Metro Market Overview – 12/31/2015 Provided by Keller Williams Realty Single Family Detached Residences– Metro Atlanta (41 FMLS Areas)
List Price
Median* No. of ForeTotal Months Original Short Failed Number Number Pending Closings closures Distressed Supply List Price Sale % of Listings (Previous Active Pending Ratio Last 3 % of sales % of of Closings Percent listing Months Closings closings Listings periods
Median* Median* Median % S/L Days on Price Market Sales (Previous (Previous Price Listing Listing Periods Included)
included)
Current Month Only
Periods Included)
Using most recent 3-months of Sales and Failed data to minimize unusual monthly variations
<=$25K $26-$50K $51-$75K $76-$100K $101-$150K $151-$200K $201-$250K
68 233 332 481 1,307 1,456 1,373
42 128 218 305 949 1,023 740
38.2% 35.5% 39.6% 38.8% 42.1% 41.3% 35.0%
79 221 286 399 1,588 2,051 1,578
22.8% 25.3% 20.6% 14.0% 7.0% 3.1% 2.4%
10.1% 13.6% 18.5% 14.3% 6.4% 4.1% 3.0%
32.9% 38.9% 39.2% 28.3% 13.4% 7.2% 5.4%
34.2% 39.3% 34.4% 33.1% 28.2% 26.1% 30.3%
2.6 3.2 3.5 3.6 2.5 2.1 2.6
$22,500 $45,000 $69,800 $95,000 $136,900 $179,900 $234,900
$18,000 $39,500 $60,080 $86,000 $129,900 $173,000 $223,375
86.7% 85.2% 90.1% 92.3% 95.7% 96.9% 96.5%
33 49 55 49 45 39 47
$251-$300K $301-$350K $351-$400K $401-$500K $501-$600K $601-$750K
1,242 924 853 1,194 1,228 753
571 380 348 377 244 177
31.5% 29.1% 29.0% 24.0% 16.6% 19.0%
1,183 886 713 841 417 332
1.2% 0.8% 1.0% 0.5% 0.7% 0.0%
2.5% 1.8% 1.5% 1.9% 1.9% 1.2%
3.6% 2.6% 2.5% 2.4% 2.6% 1.2%
33.1% 33.9% 36.2% 41.6% 51.7% 53.0%
3.1 3.1 3.6 4.3 8.8 6.8
$282,590 $339,000 $389,900 $465,000 $574,900 $699,900
$270,000 $322,000 $372,000 $439,900 $538,000 $655,750
96.5% 96.2% 96.3% 95.5% 95.0% 95.0%
48 46 54 56 70 77
696 491 226 236 13,093
147 79 33 21 5,782
17.4% 13.9% 12.7% 8.2% 30.6%
222 116 42 30 10,984
0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 4.0%
1.4% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 4.3%
1.8% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 8.2%
62.3% 67.6% 65.9% 73.2% 36.1%
9.4 $884,900 $815,000 12.7 $1,299,000 $1,150,000 16.1 $1,753,900 $1,640,000 23.6 $2,692,450 $2,301,250 3.6 $236,125 $225,000
93.9% 89.5% 92.5% 88.1% 95.9%
79 174 118 176 49
$751-$1.0M $1.0-$1.5M $1.5M-$2.0M >$2.0M TOTAL
*Median: Half are above and half are below this number
FMLS SF Detached residences data. Data believed to be accurate, but not warranted. Analysis includes previous listing period data where applicable. © 2015 ChartMaster Services, LLC. For exclusive use of participating Keller Williams Realty offices.
Metro Market Overview – 12/31/2015 Provided by Keller Williams Realty Condo/Townhome Residences– Metro Atlanta (41 FMLS Areas)
List Price
Median* No. of ForeTotal Months Original Short Failed Number Number Pending Closings closures Distressed Supply List Price Sale % of Listings (Previous Active Pending Ratio Last 3 % of sales % of of Closings Percent listing Months Closings closings Listings periods
Median* Median* Median % S/L Days on Price Market Sales (Previous (Previous Price Listing Listing Periods Included)
included)
Current Month Only
<=$25K
Periods Included)
Using most recent 3-months of Sales and Failed data to minimize unusual monthly variations
7
14
66.7%
21
57.1%
9.5%
66.7%
25.0%
1.0
$20,000
$16,000
79.7%
64
$26-$50K $51-$75K $76-$100K $101-$150K $151-$200K $201-$250K $251-$300K
49 131 163 398 426 224 179
34 80 112 301 334 188 126
41.0% 37.9% 40.7% 43.1% 43.9% 45.6% 41.3%
49 138 217 642 690 400 311
16.3% 10.9% 5.5% 3.6% 2.0% 1.0% 0.6%
18.4% 15.2% 6.9% 4.4% 2.2% 1.0% 1.0%
34.7% 26.1% 12.4% 7.9% 4.2% 2.0% 1.6%
29.0% 32.0% 29.1% 19.6% 21.5% 20.8% 19.8%
3.0 2.8 2.3 1.9 1.9 1.7 1.7
$42,500 $69,000 $89,900 $130,000 $178,950 $229,700 $276,000
$38,700 $63,700 $85,000 $125,050 $172,000 $223,000 $269,900
92.9% 91.7% 94.4% 96.7% 97.4% 97.9% 98.0%
50 47 35 30 27 26 27
$301-$350K $351-$400K $401-$500K $501-$600K $601-$750K $751-$1.0M
147 102 143 92 94 69
70 66 72 31 43 34
32.3% 39.3% 33.5% 25.2% 31.4% 33.0%
164 108 111 54 30 16
0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
0.0% 1.9% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
0.6% 1.9% 0.9% 0.0% 6.7% 0.0%
27.4% 24.5% 35.5% 37.9% 49.2% 61.0%
2.7 2.8 3.9 5.1 9.4 12.9
$329,000 $381,000 $448,095 $569,695 $695,000 $827,000
$320,000 $375,000 $430,000 $546,164 $653,375 $787,400
98.2% 97.4% 97.3% 95.8% 95.1% 95.3%
25 31 46 49 63 56
28 9 28 2,289
12 6 1 1,524
30.0% 40.0% 3.4% 40.0%
7 1 8 2,967
0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3.1%
0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3.4%
0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 6.5%
68.2% 75.0% 33.3% 24.8%
12.0 $1,165,000 $1,025,000 27.0 $1,699,000 $1,699,000 10.5 $3,151,353 $3,151,353 2.3 $184,900 $177,500
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 97.1%
182 661 248 31
$1.0-$1.5M $1.5M-$2.0M >$2.0M TOTAL
*Median: Half are above and half are below this number
FMLS Condo/Townhome residences data. Data believed to be accurate, but not warranted. Analysis includes previous listing period data where applicable. © 2015 ChartMaster Services, LLC. For exclusive use of participating Keller Williams Realty offices.
Monthly Trend Analysis Measurements Indications Remarks # Active
# Pending Pending Ratio
May increase and decrease seasonally Should be evaluated along with Solds and Pendings to determine market direction May indicate direction of short term sales, generally, higher numbers are better, more properties going under contract results in better overall market condition Presents a way to evaluate the number of Pendings relative to Actives Higher percentages indicate faster listings turnover and increased overall market activity
# Sold (Previous 3 Months) Foreclosure % (Previous 3 Months)
Increasing sales usually indicate an improving market, as long as it results in a lower supply of listings This percentage needs to be low to result in a healthier market due to its negative impact on prices, DOM and S/L ratios for non-distressed properties This percentage needs to be low to result in a healthier market due to its negative impact on prices, Short Sale % (Previous 3 Months) DOM and S/L ratios for non-distressed properties Total Distressed Property % of This percentage needs to be low to result in a healthier market due to its negative impact on prices, sales (Previous 3 Months) DOM and S/L ratios for non-distressed properties Lower percentages mean a healthier market where prices are in line with Buyer expectations. Failed % (Previous 3 months) Lower percentages may result when Pending Ratios are higher, due to faster turnover of listings Indicator of supply/demand relationship – lower supply should result in improved sales prices, S/L Months of Supply of Listings ratios, DOM Median Original List Price (Previous 3 Mos.) Tracks the tendency to price properties in line with or counter to market conditions Median Sales Price (Previous 3 Tracks Buyer price preference changes – dropping prices indicate price resistance, rising prices Mos.) indicate improved market conditions and overall growth Median S/OL Price Ratio Evaluation of Seller listing price realism – Lower percentages indicate Buyer price resistance and lack (Previous 3 mos.) of acceptance of market reality by Sellers Median Days on Market Tracks the difficulty of attracting acceptable offers – Reflects pricing and condition strategies by Sellers (Previous 3 mos.) as well as degree of price resistance for Buyers FMLS SF Detached residences data. Data believed to be accurate, but not warranted. Analysis includes previous listing period data where applicable. © 2015 ChartMaster Services, LLC. For exclusive use of participating Keller Williams Realty offices.
Yearly Trend Analysis Detached December 2014 # Active
12,322
December 2015 13,093 Slightly Higher (+6.3%) vs. last year
# Pending
5,506
5,782 Higher (+5.0%) vs. last year
Pending Ratio
30.9%
30.6% Nearly flat (-.3 points) compared to last year
# Sold (Previous 3 Months) Foreclosure % (Previous 3 Months)
10,030 6.6%
4.0% Lower compared to last year (-2.8 percentage points)
4.9%
4.3% Somewhat lower Short Sales (-.6 percentage points)
Short Sale % (Previous 3 Months) Total Distressed Property % of sales (Previous 3 Months)
11.6%
Failed % (Previous 3 months)
38.9%
Months of Supply of Listings Median Original List Price (Previous 3 Mos.) Median Sales Price (Previous 3 Mos.) Median S/OL Price Ratio (Previous 3 mos.) Median Days on Market (Previous 3 mos.)
10,984 Somewhat higher compared to last year (+9.5%)
3.7 $229,900 $215,000 95.0% 56
8.2% Continued down (-3.4 percentage points) from last year 36.1% Slightly lower than last year (-2.8 percentage points) 3.6 Nearly flat (-2.7% lower), -.1 months, compared to last year Higher OLP (+11.4%) compared to last year, still rising due to
$236,125 continued low supply
+4.7% Higher than last year, continuing a trend of higher median $225,000 sales prices in a low-supply environment Slightly improved (+.9 percentage points) – lower supply helping 95.9% sellers maintain sales price closer to listing price
49 Slightly lower (-12.5%) compared to last year
FMLS SF Detached residences data. Data believed to be accurate, but not warranted. Analysis includes previous listing period data where applicable. © 2015 ChartMaster Services, LLC. For exclusive use of participating Keller Williams Realty offices.
Yearly Trend Analysis Condo/Townhomes December 2014
December 2015 Remarks
# Active
2,374
2,289
Lower (-3.6%) compared to last year
# Pending
1,018
1,524
Much Higher (+49.7%) compared to last year
Pending Ratio
30.0%
40.0% fewer Actives and higher Pending listings compared to last year
# Sold (Previous 3 Months) Foreclosure % (Previous 3 Months)
2,694
2,967
6.4%
3.1%
4.3%
3.4%
Short Sale % (Previous 3 Months) Total Distressed Property % of sales (Previous 3 Months)
10.7%
Failed % (Previous 3 months)
26.1%
Months of Supply of Listings Median Original List Price (Previous 3 Mos.) Median Sales Price (Previous 3 Mos.) Median S/OL Price Ratio (Previous 3 mos.) Median Days on Market (Previous 3 mos.)
2.6 $172,500 $165,000 96.2% 37
Higher compared to last year (+10.0 percentage points) due to
Somewhat higher compared to last year (+10.1%) Lower again compared to last year (-3.3 percentage points)
Sharply reduced Short Sales (-.9 percentage points) Down substantially (-4.2 percentage points) from last year 6.5% continuing the decline in these types of transactions
24.8%
Slightly lower compared to last year (-1.3 percentage points) Very low supply, down again compared to last year, -.3 months (2.3 11.5 %)
$184,900
Higher OLP (+7.2%) compared to last year +7.8% Higher than last year, continuing a trend of higher median $177,500 sales prices Slightly higher (+.9 percentage points higher) – low supply helping 97.1% sellers maintain sales price closer to listing price
31
Lower (-16.2%) compared to last year
FMLS SF Detached residences data. Data believed to be accurate, but not warranted. Analysis includes previous listing period data where applicable. © 2015 ChartMaster Services, LLC. For exclusive use of participating Keller Williams Realty offices.
Recent Trend Analysis Detached 6 MONTHS TREND Report Date
Jul-15
# Active
15,781
Aug-15 15,694
Sep-15 15,322
Oct-15
Nov-15
Dec-15
14,965
13,984
13,093
# Pending
8,047
7,621
7,150
6,603
6,930
5,782
Pending Ratio
33.8%
32.7%
31.8%
30.6%
33.1%
30.6%
14,641
15,584
15,454
14,211
12,652
10,984
% Foreclosed
4.5%
3.8%
3.8%
3.5%
4.0%
4.0%
% Short Sale
2.8%
2.5%
4.1%
4.7%
5.6%
4.3%
% Distressed
7.3%
6.3%
7.9%
8.2%
9.5%
8.2%
25.3%
25.1%
28.2%
31.1%
34.0%
36.1%
3.2
3.0
3.0
3.2
3.3
3.6
# Sold Previous 3 Mos.
% Failed Supply in Months Med. Orig. List Price
$250,000 $250,000
$249,900 $242,900
$238,000 $236,125
Med. Sale Price
$240,000 $243,000
$238,000 $232,500
$225,000 $225,000
Med. % Sale/Orig. LP Med. DOM
96.7%
96.8%
96.6%
96.3%
96.0%
95.9%
43
38
38
40
45
49
TREND
FMLS SF Detached residences data. Data believed to be accurate, but not warranted. Analysis includes previous listing period data where applicable. © 2015 ChartMaster Services, LLC. For exclusive use of participating Keller Williams Realty offices.
Recent Trend Analysis Condos/Townhomes LAST 6 MONTHS TREND Report Date
Jul-15
Aug-15
Sep-15
Oct-15
Nov-15
# Active
2,714
2,733
2,676
2,558
2,289
# Pending
1,897
2,722 1,993
1,903
1,745
1,790
1,524
Pending Ratio
41.1%
41.0%
39.5%
41.2%
40.0%
# Sold
3,653
42.3% 3,676
3,512
3,345
3,205
2,967
% Foreclosed
3.3%
3.3%
3.3%
3.3%
3.0%
3.1%
% Short Sale
1.7%
1.8%
2.0%
4.8%
3.4%
% Distressed
5.0%
1.7% 5.0%
5.1%
5.3%
7.8%
6.5%
18.1% 2.2
20.5%
21.8%
24.0%
24.8%
2.3
2.4
2.4
2.3
185,631 181,000
$185,000
$185,000
$182,900
$184,900
$180,000
$180,000
$176,000
$177,500
97.3% 28
97.2%
97.2%
97.1%
97.1%
27
28
29
31
% Failed Supply
17.7% 2.2
OLP
$185,000
Sale Price
$180,000
% S/L
97.3%
DOM
31
Dec-15 TREND
FMLS Condo/Townhome residences data. Data believed to be accurate, but not warranted. Analysis includes previous listing period data where applicable. © 2015 ChartMaster Services, LLC. For exclusive use of participating Keller Williams Realty offices.
Recent Trend Analysis Detached Distressed Properties Percent of Sales July
August
September October November December
<=$25K
24.0%
25.0%
34.1%
32.9%
38.2%
32.9%
$26-$50K
38.8%
36.8%
40.2%
39.6%
43.0%
38.9%
$51-$75K
38.9%
35.1%
34.1%
32.3%
33.4%
39.2%
$76-$100K
30.6%
25.2%
26.5%
25.8%
30.6%
28.3%
$101-$150K
15.6%
13.9%
14.0%
13.8%
13.8%
13.4%
$151-$200K
6.6%
5.9%
8.0%
8.2%
8.5%
7.2%
$201-$250K
4.3%
3.8%
4.9%
4.9%
6.6%
5.4%
$251-$300K
2.7%
2.1%
3.6%
4.5%
5.3%
3.6%
$301-$350K
1.4%
0.9%
3.0%
3.8%
4.6%
2.6%
$351-$400K
1.8%
1.6%
3.9%
4.2%
5.2%
2.5%
$401-$500K
1.8%
1.3%
3.0%
3.5%
4.6%
2.4%
$501-$600K
0.7%
0.7%
2.7%
3.3%
4.5%
2.6%
$601-$750K
0.2%
0.2%
1.7%
2.3%
3.1%
1.2%
$751-$1.0M
0.8%
0.5%
2.4%
2.5%
3.4%
1.8%
$1.0-$1.5M
2.9%
1.6%
1.5%
1.2%
2.3%
1.7%
$1.5M-$2.0M
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
>$2.0M
0.0%
2.3%
2.4%
2.6%
0.0%
0.0%
TOTAL
7.3%
6.3%
7.9%
8.2%
9.5%
8.2%
Remarks
FMLS SF Detached residences data. Data believed to be accurate, but not warranted. Analysis includes previous listing period data where applicable. © 2015 ChartMaster Services, LLC. For exclusive use of participating Keller Williams Realty offices.
Monthly Trend Analysis Condo/Townhome Sales & Actives October Sales
November December Sales Sales
October Actives
November December Actives Actives
October November December Distressed Distressed Distressed
<=$25K
18
25
21
16
15
7
71.4%
60.0%
66.7%
$26-$50K
69
63
49
58
57
49
42.0%
44.4%
34.7%
$51-$75K
150
135
138
152
143
131
25.8%
28.1%
26.1%
$76-$100K
238
231
217
199
187
163
12.9%
14.3%
12.4%
$101-$150K
728
713
642
466
468
398
9.3%
8.7%
7.9%
$151-$200K
764
759
690
511
476
426
6.5%
5.3%
4.2%
$201-$250K
458
442
400
273
242
224
5.2%
4.3%
2.0%
$251-$300K
338
319
311
208
202
179
4.4%
2.2%
1.6%
$301-$350K
206
167
164
163
155
147
1.5%
0.6%
0.6%
$351-$400K
124
105
108
109
101
102
2.4%
1.0%
1.9%
$401-$500K
125
128
111
175
177
143
4.8%
2.3%
0.9%
$501-$600K
53
52
54
113
108
92
3.8%
1.9%
0.0%
$601-$750K
29
32
30
96
95
94
6.9%
6.3%
6.7%
$751-$1.0M
21
17
16
67
66
69
4.8%
0.0%
0.0%
$1.0-$1.5M $1.5M$2.0M
10
8
7
31
27
28
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6
2
1
11
10
9
16.7%
0.0%
0.0%
8
7
8
28
29
28
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
3,345
3,205
2,967
2,676
2,558
2,289
8.6%
7.8%
6.5%
>$2.0M TOTAL
FMLS Condo/Townhome residences data. Data believed to be accurate, but not warranted. Analysis includes previous listing period data where applicable. © 2015 ChartMaster Services, LLC. For exclusive use of participating Keller Williams Realty offices.
Recent Trend Analysis Detached Properties Months Supply July
August
September October
November December
Remarks
<=$25K
2.4
2.4
2.7
3.0
2.5
2.6
$26-$50K
3.5
3.8
3.6
3.5
3.2
3.2
$51-$75K
3.5
3.3
2.9
3.3
3.4
3.5
$76-$100K
2.8
3.0
2.8
3.3
3.5
3.6
$101-$150K
2.5
2.5
2.3
2.3
2.3
2.5
$151-$200K
2.3
2.2
2.0
2.0
2.1
2.1
$201-$250K
2.7
2.5
2.5
2.6
2.6
2.6
$251-$300K
2.7
2.6
2.7
2.8
3.0
3.1
$301-$350K
2.9
2.7
2.7
2.9
3.1
3.1
$351-$400K
3.3
2.9
3.1
3.3
3.6
3.6
$401-$500K
3.7
3.4
3.5
3.6
4.1
4.3
$501-$600K
4.5
4.1
4.1
5.0
5.3
8.8
$601-$750K
5.5
4.7
4.5
5.1
5.7
6.8
$751-$1.0M
7.1
6.2
6.7
7.6
8.8
9.4
Now A Buyer’s Mkt.
$1.0-$1.5M
10.4
9.3
8.8
10.9
12.1
12.7
$1.5M-$2.0M
15.1
11.3
9.8
11.9
14.1
16.1
Consistent Buyer’s Market
>$2.0M
17.3
18.4
19.5
20.7
22.6
23.6
3.3
3.0
3.0
3.2
3.3
3.6
TOTAL
Consistent Seller’s Market
Currently Changed Market
FMLS SF Detached residences data. Data believed to be accurate, but not warranted. Analysis includes previous listing period data where applicable. © 2015 ChartMaster Services, LLC. For exclusive use of participating Keller Williams Realty offices.
Recent Trend Analysis Condo/Townhome Properties Supply July
August
September October November December
Remarks
<=$25K
2.1
2.6
2.4
2.7
1.8
1.0
$26-$50K
2.4
2.4
2.4
2.5
2.7
3.0
$51-$75K
2.5
2.5
2.8
3.0
3.2
2.8
$76-$100K
2.4
2.6
2.6
2.5
2.4
2.3
$101-$150K
1.8
1.7
1.8
1.9
2.0
1.9
$151-$200K
2.0
2.0
2.0
2.0
1.9
1.9
$201-$250K
1.8
1.9
1.8
1.8
1.6
1.7
$251-$300K
1.9
1.9
1.9
1.8
1.9
1.7
$301-$350K
2.2
2.0
2.6
2.4
2.8
2.7
$351-$400K
2.3
2.3
2.4
2.6
2.9
2.8
$401-$500K
3.4
3.6
4.5
4.2
4.1
3.9
$501-$600K
4.3
4.5
4.9
6.4
6.2
5.1
Consistent Seller’s Market
$601-$750K
4.4
4.7
6.3
9.9
8.9
9.4
Balanced-to-Buyer’s
$751-$1.0M
8.2
8.1
11.1
9.6
11.6
12.9
$1.0-$1.5M
6.0
6.6
7.3
9.3
10.1
12.0
$1.5M-$2.0M
12.0
4.7
4.3
5.5
15.0
27.0
>$2.0M
19.5
12.0
17.4
10.5
12.4
10.5
2.2
2.2
2.3
2.4
2.4
2.3
TOTAL
Very Low Supply, Often <2 Months
Volatile due to fewer Sales, Mostly a Buyer’s Market
FMLS SF Detached residences data. Data believed to be accurate, but not warranted. Analysis includes previous listing period data where applicable. © 2015 ChartMaster Services, LLC. For exclusive use of participating Keller Williams Realty offices.