Current (2016/01/13) 30.99 34.50 4 355.00 13.79 838.43 640.00 520.00
42.00 8 660.50
42.00 8 200.50
It seems that some of the panic has quietened down since the pandemonium of Monday with the Rand retracing some of the losses that it incurred over the past few days. The Rand broke back through R 16.50 this morning, and it looks like it can run a little further. The calming notion of this morning was a more stable Chinese stock market and better than expected trade numbers. These numbers represent a little shining light of hope, in that it can be the start of a more positive "feeling" regarding China. The bad news, however, is that these numbers can be an outlier which means that the next releases could resume the trends of last year. The key number to look out for is the Chinese GDP next week Tuesday. Has the latest stabilisation out of China turned market sentiment? The answer is probably a resounding "no" as one swallow does not make a summer, but at least, it could be the start of more positive news. Again, there is a word of caution in that wild swings in Emerging Market currencies are becoming the norm instead of the exception and a jump back above R 16.60 cannot be ruled out. Expect the Rand to try and test lower but with it running hard yesterday, we could see a period of consolidation in line with the market mood at the moment, and bigger gains could be harder to attain in the short term.
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