Local Government Climate Change Support Program 2016 Climate Change Indicators for Free State
Climate Trends & Scenarios for RSA Four Futures: 1. 2. 3. 4.
Warmer Wetter Hotter Wetter Warmer Drier Hotter Drier
Average Temperature
Increasing Temperatures
Warmer
Hotter
3°C
2016
2050
2100
More variable rainfall 1. 2. 3. 4.
Risk of Drier conditions to the west and south of RSA Risk of Wetter conditions over the east of the country More intense rainfall events Delay onset of rain season
Climate Futures for SA: Scenario 1 - Warmer Wetter ●
Warmer (<3°C above 1961–2000), wetter, greater frequency of extreme rainfall events.
Scenario 2 - Hotter Wetter ●
Hotter (>3°C above 1961–2000), wetter, substantially greater frequency of extreme rainfall events.
Climate Futures for SA: Scenario 3 - Warmer Drier ●
Warmer (<3°C above 1961–2000), drier, increase in the frequency of drought events, somewhat greater frequency of extreme rainfall events.
Scenario 4 - Hotter Drier ●
Hotter (>3°C above 1961–2000), drier, substantial increase in the frequency of drought events, greater frequency of extreme rainfall events.
Hotter > 3 degrees Warmer < 3 degrees
Scenario 2 - Hotter Drier Hotter (>3°C above 1961–2000), drier, substantial increase in the frequency of drought events, greater frequency of extreme rainfall events. Scenario 1 - Warmer Drier Warmer (<3°C above 1961–2000), drier, increase in the frequency of drought events, somewhat greater frequency of extreme rainfall events.
Drier
Scenario 3 - Hotter Wetter Hotter (>3°C above 1961–2000), wetter, substantially greater frequency of extreme rainfall events.
Scenario 4 - Warmer Wetter Warmer (<3°C above 1961–2000), wetter, greater frequency of extreme rainfall events
Wetter
Hydrological Zones
Vaal - Hydrological Zone Rainfall Scenarios Scenario
Spring
Summer
Warmer Wetter
↑
↑
Hotter Wetter
↑
↑
Warmer Drier
↓ ↓
↓ ↓
Hotter Drier
Autumn
↓↓↓ ↓↓↓
Winter
Orange - Hydrological Zone Rainfall Scenarios Scenario
Spring
Summer
Autumn
Winter
Warmer Wetter
↑
↑
↑
↑
Hotter Wetter
↑
↑
↑
↑
Warmer Drier
↓ ↓
↓ ↓
↓ ↓
Hotter Drier
Agriculture
Free State Mean maize yields (T/Ha/Season)
Free State Percentage of Households involved in agricultural activities
Biodiversity and Environment
Free State Current Biomes
Free State Medium Risk Biomes
Free State High Risk Biomes
Free State Threatened Ecosystems
Human Health
Free State Vulnerable Age Groups
Free State Air Quality
Human Settlements
Free State % Households in Informal Dwellings
Free State % Households no Rubbish Disposal
Water
Blue and Green Drop Scores - Key Score
Blue Drop Score Rates quality of drinking water
Green Drop Rates wastewater treatment
Excellent
90% - 100%
90% - 100%
Good
75% - 90%
80% - 90%
Average
50% - 75%
50% - 80%
Poor
33% - 50%
30% - 50%
Critical
0% - 33%
0% - 30%
Blue and Green Drop Scores - Fezile Dabi DM
Municipality
Blue Drop Score Rates quality of drinking water
Green Drop Rates wastewater treatment
Mafube
18.16%
Critical
9.50%
Critical
Metsimaholo
89.49%
Good
61.70%
Average
Moqhaka
54.93%
Average
40.80%
Poor
Ngwathe
20.59%
Critical
46.30%
Poor
Blue and Green Drop Scores - Lejweleputswa DM
Municipality
Blue Drop Score Rates quality of drinking water
Green Drop Rates wastewater treatment
Masilonyana
11.40%
Critical
13.20%
Critical
Matjhabeng
94.72%
Excellent
14.20%
Critical
Nala
67.23%
Average
20.30%
Critical
Tokologo
25.46%
Critical
0.00%
Critical
Tswelopele
92.42%
Excellent
46.50%
Poor
Blue and Green Drop Scores - Thabo Mofutsanyana DM
Municipality
Blue Drop Score Rates quality of drinking water
Green Drop Rates wastewater treatment
Dihlabeng
68.59%
Average
31.50%
Poor
Maluti-A-Phofung
86.00%
Good
53.80%
Average
Mantsopa
47.09%
Poor
20.30%
Critical
Nketoana
18.57%
Critical
0.00%
Critical
Phumelela
17.90%
Critical
5.10%
Critical
Setsoto
89.00%
Good
22.10%
Critical
Blue and Green Drop Scores - Xhariep DM
Municipality
Blue Drop Score Rates quality of drinking water
Green Drop Rates wastewater treatment
Kopanong
68.70%
Average
1.20%
Critical
Letsemeng
49.98%
Poor
0.00%
Critical
Mohokare
77.04%
Good
58.60%
Average
Local Government Climate Change Support Program 2016 Climate Change Indicators for Free State
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