NOT MUCH In the battle of the unloved presidential candidates, Democrat Hillary Clinton tops the magical 50 percent mark among American likely voters, leading Republican Donald Trump 51 – 41 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University National poll released today. When third party candidates are added to the mix, Clinton gets 45 percent with Trump at 38 percent, Libertarian Party candidate Gary Johnson at 10 percent and Green Party candidate Jill Stein at 4 percent, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll finds. This survey of likely voters can not be compared with results of earlier surveys of registered voters. Women and non-white voters propel Clinton in the head-to-head matchup. Women back her 60 – 36 percent. Men back Trump 48 – 42 percent. White voters back Trump 52 – 41 percent. Non-white voters back Clinton 77 – 15 percent. A total of 44 percent of American likely voters like Clinton “a lot” or “a little,” while 47 percent dislike her “a little” or “a lot,” and 8 percent hate her. A total of 35 percent of voters like Trump “a lot” or “a little,” while 53 percent dislike him “a little” or a lot,” and 10 percent hate him. “We are starting to hear the faint rumblings of a Hillary Clinton landslide as her 10-point lead is further proof that Donald Trump is in a downward spiral as the clock ticks,” said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll. “Trump’s missteps, stumbles and gaffes seem to outweigh Clinton’s shaky trust status and perceived shady dealings. Wow, is there any light at the end of this dark and depressing chapter in American politics?” -more-
Quinnipiac University Poll/August 25, 2016 – page 2 American likely voters give both candidates negative favorability ratings, 41 – 53 percent for Clinton and 33 – 61 percent for Trump. In fact, 37 percent of likely voters say they would consider voting for a third party candidate. In this very negative race, 64 percent of Trump supporters say they are voting mainly anti-Clinton, while 25 percent say they are voting pro-Trump. Among Clinton supporters, 47 percent are mainly anti-Trump while 32 percent are proClinton. While both candidates have negative scores on honesty, this is one area where Trump outscores Clinton. American likely voters say 53 – 42 percent that Trump is not honest. By a huge 66 – 29 percent margin, voters say Clinton is not honest. But voters say 66 – 33 percent that Clinton is qualified to be president. Trump is not qualified, voters say 58 – 40 percent. Clinton leads on other measures, as likely voters say:
58 – 40 that she has good leadership skills, compared to negative 46 – 52 for Trump; 71 – 29 percent that Clinton has the right kind of experience to be president, compared to a negative 32 – 65 percent for Trump; 87 – 12 percent that she is intelligent, compared to 67 – 30 percent for him; 51 – 47 percent that she cares about average Americans, compared to a negative 41 – 57 percent for Trump. American likely voters say 60 – 37 percent that Clinton believes she does not have to
play by the same rules as everyone else. Taxes, Bigotry, First Spouses Trump should release his tax returns publicly, voters say 74 – 21 percent, including 62 – 31 percent among Republicans. Voters also say 59 – 36 percent “the way Donald Trump talks appeals to bigotry.” In the battle of the first spouses, voters say 47 – 23 percent that former President Bill Clinton would have a positive effect on his wife’s presidency. Melania Trump would have no impact on a Trump presidency, 65 percent of voters say. From August 18 – 24, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,498 likely voters nationwide with a margin of error of +/- 2.5 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research. Visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling or www.facebook.com/quinnipiacpoll Call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.
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1. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Clinton or Trump? LIKELY VOTERS.......................................... WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Clinton Trump SMONE ELSE(VOL) DK/NA
Clinton Trump SMONE ELSE(VOL) DK/NA
Clinton Trump SMONE ELSE(VOL) DK/NA
51% 41 3 4
12% 84 3
60% 36 1 3
47% 46 3 4
35% 58 3 5
AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
WHITE..... Men Wom
Wht
NonWht
64% 29 6 1
32% 59 4 5
41% 52 3 4
77% 15 3 5
53% 39 3 5
92% 4 1 3
46% 47 2 5
46% 41 8 5
45% 49 1 5
42% 48 5 5
49% 46 2 3
PARTY IDENTIFICATION................... REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT.. INDEPENDENT Men Wom Men Wom Men Wom
Mltry HsHld
12% 85 3
37% 56 5 3
12% 84 4
87% 5 2 6
95% 3 1
38% 45 11 6
57% 36 3 4
1A. (If candidate chosen q1) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election? LIKELY VOTERS....................... CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q1................. CANDIDATE OF CHOICE Q1 Tot Clinton Trump Made up Might change DK/NA
90% 9 1
91% 8 1
89% 11 -
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2. Is your opinion of Donald Trump favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? COMBINED WITH: (If Favorable/Unfavorable) Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? LIKELY VOTERS.......................................... WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Strongly favorable 21% Smwht favorable 12 Smwht unfavorable 8 Strongly unfavorable 53 Hvn't hrd enough 4 REFUSED/DK/NA 2
48% 21 9 14 6 2
2% 3 5 88 1 1
18% 12 10 52 6 2
AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Strongly favorable 7% Smwht favorable 12 Smwht unfavorable 15 Strongly unfavorable 61 Hvn't hrd enough 5 REFUSED/DK/NA -
17% 13 10 55 4 1
27% 12 4 52 4 2
30% 11 5 45 3 5
24% 13 9 48 4 2
19% 11 7 57 4 2
24% 13 9 48 3 1
30% 17 9 38 4 3
WHITE..... Men Wom
Wht
NonWht
31% 16 9 38 5 1
27% 15 9 43 4 2
8% 5 5 76 5 2
24% 14 9 48 3 3
3. Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? COMBINED WITH: (If Favorable/Unfavorable) Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? LIKELY VOTERS.......................................... WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Strongly favorable 25% Smwht favorable 16 Smwht unfavorable 7 Strongly unfavorable 46 Hvn't hrd enough 4 REFUSED/DK/NA 1
Strongly favorable Smwht favorable Smwht unfavorable Strongly unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED/DK/NA
4% 6 6 81 3 1
31% 19 7 37 4 1
21% 16 6 54 2 1
15% 12 8 59 4 1
AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
WHITE..... Men Wom
Wht
NonWht
15% 28 14 35 8 1
12% 11 7 68 2 1
18% 14 7 57 3 1
44% 22 6 20 6 2
28% 15 6 47 4 1
54% 27 5 9 3 1
26% 15 6 49 3 1
15% 16 9 52 7 1
30% 10 3 52 2 3
19% 13 7 56 3 1
23% 17 8 47 4 1
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4. (If Clinton chosen q1) What is the main reason behind your vote for Hillary Clinton over Donald Trump in November: mainly because you like Hillary Clinton, mainly because Hillary Clinton is the party’s nominee, or mainly because you oppose Donald Trump? LIKELY VOTERS................................. CLINTON CHOSEN Q1............................. WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Like Clinton Party's nominee Oppose Trump DK/NA
32% 16 47 5
38% 21 37 4
23% 11 61 6
27% 15 52 5
36% 17 43 5
37% 14 46 4
28% 21 46 6
5. (If Trump chosen q1) What is the main reason behind your vote for Donald Trump over Hillary Clinton in November: mainly because you like Donald Trump, mainly because Donald Trump is the party’s nominee, or mainly because you oppose Hillary Clinton? LIKELY VOTERS................................. TRUMP CHOSEN Q1............................... WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Ind Men Wom Yes No Like Trump Party's nominee Oppose Clinton DK/NA
25% 8 64 3
28% 11 59 2
23% 3 70 4
26% 8 64 3
24% 8 65 3
26% 8 62 3
25% 8 64 2
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6. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat, Donald Trump the Republican, Gary Johnson the Libertarian, and Jill Stein the Green party candidate, for whom would you vote? LIKELY VOTERS.......................................... WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Clinton Trump Johnson Stein SMONE ELSE(VOL) DK/NA
Clinton Trump Johnson Stein SMONE ELSE(VOL) DK/NA
45% 38 10 4 3
10% 81 6 1 3
54% 33 6 3 3
40% 41 12 4 2
30% 54 7 5 4
AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
WHITE..... Men Wom
Wht
NonWht
48% 24 16 11 1
25% 53 13 6 3
35% 48 10 5 3
70% 14 9 3 3
47% 35 11 6 2
88% 4 3 3 2
43% 42 9 2 5
33% 34 19 9 5
44% 48 4 1 2
35% 42 14 6 3
43% 43 7 4 3
7. Is your opinion of Jill Stein favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? COMBINED WITH: (If Favorable/Unfavorable) Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? LIKELY VOTERS.......................................... WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Strongly favorable 4% Smwht favorable 7 Smwht unfavorable 5 Strongly unfavorable 10 Hvn't hrd enough 74 REFUSED/DK/NA 1
2 5 14 78 1
5% 8 6 8 72 -
6% 9 5 8 72 1
AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Strongly favorable 6% Smwht favorable 12 Smwht unfavorable 8 Strongly unfavorable 6 Hvn't hrd enough 67 REFUSED/DK/NA -
6% 7 4 10 72 2
2% 5 4 11 76 1
2% 4 5 10 78 2
6% 8 5 11 69 1
2% 6 5 8 79 1
4% 6 8 12 69 1
2% 7 3 9 78 1
WHITE..... Men Wom
Wht
NonWht
4% 8 5 13 68 2
3% 6 6 10 73 1
6% 7 3 7 77 -
2% 5 6 8 79 1
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8. Is your opinion of Gary Johnson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? COMBINED WITH: (If Favorable/Unfavorable) Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? LIKELY VOTERS.......................................... WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Strongly favorable 7% Smwht favorable 10 Smwht unfavorable 6 Strongly unfavorable 8 Hvn't hrd enough 68 REFUSED/DK/NA 1
4% 8 7 10 69 2
4% 8 5 9 74 -
10% 14 6 5 63 2
AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Strongly favorable 12% Smwht favorable 14 Smwht unfavorable 7 Strongly unfavorable 3 Hvn't hrd enough 64 REFUSED/DK/NA 1
11% 10 5 11 63 1
4% 9 9 9 68 2
2% 9 4 9 75 2
10% 14 7 9 58 2
3% 6 5 7 77 1
6% 14 9 11 59 1
5% 7 5 6 75 2
WHITE..... Men Wom
Wht
NonWht
8% 16 9 10 55 1
5% 11 7 9 67 1
10% 8 4 6 71 1
3% 6 6 7 78 1
9. Would you consider voting for a third party candidate in this election? LIKELY VOTERS.......................................... WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes No DK/NA
Yes No DK/NA
37% 61 2
31% 68 1
35% 63 2
35% 64 1
38% 60 2
AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
WHITE..... Men Wom
Wht
NonWht
60% 39 1
38% 61 1
37% 62 1
38% 59 3
38% 60 2
27% 71 2
32% 67 2
52% 45 2
23% 73 4
39% 59 2
35% 63 2
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9A. (If yes q9) Would you say that you would consider voting for a third party candidate more because you like one of the third party candidates, or more because you dislike both major party candidates? LIKELY VOTERS........................................ YES CHOSEN Q9........................................ WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Like third party Dislike major party DK/NA
23% 65 12
12% 74 15
34% 58 8
22% 67 11
22% 66 12
24% 65 12
21% 69 10
23% 66 11
9B. (If no q9) Would you say that you would not consider voting for a third party candidate more because you don't like any of the third party candidates, more because it would be a waste of your vote, or more because you don’t want to risk either Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump getting elected? LIKELY VOTERS........................................ NO CHOSEN Q9......................................... WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Dislike third party 16% 17% 17% 17% 15% 17% 16% 15% Waste of vote 52 59 48 50 57 49 51 62 Risk major party win 24 17 28 27 22 26 30 16 DK/NA 7 7 6 6 5 8 3 6 10. Do you think that Gary Johnson, the Libertarian candidate for president, should be included in the presidential debates this year, or not? LIKELY VOTERS.......................................... WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes No DK/NA
Yes No DK/NA
62% 29 9
56% 37 7
61% 29 10
64% 28 8
61% 32 7
AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
WHITE..... Men Wom
Wht
NonWht
82% 13 4
63% 31 6
62% 30 8
62% 25 12
67% 25 7
60% 29 11
60% 31 9
69% 22 9
43% 44 13
63% 29 8
62% 29 10
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11. Do you think this year's presidential election will be a close election, or do you think one of the candidates will win in a landslide? LIKELY VOTERS.......................................... WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Close election Win in landslide IN BETWEEN(VOL) DK/NA
Close election Win in landslide IN BETWEEN(VOL) DK/NA
56% 35 2 8
71% 20 2 7
57% 33 2 8
59% 33 2 7
66% 26 1 7
AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
WHITE..... Men Wom
Wht
NonWht
62% 35 3
62% 31 1 6
62% 29 1 7
42% 48 2 8
61% 33 1 5
43% 48 2 7
52% 38 3 8
58% 34 1 8
53% 33 2 12
55% 37 1 7
62% 28 2 8
12. Regardless of who you're voting for, who do you believe will win the presidential election this year: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump? LIKELY VOTERS.......................................... WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Clinton Trump SMONE ELSE(VOL) DK/NA
Clinton Trump SMONE ELSE(VOL) DK/NA
62% 28 1 10
34% 53 14
63% 25 12
60% 30 1 9
51% 38 1 11
AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
WHITE..... Men Wom
Wht
NonWht
70% 19 1 10
54% 37 2 7
55% 34 1 10
78% 13 1 9
66% 25 1 8
91% 5 4
60% 31 9
59% 28 2 11
55% 35 10
62% 30 1 7
56% 31 13
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13. Do you think it makes a difference for the future of the country which candidate is elected president, or would things pretty much be the same regardless of who wins? (If yes) Would you say that it would make a major difference or a minor difference? LIKELY VOTERS.......................................... WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes/Major Diff Yes/Minor Diff No/Same DK/NA
Yes/Major Diff Yes/Minor Diff No/Same DK/NA
77% 7 12 3
84% 6 7 3
81% 6 11 3
80% 7 10 4
78% 7 13 2
AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
WHITE..... Men Wom
Wht
NonWht
69% 12 16 2
76% 10 11 3
79% 7 11 3
74% 8 14 5
79% 8 8 4
78% 6 12 3
81% 6 10 3
70% 10 17 3
78% 4 15 4
74% 9 13 4
82% 4 11 3
14. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? LIKELY VOTERS.......................................... WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Approve Disapprove DK/NA
Approve Disapprove DK/NA
54% 44 3
13% 85 1
59% 38 2
48% 50 2
40% 58 2
AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
WHITE..... Men Wom
Wht
NonWht
70% 28 2
37% 61 2
44% 54 2
78% 19 3
57% 41 2
91% 7 2
47% 50 3
52% 44 4
44% 54 2
47% 50 3
50% 48 2
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15. Which one of the following statements comes Hillary Clinton? A) I like Hillary Clinton as a policies. B) I like Hillary Clinton as a person C) I don't like Hillary Clinton as a person but D) I don't like Hillary Clinton as a person and
closest to the way you feel about person and I also like most of her but I don't like most of her policies. I do like most of her policies. I also don't like most of her policies.
LIKELY VOTERS.......................................... WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No A) Like both B) Only like her C) Only like policy D) Dislike both DK/NA
A) Like both B) Only like her C) Only like policy D) Dislike both DK/NA
30% 10 15 44 2
6% 9 4 79 1
37% 12 14 35 3
28% 4 16 51 1
21% 7 12 57 3
AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
WHITE..... Men Wom
Wht
NonWht
22% 11 31 32 4
15% 4 15 64 2
24% 6 14 54 2
44% 20 16 18 3
33% 9 13 44 2
61% 9 19 9 2
31% 12 11 46 1
20% 10 20 46 3
32% 7 7 52 2
23% 7 15 53 2
32% 7 13 45 2
16. Which one of the following statements comes closest to the way you feel about Donald Trump? A) I like Donald Trump as a person and I also like most of his policies. B) I like Donald Trump as a person but I don't like most of his policies. C) I don't like Donald Trump as a person but I do like most of his policies. D) I don't like Donald Trump as a person and I also don't like most of his policies. LIKELY VOTERS.......................................... WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No A) Like both B) Only like him C) Only like policy D) Dislike both DK/NA
A) Like both B) Only like him C) Only like policy D) Dislike both DK/NA
22% 6 18 52 3
48% 5 32 14 1
18% 5 16 56 4
25% 6 19 50 1
31% 4 25 37 3
AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
WHITE..... Men Wom
Wht
NonWht
10% 6 17 66 2
32% 6 23 38 1
28% 5 22 43 2
8% 8 8 73 3
19% 5 20 55 2
2% 4 3 88 3
25% 6 20 47 2
19% 7 22 49 4
32% 6 15 44 3
26% 6 20 47 2
24% 3 21 48 3
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17. How would you describe your overall opinion of Hillary Clinton? Would you say you: like Clinton a lot, like her a little, dislike her a little, or dislike Clinton a lot? COMBINED WITH: (If dislike a lot) Would you say you hate Hillary Clinton, or would you say you dislike Clinton but do not hate her? LIKELY VOTERS.......................................... WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Like a lot Like a little Dislike a little Dislike a lot Hate DK/NA
Like a lot Like a little Dislike a little Dislike a lot Hate DK/NA
22% 22 14 33 8 1
4% 9 12 58 16 1
26% 27 14 26 5 2
19% 21 12 38 10 1
12% 19 16 42 9 1
AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
WHITE..... Men Wom
Wht
NonWht
11% 36 21 22 9 -
10% 15 13 49 12 1
15% 20 14 40 9 1
39% 30 13 14 3 2
24% 21 16 31 7 1
47% 33 11 6 1 1
24% 20 12 35 9 1
13% 25 18 36 7 2
28% 14 9 41 5 2
18% 17 14 40 10 1
20% 24 15 33 7 1
18. How would you describe your overall opinion of Donald Trump? Would you say you: like Trump a lot, like him a little, dislike him a little, or dislike Trump a lot? COMBINED WITH: (If dislike a lot) Would you say you hate Donald Trump, or would you say you dislike Trump but do not hate him? LIKELY VOTERS.......................................... WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Like a lot Like a little Dislike a little Dislike a lot Hate DK/NA
Like a lot Like a little Dislike a little Dislike a lot Hate DK/NA
18% 17 14 39 10 2
42% 32 13 10 1 1
15% 16 12 43 12 3
20% 19 14 39 8 1
26% 22 15 26 9 1
AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
WHITE..... Men Wom
Wht
NonWht
7% 14 17 43 19 -
27% 23 14 29 6 1
23% 21 14 32 8 1
8% 9 13 54 13 4
16% 13 16 41 12 1
2% 4 10 66 18 2
22% 21 13 36 6 2
15% 16 20 39 7 3
28% 17 12 37 4 2
22% 18 16 35 7 1
19% 19 14 36 10 1
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19. If Hillary Clinton is elected President, do you think that she would make the right decisions about the nation's economy, or not? LIKELY VOTERS.......................................... WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes/Right No DK/NA
Yes/Right No DK/NA
47% 49 4
14% 85 1
54% 41 5
44% 54 2
35% 62 4
AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
WHITE..... Men Wom
Wht
NonWht
53% 41 5
32% 66 2
39% 58 3
66% 27 6
48% 47 4
84% 12 4
45% 52 3
38% 55 7
43% 54 3
39% 58 3
46% 50 4
20. If Donald Trump is elected President, do you think that he would make the right decisions about the nation's economy, or not? LIKELY VOTERS.......................................... WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes/Right No DK/NA
Yes/Right No DK/NA
43% 53 4
82% 14 4
37% 59 4
48% 49 3
58% 38 5
AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
WHITE..... Men Wom
Wht
NonWht
29% 68 3
59% 37 4
53% 43 4
19% 77 4
40% 55 4
7% 90 2
48% 48 5
44% 51 6
51% 46 3
49% 47 4
47% 49 4
21. If Hillary Clinton is elected President, do you think that she would keep the United States safe from terrorism, or not? LIKELY VOTERS.......................................... WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes/Safe No DK/NA
Yes/Safe No DK/NA
46% 49 5
17% 82 1
52% 42 6
44% 54 3
34% 61 5
AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
WHITE..... Men Wom
Wht
NonWht
53% 43 4
31% 65 3
39% 57 4
65% 29 6
49% 48 3
78% 17 5
44% 53 3
41% 52 7
42% 52 6
40% 56 3
45% 50 5
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22. If Donald Trump is elected President, do you think that he would keep the United States safe from terrorism, or not? LIKELY VOTERS.......................................... WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes/Safe No DK/NA
Yes/Safe No DK/NA
47% 48 5
87% 11 3
41% 54 5
53% 45 2
59% 36 6
AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
WHITE..... Men Wom
Wht
NonWht
39% 60 1
63% 33 4
56% 40 4
26% 68 6
44% 54 2
17% 79 4
52% 44 5
43% 50 7
53% 39 7
54% 41 4
49% 47 4
23. Would you say that Hillary Clinton is honest, or not? LIKELY VOTERS.......................................... WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes No DK/NA
Yes No DK/NA
29% 66 4
6% 91 2
35% 60 5
25% 71 4
18% 78 4
AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
WHITE..... Men Wom
Wht
NonWht
27% 71 2
15% 82 3
21% 75 4
49% 46 5
27% 70 3
59% 36 5
29% 67 4
20% 75 5
33% 61 6
23% 73 3
27% 68 5
24. Would you say that Donald Trump is honest, or not? LIKELY VOTERS.......................................... WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes No DK/NA
Yes No DK/NA
42% 53 5
74% 21 5
39% 56 6
43% 52 5
54% 42 4
AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
WHITE..... Men Wom
Wht
NonWht
39% 61 -
53% 43 4
49% 47 4
26% 67 8
35% 60 5
15% 80 5
42% 51 6
40% 54 6
49% 45 6
45% 50 5
45% 50 5
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25. Would you say that Hillary Clinton has good leadership skills, or not? LIKELY VOTERS.......................................... WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes No DK/NA
Yes No DK/NA
58% 40 2
27% 71 2
66% 32 2
53% 46 2
46% 51 3
AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
WHITE..... Men Wom
Wht
NonWht
64% 33 3
41% 57 2
49% 49 2
79% 20 1
59% 41 -
89% 10 1
56% 43 1
54% 43 3
52% 45 3
49% 50 2
56% 41 3
26. Would you say that Donald Trump has good leadership skills, or not? LIKELY VOTERS.......................................... WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes No DK/NA
Yes No DK/NA
46% 52 2
79% 19 2
40% 58 2
50% 48 2
60% 38 2
AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
WHITE..... Men Wom
Wht
NonWht
37% 61 1
63% 36 1
55% 43 2
25% 73 3
45% 54 1
16% 82 2
50% 47 3
47% 51 2
52% 46 3
54% 44 2
49% 49 2
27. Would you say that Hillary Clinton has the right kind of experience to be President, or not? LIKELY VOTERS.......................................... WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes No DK/NA
Yes No DK/NA
71% 29 1
46% 53 1
76% 23 1
68% 32 -
62% 37 1
AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
WHITE..... Men Wom
Wht
NonWht
88% 12 -
59% 40 1
65% 35 1
85% 14 1
74% 26 -
96% 4 -
64% 35 1
67% 32 1
61% 38 2
65% 35 1
69% 30 1
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28. Would you say that Donald Trump has the right kind of experience to be President, or not? LIKELY VOTERS.......................................... WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes No DK/NA
Yes No DK/NA
32% 65 3
64% 33 3
27% 71 3
35% 63 2
43% 53 4
AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
WHITE..... Men Wom
Wht
NonWht
26% 72 2
47% 50 3
39% 58 3
15% 84 1
29% 69 2
4% 96 -
36% 62 2
33% 63 3
37% 59 4
39% 59 2
32% 64 3
29. Would you say that Hillary Clinton is intelligent, or not? LIKELY VOTERS.......................................... WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes No DK/NA
Yes No DK/NA
87% 12 1
73% 26 2
89% 10 1
86% 13 1
83% 16 1
AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
WHITE..... Men Wom
Wht
NonWht
90% 10 -
83% 15 2
85% 14 1
93% 7 -
90% 9 1
97% 2 -
84% 15 -
89% 10 1
85% 13 2
85% 14 1
86% 13 1
30. Would you say that Donald Trump is intelligent, or not? LIKELY VOTERS.......................................... WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes No DK/NA
Yes No DK/NA
67% 30 4
94% 5 -
60% 35 5
72% 25 2
76% 22 2
AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
WHITE..... Men Wom
Wht
NonWht
58% 39 3
81% 18 1
74% 24 2
50% 44 6
69% 29 2
42% 53 5
70% 28 3
70% 25 5
71% 25 4
75% 24 2
68% 28 3
16
31. Would you say that Hillary Clinton cares about average Americans, or not? LIKELY VOTERS.......................................... WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes No DK/NA
Yes No DK/NA
51% 47 2
21% 76 3
59% 38 3
49% 50 1
36% 61 3
AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
WHITE..... Men Wom
Wht
NonWht
57% 41 2
33% 66 1
42% 56 2
71% 25 3
52% 46 1
84% 15 1
47% 49 3
44% 53 3
46% 52 3
42% 56 2
51% 46 3
32. Would you say that Donald Trump cares about average Americans, or not? LIKELY VOTERS.......................................... WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes No DK/NA
Yes No DK/NA
41% 57 2
77% 20 3
35% 62 3
45% 53 2
53% 44 4
AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
WHITE..... Men Wom
Wht
NonWht
31% 68 -
53% 45 2
49% 48 3
23% 76 1
38% 60 2
12% 87 1
45% 52 3
39% 59 3
46% 50 3
47% 51 2
45% 52 3
33. Would you say that Hillary Clinton is level headed, or not? LIKELY VOTERS.......................................... WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes No DK/NA
Yes No DK/NA
62% 35 4
36% 60 4
67% 29 4
61% 36 2
52% 43 5
AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
WHITE..... Men Wom
Wht
NonWht
68% 26 6
50% 47 3
57% 40 3
74% 22 4
66% 31 3
86% 11 2
60% 38 2
60% 35 5
56% 41 4
55% 41 3
63% 33 4
17
34. Would you say that Donald Trump is level headed, or not? LIKELY VOTERS.......................................... WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes No DK/NA
Yes No DK/NA
25% 71 4
48% 46 6
21% 74 5
28% 69 3
31% 65 4
AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
WHITE..... Men Wom
Wht
NonWht
10% 87 3
35% 62 3
30% 67 4
14% 81 5
21% 76 3
7% 89 4
28% 68 3
23% 74 3
37% 58 5
30% 68 3
24% 71 4
35. If you had to choose which of the following is most important to you, the President should be someone who: is honest, has good leadership skills, has the right kind of experience, is intelligent, cares about average Americans, or is level headed? LIKELY VOTERS.......................................... WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Honest Leadership skills Right experience Intelligent Cares Level headed DK/NA
Honest Leadership skills Right experience Intelligent Cares Level headed DK/NA
17% 25 13 8 21 12 4
30% 31 4 5 19 7 4
16% 23 13 8 22 13 5
18% 30 16 9 15 10 3
25% 21 8 5 26 11 4
AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
WHITE..... Men Wom
Wht
NonWht
18% 17 10 9 27 15 3
22% 28 11 6 21 9 4
21% 25 12 7 21 10 4
7% 24 15 10 22 17 5
12% 27 15 11 23 10 2
5% 24 23 11 20 13 4
19% 26 14 4 20 13 3
19% 22 11 7 24 14 4
18% 28 12 9 16 12 5
19% 27 12 7 19 12 4
21% 23 13 8 21 12 3
18
36. Do you think if Hillary Clinton wins the presidency in 2016 she will mostly bring the right kind of change to the country, mostly bring the wrong kind of change, or will not really bring much change either way? LIKELY VOTERS.......................................... WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Right change Wrong change Not much change DK/NA
Right change Wrong change Not much change DK/NA
28% 24 46 2
5% 46 48 1
34% 18 46 3
22% 29 47 2
19% 31 47 3
AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
WHITE..... Men Wom
Wht
NonWht
23% 18 57 2
14% 37 48 1
20% 30 47 2
45% 11 43 1
30% 26 44 1
57% 4 38 1
27% 28 44 2
17% 25 55 4
28% 24 43 4
21% 32 46 1
26% 23 46 4
37. Do you think if Donald Trump wins the presidency in 2016 he will mostly bring the right kind of change to the country, mostly bring the wrong kind of change, or will not really bring much change either way? LIKELY VOTERS.......................................... WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Right change Wrong change Not much change DK/NA
Right change Wrong change Not much change DK/NA
37% 46 15 3
76% 12 10 3
32% 52 13 3
40% 44 14 2
52% 33 11 3
AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
WHITE..... Men Wom
Wht
NonWht
23% 61 15 1
51% 32 16 1
46% 39 13 2
14% 62 20 4
32% 49 17 1
5% 77 17 1
42% 42 13 4
34% 43 19 4
47% 35 16 3
42% 39 17 3
42% 45 10 3
19
38. In your opinion, does Hillary Clinton take responsibility for her mistakes or not? LIKELY VOTERS.......................................... WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes No DK/NA
Yes No DK/NA
32% 65 3
8% 92 -
40% 56 4
29% 69 2
20% 76 4
AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
WHITE..... Men Wom
Wht
NonWht
29% 64 7
16% 82 3
24% 73 3
50% 45 4
33% 67 1
63% 32 4
30% 67 3
22% 73 5
34% 62 3
23% 74 3
33% 64 4
39. In your opinion, does Donald Trump take responsibility for his mistakes or not? LIKELY VOTERS.......................................... WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes No DK/NA
Yes No DK/NA
32% 64 3
66% 31 2
29% 66 4
37% 61 2
43% 53 4
AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
WHITE..... Men Wom
Wht
NonWht
23% 75 2
43% 55 2
40% 57 3
14% 82 3
30% 68 1
5% 92 3
35% 63 3
31% 65 4
41% 55 4
36% 62 2
37% 59 4
40. Do you think Hillary Clinton's track record in politics is good, bad, or somewhere in between? LIKELY VOTERS.......................................... WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Good Bad Between DK/NA
Good Bad Between DK/NA
28% 37 34 -
6% 70 24 1
31% 29 39 -
26% 44 30 -
18% 48 33 -
AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
WHITE..... Men Wom
Wht
NonWht
18% 27 55 -
17% 56 26 -
22% 46 31 -
43% 14 43 -
31% 39 29 1
58% 6 36 -
29% 41 31 -
17% 39 43 -
33% 40 27 -
24% 46 29 -
26% 37 37 -
20
41. Do you think Donald Trump's track record in business is good, bad, or somewhere in between? LIKELY VOTERS.......................................... WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Good Bad Between DK/NA
Good Bad Between DK/NA
33% 29 37 1
60% 5 35 -
28% 33 37 2
36% 28 36 -
43% 20 37 1
AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
WHITE..... Men Wom
Wht
NonWht
23% 35 42 -
44% 20 35 -
39% 24 36 1
19% 38 40 3
29% 34 37 -
8% 50 39 3
37% 24 38 2
34% 27 39 -
41% 23 33 2
39% 23 38 1
35% 27 37 1
42. Regardless of whether or not you'd vote for her, do you think Hillary Clinton is or is not qualified to serve as President? LIKELY VOTERS.......................................... WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes/Qualified No/Not Qualified DK/NA
66% 33 1
37% 62 1
94% 5 -
62% 36 1
AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
60% 39 -
71% 27 2
62% 38 -
53% 45 2
WHITE..... Men Wom
Wht
NonWht
Yes/Qualified 78% 70% 62% 56% 53% 62% 58% 86% No/Not Qualified 21 29 37 42 46 36 41 13 DK/NA 1 1 1 3 1 2 1 1 43. Regardless of whether or not you'd vote for him, do you think Donald Trump is or is not qualified to serve as President? LIKELY VOTERS.......................................... WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes/Qualified No/Not Qualified DK/NA
Yes/Qualified No/Not Qualified DK/NA
40% 58 2
77% 23 1
32% 65 3
45% 54 1
52% 44 3
AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
WHITE..... Men Wom
Wht
NonWht
26% 70 3
58% 41 1
49% 49 2
19% 81 1
40% 60 -
7% 92 1
44% 55 1
40% 57 3
47% 51 2
49% 50 1
40% 56 3
21
44. If Hillary Clinton wins the presidency in 2016, do you think that Bill Clinton would have a positive impact on her presidency, a negative impact on her presidency, or no significant impact either way? LIKELY VOTERS.......................................... WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Positive impact Negative impact No impact DK/NA
Positive impact Negative impact No impact DK/NA
47% 23 28 2
23% 40 36 1
49% 19 29 3
41% 28 28 2
38% 26 33 2
AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
WHITE..... Men Wom
Wht
NonWht
51% 11 37 1
37% 33 30 1
40% 27 31 2
65% 11 23 1
52% 20 28 -
71% 7 20 2
46% 29 25 1
43% 23 32 1
43% 26 26 5
45% 27 27 1
42% 22 32 4
45. If Donald Trump wins the presidency in 2016, do you think that Melania Trump would have a positive impact on his presidency, a negative impact on his presidency, or no significant impact either way? LIKELY VOTERS.......................................... WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Positive impact Negative impact No impact DK/NA
Positive impact Negative impact No impact DK/NA
20% 11 65 3
44% 4 50 2
19% 15 62 4
23% 7 68 2
25% 10 63 2
AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
WHITE..... Men Wom
Wht
NonWht
13% 14 71 3
25% 6 67 2
24% 9 65 2
11% 17 66 6
16% 14 68 1
6% 17 73 4
25% 10 63 2
14% 9 72 4
25% 9 62 4
21% 8 69 2
23% 11 64 2
22
46. Do you think being a woman will make Hillary Clinton a better President, make her a worse President, or won't it have an impact either way? LIKELY VOTERS.......................................... WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Better Worse No Impact DK/NA
Better Worse No Impact DK/NA
15% 7 76 3
2% 12 84 2
19% 7 71 2
11% 5 82 2
12% 10 76 2
AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
WHITE..... Men Wom
Wht
NonWht
10% 7 81 2
8% 7 83 2
11% 8 79 2
23% 4 69 4
16% 2 81 1
31% 2 64 3
15% 7 77 1
10% 7 82 2
16% 10 69 5
10% 6 81 3
15% 8 75 2
47. Do you think Hillary Clinton believes that she doesn't have to play by the same rules as everyone else, or not? LIKELY VOTERS.......................................... WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes No DK/NA
Yes No DK/NA
60% 37 2
83% 16 1
55% 43 2
61% 37 2
69% 28 3
AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
WHITE..... Men Wom
Wht
NonWht
58% 39 3
71% 27 2
65% 33 2
48% 49 3
61% 37 2
37% 59 3
60% 39 1
63% 33 3
60% 37 3
66% 31 3
59% 38 3
23
48. Do you think Donald Trump should publicly release his tax returns, or not? LIKELY VOTERS.......................................... WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes No DK/NA
Yes No DK/NA
74% 21 6
62% 31 6
76% 18 6
75% 21 5
69% 24 7
AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
WHITE..... Men Wom
Wht
NonWht
72% 24 4
71% 24 5
72% 22 6
79% 16 5
80% 15 5
91% 5 4
73% 24 4
66% 28 6
76% 18 6
72% 23 5
72% 21 7
49. Do you think the way Donald Trump talks appeals to bigotry, or not? LIKELY VOTERS.......................................... WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes No DK/NA
Yes No DK/NA
59% 36 5
29% 65 6
62% 33 5
58% 38 4
50% 45 6
AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
WHITE..... Men Wom
Wht
NonWht
73% 24 3
50% 46 4
54% 41 5
72% 23 5
64% 34 1
87% 11 2
57% 39 3
59% 34 6
48% 41 12
57% 39 4
57% 37 6
24
