COMMONWEALTH OF PENNSYLVANIA STATE EMPLOYEES’ RETIREMENT SYSTEM

DECEMBER 31, 2015 ACTUARIAL VALUATION KEY RESULTS

SERS BOARD MEETING – APRIL 27, 2016

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State Employees' Retirement System Valuation Highlights December 31, 2015 Valuation

December 31, 2014 Valuation

Summary of Employer Contributions as a Percent of Total Compensation SERS Plan Contribution Normal Cost 4.52% 4.95% Amortization of Liabilities 27.62% 26.56% Contribution Before Change Prescribed by Law 32.14% 31.51% Total SERS Plan Contribution* 29.50% 25.00% Benefits Completion Plan Contribution Total Contribution

0.01%

0.01%

29.51%

25.01%

* Reflects Rates Prescribed by Act 2010-120 Demographic Characteristics of the Population Active Participants: Number Average age Average service Average annualized compensation Total annualized compensation Funding payroll Annuitants and Beneficiaries: Number Average age Total annual pension

$ $ $

105,025 46.4 11.6 56,858 5,971,511,000 6,255,189,000

$

124,689 69.0 2,664,555,759

Inactive and Vested Participants: Number

$ $ $

104,431 46.6 11.8 54,769 5,719,581,000 6,021,688,000

$

122,249 68.9 2,552,267,698

6,918

7,054

Assets Market Value of Assets Actuarial Value of Assets

$ $

Funded Status (Market Assets) Funded Status (Actuarial Assets)

26,050,326,844 26,877,126,928 56.2% 58.0%

1

$ $

27,332,909,054 26,584,948,430 61.1% 59.4%

SERS Participation Pensioner Count First Exceeded Active Count in 2010 140

Number of Participants (in thousands)

120

100

80

60

40

20

0 2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006 2007 2008 2009 Year (As of December 31)

Active Participants

2010

Annuitants and Beneficiaries

2

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

SERS Historical Annual Investment Returns 30%

20%

10%

0%

-10%

-20%

-30% 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Actual Return on Assets

Assumed Return on Assets

3

State Employees' Retirement System Employer Contribution Rate by Group Fiscal Year 2016 - 2017

SERS Plan

Benefits Completion Plan

Total

Class A-3 and A-4 Members: Age 65 Retirement Age 55 Retirement Park Rangers Capitol Police State Police

20.69% 23.29% 23.29% 23.29% 38.24%

0.01% 0.01% 0.01% 0.01% 0.01%

20.70% 23.30% 23.30% 23.30% 38.25%

Class AA Members: Age 60 Retirement Age 50 Retirement Park Rangers Capitol Police Enforcement Officers

29.94% 33.71% 33.44% 33.44% 33.71%

0.01% 0.01% 0.01% 0.01% 0.01%

29.95% 33.72% 33.45% 33.45% 33.72%

Class A Members: Age 60 Retirement Age 50 Retirement Park Rangers Capitol Police State Police Enforcement Officers

23.95% 26.97% 26.87% 26.87% 42.36% 26.97%

0.01% 0.01% 0.01% 0.01% 0.01% 0.01%

23.96% 26.98% 26.88% 26.88% 42.37% 26.98%

Class D-4 Legislators

40.45%

0.01%

40.46%

Class E Members

37.96%

0.01%

37.97%

The above group rates result in employer contribution rates (expressed as a percentage of total projected covered compensation for active members in fiscal year 2016-2017) of 29.50% for the SERS Plan, 0.01% for the Benefits Completion Plan and 29.51% in Total.

4

State Employees' Retirement System Unfunded Liability and Normal Cost as of December 31, 2015

I.

Present Value of Benefits: A) Active and Inactive Participants 1) Superannuation and Withdrawal 2) Disability 3) Death 4) Refunds 5) Special Police and Enforcement Officer Benefits 6) Subtotal B) Annuitants and Beneficiaries C) Total

II.

$

26,081,966,062 867,982,292 818,279,065 56,288,047 -

$

27,824,515,466 25,156,124,601 52,980,640,067

$

Present Value of Member and Employer Contributions: A) B) C) D) E)

Employer Portion of Normal Cost Member Contributions Administrative Expenses Fiscal Year Amortization Payable Total

$

III.

Actuarial Accrued Liability: (I) - (II)

$

46,328,928,553

IV.

Actuarial Value of Assets

$

26,877,126,928

V.

Unfunded Liability (III) - (IV)

$

19,451,801,625

VI.

Employer Normal Cost Rate A) Total Normal Cost Rate for new active members to fund: 1) Superannuation and Withdrawal 2) Disability 3) Death 4) Refunds 5) Total

$

2,736,877,355 3,547,142,309 (223,687,470) 591,379,320 6,651,711,514

9.32% 0.71% 0.38% 0.36% 10.77%

B) Member Contribution Rate

6.25%

C) Employer Normal Cost Rate (A) - (B)

4.52%

5

SCHEDULE A

State Employees' Retirement System Employer Contribution Rate in Fiscal Year 2016 - 2017 Funding Period Initial From Initial Amount Years July 1 of Liability I. Amortization of Liability (Asset) For: A) Liability Fresh Start B) Changes in 2010 C) Changes in 2011 D) Changes in 2012 E) Changes in 2013 F) Changes in 2014 G) Changes in 2015

30 30 30 30 30 30 30

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

$5,592,323,524 4,192,690,873 5,018,078,343 3,244,242,829 344,271,135 482,239,376 1,522,849,789

Total II.

Outstanding Balance as of 12/31/15

Payment as a Annual Payment Percent of Amount Compensation*

$5,209,590,801 3,960,540,996 4,801,002,885 3,142,879,262 337,362,367 477,575,525 1,522,849,789

$474,333,657 355,302,793 424,886,895 274,694,050 29,149,862 40,831,804 128,941,574

7.58% 5.68% 6.79% 4.39% 0.47% 0.65% 2.06%

$ 19,451,801,625

$ 1,728,140,635

27.62%

Employer Normal Cost

4.52%

III. Total Employer Cost before Act 2010-120 = (I) + (II)

32.14%

IV. Total Employer Cost (III), reflecting the 29.50 percent contribution prescribed by Act 2010-120

29.50%

* The payment is expressed as a percentage of the total projected covered compensation for active members in fiscal year 2016-2017 of $6,255,189,000. Percentages may not add due to rounding.

6

SCHEDULE B

Chart 3 SERS Historical Employer Contribution Rates 35%

30%

Percent of Payroll

25%

20%

15%

10%

5%

0%

Valuation Date (= December 31 of Year Shown) Employer Contribution Rates

Employer Normal Cost Rates

7

UNAUDITED

GASB 67 SERS Estimated Changes in the Net Pension Liability

Balances as of December 31, 2014 Changes for the Year: 1 Service Cost* 2 Interest** 3 Changes of Benefit Terms 4 Differences Between Expected and Actual Experience 5 Changes of Assumptions 6 Contributions - Employer 7 Contributions - Member 8 Net Investment Income 9 Benefit Payments, Including Refunds of Member Contributions 10 Plan Administrative Expenses 11 Other Changes Net Changes Balances as of December 31, 2015

Total Pension Liability (a) $ 42,195,186,144

$ $ $ $ $

SERS Increase/(Decrease) Plan Fiduciary Net Position (b) $ 27,337,778,033

Net Pension Liability (a) - (b) $ 14,857,408,111

$ $ $ $ $ $ $

$ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $

955,009,589 3,122,821,027 377,699,993 668,863,875

$

(3,080,860,474)

$

2,043,534,010

$ 44,238,720,154

1,360,431,419 371,624,471 87,987,728 (3,080,860,474) (22,071,659) (1,282,888,515)

$ 26,054,889,518

955,009,589 3,122,821,027 377,699,993 668,863,875 (1,360,431,419) (371,624,471) (87,987,728) 22,071,659 3,326,422,525

$ 18,183,830,636

* The Service Cost is the sum of all of the individual costs of benefits expected to accrue during the upcoming one-year period. ** 7.5% interest is applied for a full year on beginning TPL and Service Cost and for a half year on Benefit Payments. Plan Fiduciary Net Position as a Percentage of the TPL

58.90%

Covered-Employee Payroll

$

SERS's NPL as a Percentage of Covered-Employee Payroll Hay Group

5,971,511,000 304.5%

UNAUDITED 8

4/18/2016

State Employees' Retirement System Accounting Disclosure Statements (continued) I. Schedule of Funding Progress as of December 31, 2015 (Dollars in Thousands) Note: This table is included in this reportFOR INFORMATION PURPOSES; it is no longer a required disclosure under GASB.

Actuarial Valuation Date

Unfunded Actuarial Actuarial Accrued Liability Accrued Liability (AAL) (UAAL) (b) (b-a) 15,067,205 (443,104) 15,936,616 (904,453) 17,288,413 (1,276,723) 18,357,899 (2,312,812) 19,091,840 (4,532,427)

Funded Ratio (a) / (b) 102.9% 105.7% 107.4% 112.6% 123.7%

Funding Payroll (c) 4,021,605 4,163,683 4,219,034 4,446,147 4,519,112

Unfunded Actuarial Accrued Liability as a Percentage of Funding Payroll ((b-a)/c) -11.0% -21.7% -30.3% -52.0% -100.3%

12/31/1995* 12/31/1996 12/31/1997 12/31/1998 12/31/1999

Actuarial Value of Assets (a) 15,510,309 16,841,069 18,565,136 20,670,711 23,624,267

12/31/2000* 12/31/2001 12/31/2002 12/31/2003 12/31/2004

26,094,306 27,505,494 27,497,464 27,465,615 26,900,027

19,702,278 23,658,757 25,650,389 26,179,761 27,999,026

(6,392,028) (3,846,737) (1,847,075) (1,285,854) 1,099,000

132.4% 116.3% 107.2% 104.9% 96.1%

4,769,180 4,872,375 5,093,454 4,965,360 5,093,573

-134.0% -78.9% -36.3% -25.9% 21.6%

12/31/2005* 12/31/2006 12/31/2007 12/31/2008** 12/31/2009

26,793,782 28,148,834 30,839,877 30,635,621 30,204,693

28,851,716 30,364,997 31,753,971 34,437,396 35,797,017

2,057,934 2,216,163 914,093 3,801,775 5,592,324

92.9% 92.7% 97.1% 89.0% 84.4%

5,138,377 5,661,675 5,529,069 5,660,319 5,935,988

40.1% 39.1% 16.5% 67.2% 94.2%

12/31/2010* 12/31/2011*** 12/31/2012 12/31/2013 12/31/2014

29,443,945 27,618,461 25,302,688 25,975,185 26,584,948

39,179,594 42,281,862 43,055,564 43,874,580 44,750,670

9,735,649 14,663,401 17,752,876 17,899,395 18,165,722

75.2% 65.3% 58.8% 59.2% 59.4%

5,851,704 5,890,704 5,836,402 5,897,627 6,021,688

166.4% 248.9% 304.2% 303.5% 301.7%

12/31/2015 26,877,127 46,328,929 19,451,802 * Revised economic and demographic assumptions due to experience review. ** Revised interest rate assumption from 8.5% to 8.0%. *** Revised interest rate assumption from 8.0% to 7.5%.

58.0%

6,255,189

311.0%

9

SCHEDULE H (Page 2 of 5)

SERS Historical Funded Status = Assets / Actuarial Accrued Liability 145%

135%

125%

Funded Status

115%

105%

95%

85%

75%

65%

55% 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Year (As of December 31) Funded Status (Actuarial Assets)

Funded Status (Market Assets)

10

Target Funded Status

State Employees' Retirement System Accounting Disclosure Statements (continued) II. Schedule of Employer Contributions as of December 31, 2015 (Dollars in Thousands) Note: This table is included in this reportFOR INFORMATION PURPOSES; it is no longer a required disclosure under GASB. Calendar Annual Required Actual Percentage Year Contribution (ARC) Contribution Contributed 1995 376,692 384,506 102.1% 1996 373,903 373,903 100.0% 1997 324,093 324,093 100.0% 1998 310,501 310,501 100.0% 1999 269,869 269,869 100.0% 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

168,002 52,104 22,906 55,079 105,229

168,002 76,709 50,831 67,947 105,229

100.0% 147.2% 221.9% 123.4% 100.0%

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

319,190 548,745 617,253 584,248 643,861

147,163 195,407 242,337 233,138 251,870

46.1% 35.6% 39.3% 39.9% 39.1%

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

866,822 913,778 1,044,632 1,314,925 1,407,361

272,525 391,189 562,883 790,996 1,081,826

31.4% 42.8% 53.9% 60.2% 76.9%

2015

1,469,116

1,359,246

92.5%

Notes Pertaining to Governmental Accounting Standards Board Statement No. 25 (Although Statement 25 has been replaced by Statement 67, the Statement 25 notes below and on the following pages are provided FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES.) The actual contribution amounts in the above table include the employer share of regular contributions, the employer share of purchased service and contributions for employee service under the Public School Employees' Retirement System. The information presented above was determined as part of the actuarial valuations at the dates indicated. Additional information as of the latest actuarial funding valuation follows.

11

SCHEDULE H (Page 3 of 5)

State Employees' Retirement System Actuarial Value of Assets I.

Development of 12/31/15 Expected Actuarial Value: A) Actuarial Value as of 12/31/14 B) Contributions in 2015 C) Benefits and Expenses in 2015 D) Investment return at 7.5% to 12/31/15 on (A) E) Investment return at 7.5% to 12/31/15 on (B) and (C): 7.5% x .5 x ((B) + (C)) F) Expected Actuarial Value as of 12/31/15: (A) + (B) + (C) + (D) + (E)

$ 26,584,948,430 1,730,870,536 (3,101,432,974) 1,993,871,132 (51,396,091) $ 27,156,861,033

II. Previous Differences Not Yet Amortized: A) B) C) D) E)

Unrecognized amount of 12/31/11 Difference: .2 x ($1,795,550,551) Unrecognized amount of 12/31/12 Difference: .4 x $789,653,676 Unrecognized amount of 12/31/13 Difference: .6 x $1,890,838,336 Unrecognized amount of 12/31/14 Difference: .8 x ($429,117,174) Total

$

(359,110,110) 315,861,470 1,134,503,002 (343,293,739)

$

747,960,623

III. Gain or Loss from 2015 A) B) C)

Market Value of Assets on 12/31/15 Expected Market Value II(E) + I(F) Gain (loss) from 2015 Investments (A) - (B)

$ 26,050,326,844 27,904,821,656 $ (1,854,494,812)

IV. Development of Actuarial Value of Assets as of 12/31/15: A) B) C) D) E) F) G)

20% of ($1,795,550,551) (12/31/11 Difference): 20% of $789,653,676 (12/31/12 Difference): 20% of $1,890,838,336 (12/31/13 Difference): 20% of ($429,117,174) (12/31/14 Difference): 20% of ($1,854,494,812) (12/31/15 Difference): Total Difference: (A) + (B) + (C) + (D) + (E) Actuarial Value at 12/31/15: I(F) + IV(F)

12

$

$

(359,110,110) 157,930,735 378,167,667 (85,823,435) (370,898,962) (279,734,105)

$ 26,877,126,928

SCHEDULE J

SERS Actuarial (5-Year Smoothed) & Market Values of Assets

$35

Billions

$30

$25

$20

$15

$10 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Year (As of December 31) Actuarial Value

13

Market Value